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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

Oil Prices Climb on Iran Sanctions, OPEC Output Cuts, and U.S. Inventory Data

Oil prices rose on Thursday amid growing concerns of supply tightening after the U.S. imposed new sanctions to restrict Iranian oil exports and several OPEC members pledged to cut output to address overproduction. Brent...

Dollar Set for Fourth Weekly Loss as Tariff Worries and Safe-Haven Demand Grow

The U.S. dollar is poised for its fourth straight weekly loss as investor concerns over tariffs and trade uncertainty drive a shift away from U.S. assets. Despite a slight rebound from a seven-month low against the yen,...

Xi Jinping's Cambodia Visit Sparks Hopes for China-Backed Canal Project

Cambodia is banking on increased financial support from China as President Xi Jinping visits Phnom Penh, concluding his Southeast Asia tour. The trip, seen as a strategic charm offensive, follows Xis visits to Malaysia and...

Singapore’s March Exports Rise 5.4% Amid Tariff Concerns and Growth Forecast Cut

Singapores non-oil domestic exports (NODX) rose 5.4% year-on-year in March, according to Enterprise Singapore data released Thursday. The increase was driven by gains in both electronics and non-electronic shipments....

BOJ to Cut Growth Outlook Amid Trump Tariff Risks

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to lower its economic growth forecast at its upcoming April 30May 1 policy meeting, as escalating tariff risks from U.S. President Donald Trump threaten Japans export-driven recovery....

Politics

Macron Vows Justice as French Prisons Face Wave of Attacks

French President Emmanuel Macron pledged swift justice following a third consecutive night of violent attacks targeting prisons across France. At least nine correctional facilities and related institutions, including a...

U.S. Senator Denied Access to Deported Salvadoran Held in Notorious Prison

U.S. Senator Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) was denied access to Kilmar Abrego Garcia, a Salvadoran man mistakenly deported from the United States, during a diplomatic visit to El Salvador. Abrego Garcia, who lived in Maryland,...

Trump Appoints Jay Clayton as Interim U.S. Attorney Amid Senate Opposition

Former SEC Chairman Jay Clayton has been appointed by President Donald Trump as interim U.S. attorney for the Southern District of New York, while his full-time nomination awaits Senate confirmation. Trump announced the...

Carney and Poilievre Clash in Heated Canada Election Debate Over U.S. Tariffs and Housing Crisis

In a high-stakes French-language debate held in Montreal on April 16, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre faced off for the first time ahead of the April 28 federal election. The...

Trump Administration Eyes $40 Billion Cut to Health Department Budget

The Trump administration is reportedly planning to slash approximately $40 billion from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), according to a preliminary budget document obtained by The Washington Post....

Science

Kennedy Sets September Deadline to Uncover Autism Causes Amid Controversy

U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced a bold plan to identify the cause of autism by September 2025. Speaking at a cabinet meeting with President Donald Trump, Kennedy declared a global...

AstraZeneca’s Imfinzi Gets US Approval for Bladder Cancer Treatment

AstraZenecas drug Imfinzi (NASDAQ: AZN) has received U.S. approval to treat adult patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer, a significant advancement in cancer therapy. The approval allows Imfinzi to be used in...

Sanofi’s New Hemophilia Drug Qfitlia Gains FDA Approval with Breakthrough Bimonthly Dosing

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved Qfitlia, a groundbreaking hemophilia treatment by French pharmaceutical giant Sanofi (NASDAQ: SNY). Designed for patients aged 12 and older with hemophilia A or B,...

FDA Vaccine Chief Peter Marks Resigns Amid Controversy Over Transparency

Peter Marks, the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations (FDA) top vaccine official, has resigned after reportedly being forced out by the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), according to The Wall Street Journal....

Museums have tons of data, and AI could make it more accessible − but standardizing and organizing it across fields won’t be easy

Ice cores in freezers, dinosaurs on display, fish in jars, birds in boxes, human remains and ancient artifacts from long gone civilizations that few people ever see museum collections are filled with all this and more....

Technology

U.S. Imposes New Export Curbs on Nvidia and AMD AI Chips to China

The U.S. Commerce Department announced new export licensing requirements on Tuesday targeting Nvidias H20 and AMDs MI308 artificial intelligence chips, along with equivalent models, restricting their shipment to China. The...

NVIDIA Stock Dips on $5.5B Hit From China Export Controls

NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) shares fell 6% in after-hours trading to $105.42 after the company announced it expects up to $5.5 billion in charges related to U.S. export restrictions on its AI chips to China. The charges will be...

Japan Orders Google to Halt Anticompetitive Smartphone Practices

Japans Fair Trade Commission (JFTC) has issued a cease and desist order to Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL) for engaging in anticompetitive practices, marking the countrys first formal crackdown on a U.S. tech giant for market...

TSMC Nears Breakthrough in Advanced Chip Packaging to Power AI Growth

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), the worlds leading contract chipmaker, is nearing completion of a cutting-edge chip packaging technology to meet surging demand for high-performance AI chips, according to...

Blue Origin Boosts Space Tourism with Katy Perry on Historic All-Female Flight

Pop star Katy Perry and five other trailblazing women successfully completed a historic suborbital spaceflight aboard Blue Origins New Shepard rocket on April 14, marking the first all-female space mission in over 60...