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Currency War Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

Will Bank of England announce its move next week?

Jul 04, 2016 14:28 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Bank of England meets on July 14 to decide policy measures and investors are debating over whether the central bank will ease policy or wait until August Quarterly Inflation Report, when new post-Brexit forecasts will be...

Currency War Series

RBA minutes provide few hints regarding future policy direction

Jun 21, 2016 10:06 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks Commentary Economy

The Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday released minutes of the June board meetingwhen it held the cash rate at 1.75 percent. The minutes showed the RBA remains relatively upbeat about growth and employment at the same...

Currency War Series

RBI Governor to return to academia; August rate cut decision to depend on June inflation figures

Jun 20, 2016 07:02 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

On Saturday, RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan told the RBI staff that he will return to academia after his term with the RBI ends on September 4. There were some negative reactions in the local markets as the exit of Rajan...

Currency War Series

Briferendum Series

Brexit could trigger joint FX market interventions by major central banks

Jun 15, 2016 15:06 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Latest polls show rising odds that the UK will vote to leave the EU next Thursday. Despite the market having begun to increasingly price in this risk scenario in the last few days, financial markets will be shaken up...

Currency War Series

Rising speculation of rate cut by RBNZ keeps Kiwi subdued

Jun 14, 2016 14:55 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The RBNZ held rates and policy last week giving the kiwi a big jump as it remains near the top of its trading range. This week, the bird is likely in for a volatile ride, as markets brace for a slew of local data and major...

Currency War Series

What could drive central banks in US and Japan in Q3’2016 that in turn drives USD/JPY

Jun 13, 2016 08:11 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The Bank of Japan is expected to stand pat this Thursday. Economic data actually suggest the need for further policy easing. GDP growth rose 1.9% (QoQ SAAR) in 1Q16 after falling -1.8% in 4Q15, meaning no growth over the...

Currency War Series

Mario Draghi calls for policy supports from other areas in a speech today

Jun 09, 2016 09:06 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Speaking at Brussels Economic Forum, in a lecture organized by European Commission, European Central Bank (ECB) chief, Mario Draghi aggressively called for countries to step forward and provide support to ECBs monetary...

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Economy

The idea that US interest rates will stay higher for longer is probably wrong

The 0.4% rise in US consumer prices in March didnt look like headline news. It was the same as the February increase, and the year-on-year rise of 3.5% is still sharply down from 5% a year ago. All the same, this modest...

Impact of Iran-Israel conflict on Stocks, Gold and Bitcoin

Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. The information provided is for general purposes only. No information, materials, services and other content provided on this page constitute a solicitation, recommendation,...

Japan Posts 7.7% Growth in Machinery Orders

In a striking development that looks set to invigorate Japans economic prospects, a key gauge of capital spending in the country has seen its most significant jump in over a year. According to Cabinet Office data released...

Why Africa can be the beating heart of South Korea’s technology industry

Tshepo Ncube, Head: International Coverage and Bhavtik Vallabhjee, Head: Power, Utilities Infrastructure at Absa CIB reflect on their recent visit to South Korea, examining why investors in the region have their eyes set...

How cuts to marginal income tax could boost the UK’s stagnant economic growth

The British prime minister recently claimed the UK economy has turned a corner. Rishi Sunak said inflation figures were encouraging, and proclaimed that 2024 would be the year Britain bounces back. According to his...

Politics

US Commerce Secretary Asserts Huawei Chip Lag, Affirms Export Control Success

In an interview on CBS News 60 Minutes, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo stated that the latest Huawei Mate 60 Pro phones chip remains significantly behind U.S. technology despite being the most advanced from China. She...

Putin’s Russia: first arrests under new anti-LGBT laws mark new era of repression

Just over three decades after Russia decriminalised homosexuality in 1993, three people have been arrested and charged under the countrys harsh new anti-LGBT laws and could face ten years in prison for membership of an...

Nvidia RTX 4090D Embroiled in US-China Tech Rivalry; South Korea Navigates Chip Export Dilemma

The U.S. government has tightened export restrictions on high-performance semiconductor chips to China, including the Nvidia RTX 4090D, and is urging South Korea to enforce similar curbs, marking a significant escalation...

Canada needs a national strategy for homeless refugee claimants

One year after the federal government closed Roxham Road, refugee claims in Canada continue to increase: there were 143,785 in 2023 compared to 91,730 in 2022. The surprise announcement in March 2023 to modify Canadas...

Who will Trump pick as his running mate?

Being second in line for leadership of the most powerful country in the world is not an easy job. But for Mike Pence, vice president under Donald Trump, things were even harder than usual. As insurrectionists descended...

Science

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

If life exists on Jupiter’s moon Europa, scientists might soon be able to detect it

Europa is one of the largest of more than 90 moons in orbit around the planet Jupiter. It is also one of the best places to look for alien life. Often termed an ocean world by scientists, observations to date strongly...

Exploding stars are rare but emit torrents of radiation − if one happened close enough to Earth, it could threaten life on the planet

Stars like the Sun are remarkably constant. They vary in brightness by only 0.1% over years and decades, thanks to the fusion of hydrogen into helium that powers them. This process will keep the Sun shining steadily for...

Technology

Binance Launches Meme Coin Giveaway as Whale Moves $53M Bitcoin

In a striking blend of events, Binance has rolled out a massive giveaway for meme coin traders, including SHIB and DOGE, on the same day a mega whale withdrew $53 million worth of Bitcoin, stirring market...

Tesla Teases Self-Driving App Amid Profit Slide, Plans Uber Rival

Tesla Inc. has unveiled plans for a self-driving ride-hailing app, aiming to rival Uber, even as its quarterly profits fall sharply amid slowing demand. The tech giant teased the app alongside a report of a 9%...

Hong Kong Cracks Down on Crypto Scams as FTX Claims Ignite Market Surge

Hong Kongs Securities and Futures Commission has warned against two crypto trading platforms, CBEX Group and Bitget Pro, over suspected fraudulent activities, just as the market sees a surge amid FTX bankruptcy...

SEC Postpones Grayscale's Ethereum ETF Decision Amid Tighter Crypto Scrutiny

The SEC has once again delayed Grayscales application for a spot Ethereum ETF, pushing the decision to June 23 as it intensifies its examination of cryptocurrency ETFs. This marks another delay setback affecting major...

Bitcoin Surges Past Tesla in Five-Year Gains, Sparks New Interest in ETFs

For the first time since 2019, Bitcoin has outperformed Teslas stock, marking a significant milestone as it becomes the ninth-largest asset globally. Despite Teslas decline, Bitcoin soared 139% last year, bolstered by...