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Emerging Market Crisis Series

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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Brazil’s current account deficit narrows in January, posts trade balance surplus on nominal contraction of exports

Feb 24, 2016 06:32 am UTC| Commentary

Brazil recorded below expected current account deficit of $4.8bn in January, as compared with the deficit of $12.2bn in January 2014 and $13.2bn in January 2013. The nation posted a small surplus of $0.6bn in trade...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Weak tone in Mexico retails sales suggests weaker than expected GDP proxy for December

Feb 23, 2016 15:55 pm UTC| Commentary

Mexicos retail sales ended the year on a weak tone. Data released yesterday showed that retail sales fell 1.4% m/m sa in December. The contraction was driven by a decline in sales of domestic equipment, paper and...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Mexico’s inflation acceleration likely to continue through Q3 2016

Feb 23, 2016 09:13 am UTC| Commentary

In January 2015, Mexicos inflation decelerated by almost 1% from its end-2014 levels due to the weakness in consumer prices - mainly due to the impact of lower energy, telecoms, and other housing segment prices. This...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Inflation in Brazil likely to moderate slightly in mid-February, food inflation likely to be major challenge in 2016

Feb 22, 2016 06:32 am UTC| Commentary

Brazils inflation in January was more than expectations at 10.71% y/y, as compared with Decembers 10.67% y/y, disproving the long-held opinion that inflation will moderate in 2016 with just the help of base effect. Indeed,...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Russian economic momentum likely to rebound on improved growth indicators

Feb 19, 2016 05:32 am UTC| Commentary

Russias growth indicators for January indicate towards a rebound in its economic momentum. A rebound was recorded in real wages, retail sales and industrial production for January. Moreover, jobless rate remained unchanged...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

India’s WPI inflation decelerates in January on drop in food inflation, likely to turn positive in Q1

Feb 15, 2016 08:59 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Indias wholesale price inflation surprisingly decelerated in January; however, it might turn positive in Q1. WPI inflation dropped to -0.9% y/y in January from -0.7% y/y in December, as compared with Bloombergs median...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

2016 - another year of economic contraction in Brazil

Feb 12, 2016 16:45 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

The current recession in Brazil is now the longest since the 1930s and the situation still remains extremely challenging. The Brazilian economy illustrates signs of cyclical and structural weakness. GDP outlook for 2016 is...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Leaked: New Huawei Luxeed SUV Images Fuel Anticipation for Tech Upgrades

Recently leaked photos allegedly showcasing the Huawei Luxeed SUV have ignited speculation over the vehicles advanced features and smart technology, potentially setting a new benchmark in the automotive...

Bitfinex CTO Deems Database Breach Claims 'Fake' Amidst Hacker Allegations

Bitfinexs Chief Technology Officer Paolo Ardoino has cast doubts on claims of a database breach by hacker organization FSOCIETY, branding the allegations as fake. Ardoino refuted the purported leak of 22,500 user emails...

Walmart Spotted with Tesla Semi in California as True Launch Date Revealed

Walmarts adoption of a Tesla Semi hit the California highways, signaling the electric trucks expanding reach. The sighting follows Teslas revelation of a late 2025 and early 2026 launch window for the highly anticipated...

Altcoin Market Rally Predicted, Analysts Forecast $4 Trillion Market Cap Surge

Analysts are predicting a substantial rally in the altcoin market, with projections indicating a surge that could drive the market cap to an impressive $4 trillion. This optimistic outlook is supported by positive economic...

Shiba Inu's Remarkable 12% Surge Fueled by Record SHIB Burns, Community Momentum

Shiba Inus ascent reaches new heights as the cryptocurrency experiences a remarkable 12% surge, fueled by record-breaking SHIB burns. The surge reflects robust community engagement and underscores the dynamic nature of the...