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Adrian Beaumont

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections. In June 2022 I joined The Conversation staff as an election analyst.

Under-16 social media ban supported by 77% as economic sentiment lifts

Dec 02, 2024 23:27 pm UTC| Insights & Views Law

A national YouGov poll, conducted November 1521 from a sample of 1,515, had a 5050 tie, unchanged from the previous YouGov poll in September. Primary votes were 38% Coalition (down one), 30% Labor (steady), 13% Greens...

US under Trump Series

Donald Trump poised to become next US president, likely sweeping all the seven key states

Nov 06, 2024 07:10 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Donald Trump is set to accomplish the rare feat of winning the US presidential election after losing an earlier one. The New York Times Needle gives Trump a 95% chance to win the Electoral College. Hes estimated to have...

Newspoll remains tied at 50–50, but Albanese’s net approval slumps

Sep 03, 2024 00:25 am UTC| Politics

A national Newspoll, conducted August 2630 from a sample of 1,263, had a 5050 two-party tie between Labor and the Coalition, unchanged from the previous Newspoll three weeks ago. This is the first time this term there have...

With nominations decided, Trump leads Biden in US polls

Mar 19, 2024 11:28 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Joe Biden and Donald Trump have both secured their parties nominations for the November 5 United States general election by winning a majority of all delegates to their parties conventions, including delegates not yet...

Albanese and Labor slump to worst position in Newspoll since 2022 election

Nov 07, 2023 09:08 am UTC| Politics

A national Newspoll, conducted October 30 to November 3 from a sample of 1,220 people, gave Labor a 5248% lead over the Coalition, a two-point gain for the Coalition since the final Newspoll before the October 14 Voice...

Special votes mean National and ACT will likely lose their majority

Oct 31, 2023 09:01 am UTC| Politics

This Friday at 2pm (12pm AEDT), New Zealanders will find out the final results of the October 14 election. This tally will include the estimated 567,000 special votes not reported in the preliminary results on election...

NZ Election 2023: final polls suggest NZ First likely kingmaker as the left makes late gains

Oct 12, 2023 07:31 am UTC| Politics

After political polls between March and August showed a clear trend towards the right, polls since late August have shown the reverse. Remove a resurgent NZ First from the mix, and the left and right blocs are now polling...

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Economy

Gold Surges as South Korea Martial Law Uproar and Israel-Lebanon Strikes Shake Markets; Powell’s Address Looms

Gold prices climbed on Wednesday as South Koreas martial law crisis and Israel-Lebanon tensions boosted safe-haven demand. Spot gold edged up 0.1% to $2,646.53 per ounce, with traders eyeing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome...

Asia Stocks Reel from South Korea’s Martial Law Reversal and Political Turmoil

Asian stocks tumbled Wednesday, led by South Koreas KOSPI falling over 2%, as President Yoon Suk-Yeols abrupt martial law and its reversal deepened political unrest, unnerving investors across the region. Asian Stocks...

FxWirePro- Economic Events for the day

Time Currency Impact Actual Forecast Previous 8:15am EUR Spanish Services...

Australia's Economy: Steady Growth Amidst Rising Challenges

In the third quarter of 2024, Australias economy grew by0.3%compared to the previous quarter, a slight improvement from the0.2%growth seen in the second quarter. This growth marks the twelfth quarter of economic expansion;...

FxWirePro- Major Economic events for the day

Time (GMT) Currency Event Actual Previous Consensus 7:30 AM CHF CPI...

Politics

What is Donald Trump’s stance on cryptocurrency mining regulations in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has articulated a comprehensive approach to cryptocurrency mining regulations set to take effect in 2025. His strategy emphasizes bolstering the domestic crypto industry while implementing...

How will Donald Trump protect Americans’ retirement savings in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has unveiled a series of proposals aimed at safeguarding Americans retirement savings in 2025. These initiatives focus on tax reforms, Social Security adjustments, and modifications to...

What are Donald Trump’s plans for community policing programs in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has outlined a comprehensive strategy to enhance community policing programs in 2025, emphasizing a law and order approach. This plan includes increased funding for law enforcement, the...

What are Donald Trump’s initiatives for affordable housing in urban areas in 2025?

As housing affordability reaches a critical tipping point in urban centers across the United States, President Donald Trump has unveiled an ambitious set of initiatives aimed at addressing the crisis in 2025. The proposed...

How will Donald Trump address aviation safety concerns in 2025?

As the aviation industry faces increasing scrutiny due to rising safety concerns, President Donald Trump has announced his ambitious plans to address these issues head-on in 2025. Aviation safety has become a significant...

Science

How is Donald Trump prioritizing funding for cancer research in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has announced a major initiative to prioritize funding for cancer research in 2025, pledging billions in federal support to combat one of the worlds leading causes of death. The plan includes...

How will Donald Trump address renewable energy research funding in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has revealed plans to reshape the U.S. renewable energy landscape in 2025, sparking debates about the administrations commitment to combating climate change. While Trumps previous term focused...

RNA editing is the next frontier in gene therapy – here’s what you need to know

The United States Food and Drug Administration has just approved the first-ever clinical trial that uses CRISPR-Cas13 RNA editing. Its aim is to treat an eye disease called wet age-related macular degeneration that causes...

From using plant rinds to high-tech materials, bike helmets have improved significantly over the past 2 centuries

Imagine its the mid-1800s, and youre riding your high-wheeled, penny-farthing bicycle down a dusty road. Sure, it may have some bumps, but if you lose your balance, youre landing on a relatively soft dirt road. But as the...

Why does everything look flat even though the Earth is round?

Ever since the ancient Greeks first made observations of the circular Moon and the skies, scientists have known that the Earth is a sphere. Weve all seen beautiful images of the Earth from space, some photographed by...

Technology

ChatGPT Ads Could Be OpenAI’s Next Move, but Sam Altman Fears Erosion of User Trust

Facing financial strain, OpenAI is evaluating an ad model for ChatGPT. Sam Altman, however, has voiced concerns, cautioning that such a move could damage user trust and conflict with the companys ethical goals. OpenAIs...

Samsung AR Glasses May Finally Debut at Unpacked 2025 With the Galaxy S25 in Tow

Samsungs AR glasses, delayed for years, might finally debut at Unpacked 2025, launching alongside the Galaxy S25. The collaboration with Google and Qualcomm suggests a bold step forward in mixed-reality...

Samsung and SK Hynix Lead the Charge on LPDDR6-PIM Memory to Smash AI Bottlenecks

Samsung and SK Hynix, giants in the DRAM industry, have partnered to standardize LPDDR6-PIM memory. This groundbreaking effort targets AI bottlenecks and power challenges, paving the way for revolutionary performance gains...

Kia’s EV4 Breaks Cover for 2025: Entry-Level Electric Sedan to Shake Up the Affordable EV Market

Kias EV4 is officially on its way for 2025, promising to disrupt the entry-level EV market with bold design, cutting-edge technology, and starting prices around $30,000. Positioned as part of Kias push for EVs for all, the...

Tesla Scores Big as Longtime Critic Turns Bullish, Boosting Price Target from $85 to $380

Teslas stock received a major boost as Roth MKMs Craig Irwin upgraded his rating from Neutral to Buy, raising the price target to $380. Irwin, a longtime Tesla skeptic, now sees Trump-backed policies and a growing...