Currency War Series

Sharp rise in real interest rates could negate need for additional BCB tightening

Jan 14, 2016 15:23 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Brazilian real moved back above the 4.00 threshold and stabilised within the 4.00 and 4.07 over the last couple of weeks. Data last week showed that Brazils inflation rate closed 2015 at the highest level in more than...

BCB to resume interest rate hike, Societe Generale's model supports higher Selic rate

Jan 14, 2016 14:48 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Selling pressures in emerging market currencies will likely remain in the near future. The current political chaos will maintain the pressure on Brazils economy and, as a consequence on the real. The BCB has been on the...

Currency War Series

What will RBI respond to – weak inflation or weak Rupee?

Jan 14, 2016 13:30 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Raghuram Rajan took charge of Reserve Bank of India in September, 2013 at a time when Indian economy and Rupee was facing massive turmoil. His arrival, followed by landslide election by reform promising Bhartiya Janata...

FxWirePro: GBP seems weaker ahead of BoE’s interest decision – cable drifting along sloping trend line

Jan 14, 2016 11:32 am UTC| Technicals Central Banks

Amid plotting both weekly and monthly charts we have encountered with enough bearish swings with mammoth volumes show the tendency to confer trend line. The Bank of England is on center of attention as monetary decision...

Currency War Series

Reserve Bank of Australia unlikely to ease policy in 2016

Jan 14, 2016 11:08 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In order to aid the Australian economys adjustment and keep the AUD from declining, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut the cash rate twice last year. Policy easing in 2016 is not expected by analysts as officials stated...

Currency War Series

Bank of England likely to hike rates in Q2 2016

Jan 14, 2016 09:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Great Britains CPI inflation has been close to zero for most of 2015 but is expected to rise in the beginning of this year as the effects of lower oil prices and the stronger GBP fade away, while medium-term inflation...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome signs series – US business cycle coming to end?

Jan 14, 2016 09:11 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Last time US faced business cycle contraction dates back to 2007, at a time of great recession, which finally ended in June 2009 and it has been expanding since then. Though it is very difficult to gauge how the world...