Jul 23, 2015 00:28 am UTC| Commentary Economy
While the worst-case outcome may have been averted in the short run, macroeconomic conditions have deteriorated significantly during five months of unsuccessful talks. With banks having been closed for three weeks, they...
Euro area inflation outlook under the microscope
Jul 22, 2015 22:05 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
Headline HICP inflation fell from +3.0% at the end of 2011 to -0.6% in January 2015, before rebounding to +0.2% in June. Despite showing signs of improvement lately, core prices remained very weak, edging down to 0.8% from...
BoK discloses dip in GDP growth due to MERS outbreak
Jul 20, 2015 01:19 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks
The release of advance GDP figures for Q2 2015 is basically set to be a non-event, as BoK Governor Lee Ju-yeol already disclosed a flash estimate of 0.4% qoq, at the press conference following the MPC meeting on 9 July. He...
More positive signs, but accommodative policies still warranted for China
Jul 19, 2015 22:54 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
Chinas Q2 GDP and June data all came in better than expected, pointing to more signs of stabilization. The official Q2 GDP printed a growth rate of 7.0% y/y and 7.0 q/q saar, above expectations (consensus: 6.8%). Fixed...
Fed semi-annual testimony - more upbeat than usual
Jul 15, 2015 17:33 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
In the July semi-annual Monetary Policy Report to Congress, Chair Janet Yellen reiterated the message from her speech on Friday that a first fed funds rate hike this year is likely to be appropriate. In general, the...
South Korea resurgent hiring in manufacturing offsets MERS impact on services
Jul 15, 2015 02:25 am UTC| Commentary Economy
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.9% in June (Barclays: 3.9%; consensus: 4.0%), after ticking lower in March and April from a February high (Apr and Mar: 3.7%; Feb: 3.9%; Jan: 3.4%). The...
Labour market slack to diminish faster than Fed projects
Jul 14, 2015 17:20 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
A key reason why we expect the Fed to hike in September rather than wait to December is developments in the labour market. The June summary of economic projections showed that the Fed sees the unemployment rate falling to...
UK Inflation Stabilizes: November CPI at 2.6%, Signaling Economic Recovery
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