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FxWirePro: Volatility relative to 10y tails assuming next Fed hike odds

Mar 10, 2017 11:48 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Although the March meeting ended last week a roughly 1:4 shot for a hike, a range of FOMC members and the Chair herself pushed it to fully priced by this Thursday. With March fully priced, markets should turn to focus...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD OTC sentiments for bearish risks remain intact but IVs mounting higher on assertive Fed

Mar 10, 2017 07:06 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUDUSDs negative momentum remains strong, the 0.7500 area vulnerable to giving way. All eyes will be on the US payrolls data tonight, markets believing it would take a major disappointment to dent the likelihood of a Fed...

Central Banking Series

BoE likely to maintain 'neutral' policy stance, Bank Rate at 0.25 pct: Danske Bank

Mar 10, 2017 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to maintain its neutral policy stance at the monetary policy meeting, scheduled to be held on March 16. Further, the central bank is also expected to hold its Bank Rate at 0.25 percent...

PBoC to continue shift towards gradual tightening, inflation unlikely to be a near-term driver

Mar 09, 2017 12:23 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Chinas CPI inflation for February surprised sharply on the downside, falling to 0.8 percent from a year earlier, data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed Thursday. CPI fell short of expectations for a rise...

FxWirePro: UST’s downside risks from hawkish Fed but low-cost hedges on political risks

Mar 09, 2017 12:02 pm UTC| Central Banks

This week saw a significant shift in Fed rhetoric, seemingly on growing concerns over an overshoot of full employment, leading markets to price in a significantly higher probability of a hike in the next meeting in March...

What to expect from ECB ahead?

Mar 09, 2017 11:13 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Today European Central Bank (ECB) is to provide further guidance in policy meet. Result to be announced at 12:45 GMT, followed by press conference at 13:30 GMT. Meeting is to be held in Frankfurt. Current policy...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: SNB chair hints political turmoil likely to threat Swiss franc – Hedging outlook CHF crosses

Mar 09, 2017 07:37 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The potential for political turmoil in European elections this year is keeping the Swiss National Bank alert for threats to the franc, according to SNB chair Thomas Jordan. Citing elections in Germany and France,...

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Economy

Russia Stocks End Flat as Energy Shares Support MOEX Index

Russian stocks finished mixed after the close of trading in Moscow on Saturday, with the MOEX Russia Index ending the session unchanged at 0.00%. Market sentiment remained cautious as gains in select energy and utility...

Trump Defends Economic Record in North Carolina as Midterm Election Pressure Mounts

U.S. President Donald Trump traveled to the battleground state of North Carolina on Friday to defend his economic policies and reassure voters that the U.S. economy remains on solid footing, as concerns grow ahead of a...

EU Approves €90 Billion Ukraine Aid as Frozen Russian Asset Plan Stalls

Ukraine welcomed a major European Union decision on Friday to provide 90 billion in financial support over the next two years, a move Kyiv says will significantly strengthen its economic resilience amid the ongoing war...

Kevin Hassett Says Inflation Is Below Target, Backs Trump’s Call for Rate Cuts

White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett said President Donald Trump is correct in claiming inflation is low, despite official data, public sentiment, and many economists suggesting otherwise. Speaking on Fox Business,...

U.S. Stocks End Week Higher as Tech Rally Offsets Consumer Weakness

U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday, recovering from a volatile start to the week as gains in technology and AI-related shares outweighed sharp declines in consumer stocks such as Nike. Major indexes finished in positive...

Politics

Venezuela Condemns U.S. Seizure of Oil Tanker as “International Piracy”

The Venezuelan government has strongly condemned the seizure of a new oil tanker near its coast, accusing the United States of committing what it described as a serious act of international piracy. In an official statement...

Bangladesh Mourns Slain Youth Leader as Funeral Draws Thousands Amid Political Unrest

Tens of thousands of Bangladeshis gathered in Dhaka on Saturday to attend the funeral of Sharif Osman Hadi, a slain youth leader and election candidate whose killing has intensified political unrest ahead of the countrys...

U.S. Intercepts Venezuelan Oil Tanker in International Waters Amid Escalating Blockade Tensions

The United States has intercepted an oil tanker in international waters near Venezuela, intensifying tensions just days after President Donald Trump announced a total and complete blockade of sanctioned oil shipments...

Google and Apple Warn U.S. Visa Holders to Avoid International Travel Amid Lengthy Embassy Delays

Alphabets Google and Apple have advised certain employees working in the United States on temporary visas to avoid international travel, as visa stamping delays at U.S. embassies and consulates can now stretch up to 12...

U.S.–Russia Talks in Florida Raise Hopes but Reveal Deep Divides Over Ukraine War

U.S. negotiators met Russian officials in Florida over the weekend as the Trump administration intensified diplomatic efforts to help end Russias war in Ukraine, a conflict that began with Moscows full-scale invasion in...

Science

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Technology

U.S. Lawmakers Urge Pentagon to Blacklist More Chinese Tech Firms Over Military Ties

A group of nine Republican U.S. lawmakers has formally urged the Pentagon to expand its list of Chinese companies accused of supporting Chinas military, intensifying scrutiny of Beijing-linked technology firms amid rising...

Dina Powell McCormick Resigns From Meta Board After Eight Months, May Take Advisory Role

Dina Powell McCormick has resigned from Meta Platforms board of directors effective immediately, just eight months after joining the social media company, Meta confirmed on Friday. The unexpected departure comes at a time...

TikTok U.S. Deal Advances as ByteDance Signs Binding Joint Venture Agreement

TikTok has taken a major step toward securing its future in the United States after its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, announced it has signed binding agreements with three major investors to form a new joint venture...

Trump Administration Reviews Nvidia H200 Chip Sales to China, Marking Major Shift in U.S. AI Export Policy

The U.S. government under President Donald Trump has launched a formal review that could pave the way for the first-ever shipments of Nvidias H200 artificial intelligence chips to China, according to multiple sources...

Oracle Stock Surges After Hours on TikTok Deal Optimism and OpenAI Fundraising Buzz

Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) shares surged sharply in extended trading on Thursday, reflecting renewed investor optimism fueled by reports of a potential U.S. TikTok transaction and fresh fundraising discussions...
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