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Dollar Slides as Softer US Inflation Dims Fed Rate Hike Expectations 
UBS Boosts China Tech Bets, Adds Kuaishou and Meituan to Focus List 
US Stock Futures Hold Steady as Soft Inflation Data Eases Fed Rate Hike Fears 
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Asian Stocks Rally as Cooling U.S. Inflation Boosts Fed Rate Cut Hopes 
Australian Business Conditions Hold Steady as Easing Cost Pressures Face New Oil Price Risks 
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Japanese Yen Holds Steady as Intervention Hopes Grow Ahead of U.S. CPI Data 
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Asian Currencies Stay Rangebound as Middle East Tensions, Weak China GDP Weigh on Sentiment 
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Asian Stocks Rise as Softer U.S. Inflation Boosts Sentiment Despite Middle East Tensions 
Asian currencies strengthened on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar extended its recent decline ahead of closely watched U.S. nonfarm payrolls data. The softer greenback provided broad support across regional foreign exchange markets, while the Chinese yuan remained largely steady following weaker-than-expected January inflation figures.
The Australian dollar emerged as the top performer, with AUD/USD jumping 0.7% to $0.7125, its highest level in three years. The rally followed hawkish remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser, who stated that inflation remains elevated and interest rates may not yet be restrictive enough. His comments came shortly after the RBA delivered a 25-basis-point rate hike—its first increase in two years—responding to a resurgence in inflation toward late 2025. Investors are now closely monitoring upcoming first-quarter inflation data for further signals on potential additional rate hikes, boosting demand for the Aussie dollar.
Meanwhile, the Chinese yuan hovered near 6.91 against the U.S. dollar, close to its weakest level since May 2023. The currency showed limited reaction to data revealing softer consumer price index (CPI) inflation and another contraction in producer price index (PPI) inflation, marking the 40th consecutive month of producer deflation. Analysts noted that seasonal factors, including the timing of the Lunar New Year holiday, may have influenced January’s figures. Nevertheless, the data reinforced expectations for further economic stimulus from Beijing to combat persistent disinflationary pressures.
The Japanese yen also gained ground, with USD/JPY falling 0.5% to around 153.6, its lowest level in nearly two weeks. A weaker dollar and political stability following Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s decisive lower house victory supported the yen, despite Japanese markets being closed for a holiday.
The dollar index slipped 0.1% to 0.2% in Asian trading after disappointing U.S. retail sales data heightened concerns about slowing economic growth. Traders are now focused on upcoming U.S. payrolls and CPI inflation data, which could further influence currency market volatility. Other regional currencies saw modest moves, with USD/SGD edging lower, USD/KRW rising slightly, and USD/INR holding near 90.5.
