Hawkish Fed guidance keeps a December rate increase on table

Nov 02, 2015 05:17 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Federal Reserve sent a hawkish signal at its October FOMC meeting. The lack of a press conference is felt, the short intermeeting period, and the pre-existing divide on the committee would lead to only minor changes in...

PBoC rate cut likely in Q4 15

Nov 02, 2015 04:16 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

China official manufacturing PMI remained flat at 49.8 in October, below expectation. On the breakdown, the pickup in new orders (to 50.3 from 50.2) was offset by the decline in production (to 52.2 from 52.3). Notably,...

Improving EA data unlikely to deter ECB from further easing

Nov 02, 2015 03:48 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Final Euro area October PMIs and German manufacturing data will be watched this week, along with a raft of ECB speakers. EA manufacturing and services PMIs are likely to be confirmed at 52.0 and 54.2, respectively,...

BoE's Super Thursday

Nov 02, 2015 03:42 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The focus for GBP this week will be the raft of BoE communication due for release on Thursday. This will include the November policy decision, minutes related to that meeting and the November Inflation Report. The...

Norges Bank on hold for now

Nov 02, 2015 03:39 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Norges Bank is likely to keep its deposit rate unchanged at 0.75% for three key reasons. First, since the September policy meeting, Norwegian economic data have broadly been better than expected, illustrated by the...

Hawkish views from Jeffrey Lacker

Oct 30, 2015 12:30 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Jeffrey M. Lacker, president of Richmond FED had been the only hawk last Wednesday, when policymakers chose to maintain current monetary policy accommodation by 9-1 vote. In a speech today, Mr. Lacker explained, why he...

Policy divergence between Fed and other central banks will continue to be a USD-positive factor

Oct 30, 2015 11:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

The Federal Reserve left short-term interest rates unchanged earlier this week, but clearly highlighted the potential for tightening as soon as the December meeting. The committee made a clear decision to lean hard against...