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FX Hedging Strategy Series

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Amid highly volatile economic environment, shielding currency exposure has become too risky than before. In this series we provide an intelligent insights and analysis on actionable FX derivative strategies that serve different levels of risk appetites and returns.

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Trump effects on Antipodeans - 1M forward vols priced-in highly asymmetrically with respect to the history of 1M ATM vols

Nov 10, 2016 07:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The narrow-dated forward vols in antipodean currencies are priced highly asymmetrically with respect to a rolling history of 1M ATM vol. For instance, the above chart explains that indicative offers on 1M1M FVAs in...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Deploy reverse put spreads to hedge EUR/JPY quantifying and capitalizing RR gap between EUR/USD, USD/JPY and EUR/JPY

Nov 10, 2016 07:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The excessive yen skew premium Yen calls are in high demand for all crosses as the market is behaving in a risk-off way. As we wrote here and here, the yen probably met an inflexion point after months of strength. A...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/JPY tumbles but recovers digesting geopolitical news in both US and Japan and but what do risk reversals imply?

Nov 09, 2016 14:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

The U.S. dollar tumbled over 1% to a one-month low against the other major currencies on Wednesday, as Donald Trump appeared to be winning the U.S. presidential election. Markets began pricing in owing to a Trumps...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/RUB goes in sideways shrugging off all available news but eyeing crude prices consolidation – DPS for optimized hedging

Nov 09, 2016 14:07 pm UTC| Commentary

The right balance between commodity dependence and external imbalances. The evolution of net commodities exports and current account balance (as % of GDP) between 2013 and 2015 (the second leg of the commodity...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Bid USD/ZAR call spreads as political turmoil still lingers in South Africa while Trump crowns as 45th President

Nov 09, 2016 12:54 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

The results of the US elections has caused turbulence in almost all asset avenues including EMFX as the Republican candidate Donald Trumpis crowningas the 45th president of the United States on Wednesday, crushing the...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Bullion OTC gets stimulated for bullish risks after Trump’s triumph – 3-way straddle versus OTM puts for hedging

Nov 09, 2016 10:17 am UTC| Research & Analysis

We forecast a moderately higher gold price during the remainder of the year with a 4Q16 price forecast of $1,350/oz as our economists expect a slow pace of Fed tightening with the next rate hike likely at the December...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Norwegian inflation keeps Norges bank dovish - USD/NOK dips likely to prolong, stay short via option and cash trades on hedging grounds

Nov 09, 2016 09:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The NOK is closely correlated to crude oil prices, and it has strengthened this year following stabilization in oil and the Norwegian economy. Norway is also running the highest inflation readings among G10...

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Economy

US Yen Intervention Unlikely to Deliver Lasting Recovery, Yardeni Says

U.S. efforts to strengthen the Japanese yen may offer only temporary relief as Japans fiscal policies, wide interest-rate gap with the United States, and preference for a weaker currency continue to pressure the yen,...

Iran-Oman Near Strait of Hormuz Deal as Shipping Tensions Persist

Iran and Oman are nearing an agreement on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, but Tehran says a bilateral deal alone will not be enough to fully reopen the critical global energy route. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas...

Trump Unveils $3 Billion U.S. Critical Minerals Push

President Donald Trump announced roughly $3 billion in U.S. government investments and financing for critical minerals, battery materials and mining projects, part of a broader effort to strengthen domestic production and...

Oil Prices Set for Steep Weekly Losses as Hormuz Deal Stalls

Oil prices fluctuated on Friday and remained on course for sharp weekly declines as uncertainty surrounding a potential agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz continued to drive volatility across global energy markets....

Gold Prices Surge 7% as Dollar Falls, Fed Rate Hike Bets Ease

Gold prices rallied sharply on Friday, putting the precious metal on track for its strongest weekly performance since late January as a weaker U.S. dollar, lower oil prices and softer Federal Reserve rate hike expectations...

Politics

Germany Warns of Daily Hybrid Warfare Threats

Germany is facing foreign hybrid warfare operations on a daily basis, Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt has warned after authorities discovered an explosive-carrying drone at Leipzig/Halle Airport. Dobrindt said hostile...

ICE to Complete Nationwide Body Camera Rollout by End of August

U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) will equip all officers and agents working in the field with body-worn cameras by the end of August, accelerating a nationwide rollout that was initially expected to take...

Joe Biden’s Prostate Cancer Has Spread Further, Hunter Biden Says

Former U.S. President Joe Bidens prostate cancer has spread beyond his bones and is causing significant pain, according to his son, Hunter Biden, who discussed his fathers health in a BBC interview. Speaking to the BBCs...

Senate Majority Leader John Thune Moves to Advance Crypto Clarity Act

U.S. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has taken a key step toward advancing the Clarity Act, a major cryptocurrency regulation bill that could establish the first comprehensive federal framework for the U.S. crypto...

Taiwan President Lai Oversees Coastal Strike Drills in Han Kuang War Games

Taiwan President Lai Ching-te observed coastal strike drills on Saturday as the island continued its annual Han Kuang military exercises, designed to strengthen Taiwans defence readiness against a potential Chinese attack....

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Nvidia Seen Beating Q2 Targets as Vera Rubin Cycle Begins

Nvidia (NVDA) could enter a multi-quarter growth cycle as shipments of its next-generation Vera Rubin AI chips begin, with BofA Global Research forecasting stronger-than-expected quarterly results and maintaining a bullish...

OpenAI Restricts Astra AI Over Cyberattack Risks

OpenAI has reportedly restricted parts of the development of its next-generation AI model, code-named Astra, after early evaluations indicated the system could potentially carry out sophisticated cyberattacks with limited...

Nvidia to Invest Up to $3 Billion in Blackstone-Backed Lancium

Nvidia is reportedly preparing to invest as much as $3 billion in Lancium, a Blackstone-backed power infrastructure developer involved in the Stargate artificial intelligence infrastructure initiative, as demand for...

Meta Ordered to Pay $567M Over Child Safety Violations in New Mexico

Meta Platforms Inc. has been ordered to pay $567 million into a fund designed to address harm to young people, in a major legal ruling involving child safety on Facebook and Instagram. Judge Bryan Biedscheid of New Mexicos...

Nintendo Shares Jump as Switch 2 Sales Boost Earnings

Nintendo shares surged nearly 5% on Friday after the Japanese gaming giant reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter earnings and upgraded its full-year financial outlook, supported by robust demand for the new Switch...