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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections.

Will coronavirus damage Trump in the US general election? And Morrison's ratings improve in Newspoll

Mar 17, 2020 01:37 am UTC| Politics

Four states hold Democratic primaries on Wednesday in Australia: Florida, Ohio, Illinois and Arizona. These states will award 14.5% of all pledged delegates, taking us to 61.5% of total delegates. But given Joe Bidens...

Bernie Sanders easily wins Nevada caucus; the Coalition regains support in Newspoll

Feb 26, 2020 07:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Bernie Sanders has easily won the Nevada Democratic caucus, cementing his status as front-runner for the Democratic nomination in the US presidential election. With 88% of precincts reporting, Sanders won 47.1% of...

With four days remaining, Sanders leads narrowly in Iowa, but Biden leads nationally

Feb 03, 2020 12:36 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Four days before the US Iowa Democratic caucuses next Tuesday AEDT, the RealClearPolitics poll average has Bernie Sanders narrowly leading with 23.8%, followed by Joe Biden on 20.2%, Pete Buttigieg 15.8%, Elizabeth Warren...

Conservative landslide at UK's Brexit election; Trump's ratings rise on strong US economy

Dec 14, 2019 09:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the December 12 UK election, the Conservatives won 365 of the 650 House of Commons seats (up 48 since the 2017 election), Labour 202 (down 60), the Scottish National Party (SNP) 48 (up 13) and the Liberal Democrats 11...

Warren placed second after Biden, as Trump's ratings rise. But could the impeachment scandal make a difference?

Sep 28, 2019 13:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Two weeks after the September 12 Democratic presidential debate, Joe Biden continues to lead with 29.0% in the RealClearPolitics Democratic national average, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 21.4%, Bernie Sanders at 17.3%,...

Biden still leads US Democratic primaries, Trump's ratings fall slightly after gun massacres, plus Australian preference flows

Aug 15, 2019 17:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

After the first Democratic presidential debate on June 25-26, Joe Biden fell in Democratic national presidential polls, and Kamala Harris surged. In the lead-up to the July 30-31 debate, Biden recovered lost support while...

US Dem presidential primaries: Biden leading, followed by Sanders, Warren, Harris; and will Trump be beaten?

Jul 22, 2019 13:38 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The next US presidential election will be held on November 3, 2020. Incumbent president Donald Trump will almost certainly be the Republican nominee, but there is a contest for the Democratic presidential nomination. The...

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Economy

Canceled bookings cost hosts to lose thousands of dollars a month

A number of Airbnb hosts in the United States are planning to sell their properties as well as the furnishings they bought to adorn their homes due to the financial fallout from the pandemic. Canceled bookings cost...

Imports of Japanese beer fell 89 percent to $630,000, while Japanese vehicles dropped 59 percent to $62 million

South Korea imported US$249 million worth of Japanese consumer goods in April, down 37 percent from last year, mainly due to backlash from Korean consumers against Japans export restrictions. Imports of Japanese beer...

The country's economy already struggled before it had to deal with the outbreak.

Indias economy would plummet for the fiscal year of 2020-2021 despite a rebound in activity in the coming months, says the head of Indias central bank Shaktikanta Das. He gave his projection while announcing a slew of...

However, overall exports dipped 1.4 percent in the first quarter.

South Koreas exports of eight new-industry goods in the first-quarter jumped 17 percent from the previous year to $21 billion despite a drop in overall exports. The goods include aviation products and drones, biohealth...

The rise in inequality is attributed to the shrinking wages of low-income households, and a cut down in temporary positions

The income disparity between the top 20 percent and bottom 20 percent of households widened with many of the countrys low-paying jobs being slashed due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The average monthly income of households...

Politics

Joe Biden says he will likely pick his vice president by August 1

Joe Biden is yet to name his pick for his vice president. However, he said that the vetting process would likely be done by July and that he would already decide on a running mate by August 1. In an interview with CNNs...

President Donald Trump's tweets receive fact check warnings, threatens to shut down social media sites

President Donald Trump has been known to engage in Twitter rants, attacking people he does not like on the platform. Following Twitters fact check warnings on some of his recent tweets, Trump threatens to close down the...

Pennsylvania Governor Tom Wolf endorses Joe Biden as President

Former vice president Joe Biden has received endorsements from many workers organizations as of late. His latest endorsement comes from Pennsylvanias Governor Tom Wolf. Wolf announced his decision to endorse Biden...

Donald Trump, Melania Trump face backlash for not wearing face masks during public events

Donald Trump and Melania Trump has received some backlash online after attending public Memorial Day events without face masks. The criticisms amass as the United States continues to see a daily increase in COVID-19...

Barack Obama can reportedly visit Queen Elizabeth again even after he left the White House

Presidents and first ladies of the United States have been some of the usual visitors of Queen Elizabeth and the British Royal Family over the years. However, the 44th US President Barack Obama reportedly left such a good...

Science

New study suggests asteroid collision did not cause extinction of the dinosaurs

It is widely believed that an asteroid collision on Earth was responsible for the mass extinction of the dinosaurs. However, a new study seems to suggest that it was not the case at all. Express reports that researchers...

Apollo 11: Buzz Aldrin reveals how they planted the US flag on the Moon

The historical Apollo 11 mission took place in 1969, with Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin becoming the first men on the Moon. In uncovered interview footage, Aldrin reveals something about the flag they planted on the...

NASA: Rocosmos says Russia is to begin work on new space station

As NASA and Elon Musks SpaceX program are to make their first-ever launch on American soil, this would mean NASA would no longer rely on Russian space agency Rocosmos for launching its astronauts into space. Rocosmos chief...

Asteroids: Asteroid-comet hybrid spotted by NASA's asteroid warning system

Hybrids of objects seen in space are very rarely sighted, until recently. NASAs asteroid warning system in Hawaii recently spotted one hybrid of an asteroid and a comet known as Trojans. Express reports that astronomers...

Technology

PS Plus free games June 2020: ‘Call of Duty: WWII’ confirmed, second title could be ‘Star Wars Battlefront II’ or ‘Marvel’s Spider-Man’

Sony is doing things a bit differently with its announcement for the PS Plus free games for June 2020. The first game, Call of Duty: WWII, is already available for PS4 console gamers even before May ended. However, the...

Square Enix reportedly works on ‘Kingdom Hearts’ TV pilot with Unreal Engine

Rumored plans to bring Sora to the TV screens appear to be moving along. Square Enix has been reportedly asked to make the Kingdom Hearts TV series pilot using the Unreal Engine. Square Enix is involved in making...

‘The Sims 5’ listed as an ‘incoming PS5 game’ on PlayStation Magazine

EA and Maxis may have been very quiet about their plans for The Sims 5, but it appears that the PlayStation Magazine is not. The latter listed the next life simulation title as one of the incoming games to Sonys...

Free Games with Gold June 2020: “Sine Mora,” “Destroy all Humans” and other Xbox One and Xbox 360 games next month

Microsoft has officially unveiled the rooster of titles included in its Games with Gold for June 2020. Next months free Xbox One and Xbox 360 games include Destroy all Humans, Sine Mora, Shantae and the Pirates Curse, and...

‘GTA 6’ release date is likely happening in 2023

There has been quite a debate among fans and industry insiders about the release date window of GTA 6. Some of them may have gotten it right, as it now appears that the next game will not be launched until 2023. GTA 6...
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