FOMC September meeting preview

Sep 19, 2016 11:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

The probability the market attaches to a rate rise at FOMC decision due Wednesday now stands at just 20 percent. While the recent run of US economic data has reduced the likelihood of a rate hike at Wednesdays meeting, the...

Comprehensive easing seems unlikely at BoJ’s policy decision

Sep 19, 2016 10:15 am UTC| Central Banks Economy Commentary

Comprehensive policy easing seems unlikely at the Bank of Japans (BoJ) monetary policy decision scheduled to be held on Sep 20-21, given that Japans growth outlook has improved slightly following the upward revision in...

JPY to remain under appreciation pressure; BoJ unlikely to reach its inflation target in near-term

Sep 19, 2016 09:11 am UTC| Economy Central Banks Commentary

The Japanese yen is expected to remain under appreciation pressure in the near term as the Bank of Japan fuelled high expectations of its meeting this coming Wednesday. However, it remains highly unlikely that it will be...

FxWirePro: RBNZ likely to stay pat but to deliver balanced minutes - 1w IV still stimulates call writers advantages

Sep 19, 2016 07:41 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The OCR is biased lower, but like the consensus and market, we dont expect action at the OCR Reviewon Thursday.Further easing will be signalled the NZD is too deflationary to ignore, and doing nothing would send it...

Bank of England inclined to further ease policy, likely to lower rate to 0.1 pct in November

Sep 19, 2016 06:18 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In the past couple of week, anxiety about future U.K. central bank policy appears to have been the main driver of market sentiment, especially in the bond markets. For instance, the 10 year gilt yield reached a...

Bank Indonesia likely to ease monetary policy as deflationary pressures still exist

Sep 19, 2016 04:58 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Bank Indonesia is expected to lower its benchmark interest rate further as the current stage of persisting deflation opens door to a series of rate cuts in the near term. Further, deflationary pressure persists in the...

FxWirePro: USD/CNH seagull structure for next phase of Chinese currency depreciation

Sep 16, 2016 11:58 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

2016 year-end forecast of USDCNY at 6.85 is firmly upheld. The prospects of a Fed hike before year-end and a rise in capital outflows would likely to drive further Chinese offshore currency depreciation. We also hold...