France’s far-right National Rally is intensifying its push against the government, refusing to back down on budget demands and raising the possibility of a no-confidence vote. The fallout could shake political and financial stability across the country.
Standoff Intensifies as French Far Right Pressures Government Over Budget
On Sunday, members of the far-right National Rally (RN) in France said that the government had rejected their demands for additional budget concessions, increasing the likelihood of a vote of no confidence in the prime minister, Michel Barnier, in the near future, Reuters reports.
Lawmaker Marine Le Pen of the Republican Left had given Barnier until Monday to meet the party's budget demands or risk their support for a probable vote of no confidence in his administration, which would lead to its downfall.
In a statement to the French news agency Agence France-Presse, Le Pen expressed her belief that the government had effectively "put an end to discussions," further intensifying the impasse.
According to her earlier statement on Sunday, Barnier was presented with a dilemma: either negotiate additional concessions or risk his government being ousted in a vote of no confidence.
Even though Barnier had scrapped an intended hike to the electricity tax last week, the RN is now demanding that he raise pensions to keep up with inflation, even though he had intended to raise them less than inflation in order to save money.
Far Right Demands Spark Budget Showdown
Additionally, the RN is dissatisfied with the possibility of a gas tax increase and wants the government to abandon its plans to reduce drug reimbursements. It has several demands, one of which is a reduction in France's financial commitment to the EU.
If Barnier is forced to use his forceful constitutional powers to pass a social security finance law, the government's impasse might reach a climax as soon as Monday. This would invariably lead to a no-confidence move from the left.
If the RN does not abstain, Barnier's administration and the budget bill will not stand a chance in the divided lower chamber, and France will be thrown into a political catastrophe.
It was interpreted by RN party head Jordan Bardella as a sign that the government will not make any additional modifications after Budget Minister Laurent Saint-Martin stated on Sunday that the administration recognized a compromise that legislators had achieved on the social security measure.
Budget Impasse Risks Economic Fallout
"Through stubbornness and sectarianism, the minority government is putting an end to negotiations, running the risk of a vote of no confidence," said Bardella on X.
A no-confidence vote would have severe repercussions for French taxpayers and pensioners, according to Saint-Martin and Finance Minister Antoine Armand, who have issued warnings as the impasse deepens.
According to Armand, who spoke to the weekend newspaper le Journal du Dimanche, this would necessitate the passage of special emergency legislation in order to guarantee a budget at the beginning of the year.
Because it was unable to compensate for inflation, it could only carry over spending caps and tax provisions from this year, which would have a negative impact on pensions and cause tax thresholds to rise for 17 million people, Investing.com shares.
France's Bonds Under Pressure Amid Political Crisis
French debt and stocks have been under pressure due to mounting budget and political uncertainty, which has driven the risk premium on government bonds to a level not seen in almost a decade last week.
While raising concerns about France's ability to adhere to the government's deficit-reduction goals, Standard & Poor's maintained its AA- rating on French debt, providing some solace on Friday.