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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections.

Will coronavirus damage Trump in the US general election? And Morrison's ratings improve in Newspoll

Mar 17, 2020 01:37 am UTC| Politics

Four states hold Democratic primaries on Wednesday in Australia: Florida, Ohio, Illinois and Arizona. These states will award 14.5% of all pledged delegates, taking us to 61.5% of total delegates. But given Joe Bidens...

Bernie Sanders easily wins Nevada caucus; the Coalition regains support in Newspoll

Feb 26, 2020 07:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Bernie Sanders has easily won the Nevada Democratic caucus, cementing his status as front-runner for the Democratic nomination in the US presidential election. With 88% of precincts reporting, Sanders won 47.1% of...

With four days remaining, Sanders leads narrowly in Iowa, but Biden leads nationally

Feb 03, 2020 12:36 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Four days before the US Iowa Democratic caucuses next Tuesday AEDT, the RealClearPolitics poll average has Bernie Sanders narrowly leading with 23.8%, followed by Joe Biden on 20.2%, Pete Buttigieg 15.8%, Elizabeth Warren...

Conservative landslide at UK's Brexit election; Trump's ratings rise on strong US economy

Dec 14, 2019 09:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the December 12 UK election, the Conservatives won 365 of the 650 House of Commons seats (up 48 since the 2017 election), Labour 202 (down 60), the Scottish National Party (SNP) 48 (up 13) and the Liberal Democrats 11...

Warren placed second after Biden, as Trump's ratings rise. But could the impeachment scandal make a difference?

Sep 28, 2019 13:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Two weeks after the September 12 Democratic presidential debate, Joe Biden continues to lead with 29.0% in the RealClearPolitics Democratic national average, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 21.4%, Bernie Sanders at 17.3%,...

Biden still leads US Democratic primaries, Trump's ratings fall slightly after gun massacres, plus Australian preference flows

Aug 15, 2019 17:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

After the first Democratic presidential debate on June 25-26, Joe Biden fell in Democratic national presidential polls, and Kamala Harris surged. In the lead-up to the July 30-31 debate, Biden recovered lost support while...

US Dem presidential primaries: Biden leading, followed by Sanders, Warren, Harris; and will Trump be beaten?

Jul 22, 2019 13:38 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The next US presidential election will be held on November 3, 2020. Incumbent president Donald Trump will almost certainly be the Republican nominee, but there is a contest for the Democratic presidential nomination. The...

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Economy

FxWirePro: Spotlight On CBT Amid Sluggish Turkish Growth – Bid 3M USD/TRY Skews Ans Hedge

Turkeys central bank pulled forward a scheduled MPC meeting by two days and implemented a 100bps emergency rate cut yesterday. The CB reduced the 1-week repo rate from 10.75% to 9.75% and lowered RRR on all FX deposits by...

FxWirePro: BoC’s Rate Cuts on Cyclical Effects of Covid-19 - USD/CAD Risk-Off Call Ratio Spread

Over the weekend, the Bank of Canada cut its key interest rate by another 50 bp, after it had lowered its key interest rate from 1.75% to 1.25% at its regular meeting. The BoC also said that it was ready to take further...

Coronavirus and Spanish flu: economic lessons to learn from the last truly global pandemic

As news of the global spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) emerged, global financial markets reacted pessimistically and behaved in ways not seen since the 2008 financial crisis. But fully understanding the potential...

Cash handout of $750 for 6.5 million pensioners and others receiving government payments

A payment of $750 will be made from the end of this month to about 6.5 million people as part of the governments $17.6 billion stimulus package aimed at keeping Australia out of a recession caused by the impact of the...

Tokyo Olympics: how coronavirus is affecting preparations

The World Health Organizations decision to officially recognise the coronavirus outbreak as a global pandemic means organisers are facing difficult decisions on whether to go ahead with major sporting events. There were...

Politics

Ivanka Trump says she’s exploring things she wouldn’t have prioritized because of the coronavirus

Despite the social distancing and work-from-home routine she has to go through, life goes on for Ivanka Trump. In fact, her self-isolation has freed up some of her time that shes now doing things she normally wouldnt have...

US Navy aircraft carrier captain wants crew members infected with COVID-19 removed from the ship and isolated for two weeks

Even the worlds most sophisticated warship isnt out of reach from the coronavirus pandemic. A commander of a U.S. Navy aircraft is warning senior military officials that decisive action must be done to save the lives of...

US President Donald Trump to introduce new social distancing guidelines

Recently, President Donald Trump announced that the period of social distancing would continue until the end of April to slow the spread of the coronavirus. Now, Trump is expected to announce the new guidelines for the...

Joe Biden explains how he would respond to the coronavirus pandemic in recent town hall

Presidential candidate Joe Biden recently appeared for another interview-slash-town hall on CNN. The former vice president explained how he would approach the pandemic, as well as revealing his routine as of late. In a...

Melania Trump criticized after advising people to go out and have some 'fresh air' amid coronavirus outbreak

First Lady Melania Trump has been making an effort to become more visible in the midst of the coronavirus crisis in the country. As the country continues its social distancing period, Melania gives her own advice that is...

Science

Man pronounced clinically dead for three minutes describes what death is like

Death is one of lifes biggest mysteries, and it does not seem like there would be an answer any time soon. One man has shared his experience after being clinically dead for three minutes. There are many assumptions on...

NASA: Hubble Space Telescope snaps image of a one-armed galaxy

The cosmos has provided stunning sights in the forms of galaxies and other celestial objects. Recently, NASAs Hubble Space Telescope captured an image of a spectacular one-armed galaxy. The galaxy, formally known as NGC...

Asteroids: Potentially hazardous asteroid already on 'close approach' trajectory

Space agencies all over the world are keeping tabs on one particular asteroid that is bound for Earth by April. Recent reports reveal that the asteroid in question is already on a close approach trajectory. Express...

Dr. Anthony Fauci predicts over 100,000 coronavirus fatalities in US

As the world is currently struggling to contain the pandemic that is the coronavirus, it appears that the situation would only get worse before it could get better. According to Infectious Diseases director Dr. Anthony...

Technology

Nvidia Ampere GeForce RTX 3000 GPUs could be released by August

It looks like gamers will have to wait for a bit before getting their hands on Nvidias all-new Ampere GeForce RTX 3000 GPUs, including the highly anticipated flagship, the GeForce RTX 3080 Ti. Based on recent rumors from...

Sony monitors ‘risk of delays’ in ‘The Last of Us 2’ release date amid COVID-19 pandemic

The world is facing another daunting challenge as the COVID-19 pandemic manifests its effects not sparing the video game industry. Speculations on a possible second delay on the The Last of Us 2 release date has started to...

‘Cyberpunk 2077’ wallpaper teases one of V’s dangerous contract jobs

With many fans currently stuck in their homes for quarantine measures amid a global pandemic, it helps to be distracted for a while with a release of new Cyberpunk 2077 wallpaper. The image is filled with many interesting...

Why ‘Warcraft 3: Reforged’ might not get new expansions, DLC at its current state

It can be said that Warcraft 3: Reforged has been one of the most discussed video games released in 2020 so far, and most of the reasons are quite unflattering. However, the game is still part of one of the most popular...

Nintendo Switch games: ‘Tropico 6,’ ‘Super Mario 64,’ ‘Super Mario Sunshine,’ and ‘Super Mario Galaxy’ arriving to the console this year

With its portability, the Nintendo Switch console is one of the most popular consoles around and has been the best-selling hardware for a couple of years now. It looks like Switch console gamers are in for a treat in the...
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