Today German GDP figure was released, which showed German economy grew 0.3% in third quarter, up 1.8% from a year ago.
While the growth figure is much better than 1.6% y/y in second quarter and 1.1% in the first, a closer look reveals thanks go to migrants and German consumers.
- To provide migrants places to stay and to provide them jobs, government has been spending billions of Dollar that has boosted overall GDP.
- Final consumption expenditure growth came at 0.6% q/q, highest since fourth quarter last year.
- Government expenditure rose by 1.3% from previous quarter and up by 2.9% from a year ago, which is fastest rise in expenditure since the 2008/09 crisis.
While overall consumption remained robust, other elements have not been much of a show
- Export growth was much weaker, growing at just 0.2%. Without weaker Euro, it could have been worse.
- Investment remains weak, with gross capital formation shrank for second consecutive quarter, -0.4% in second quarter and -0.3% in third.
Looking at the detailed German GDP, it seems ECB is right in bringing out further stimulus as emerging market weakness is taking toll in Germany as well as larger Europe.


Oil Prices Rebound as Iran Denies U.S. Talks Amid Gulf War Supply Fears
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Reduction: Brookings Research Outlines Possible Path Forward
Oil Prices Plunge Over 6% as Middle East Ceasefire Hopes Ease Supply Fears
US-Iran Ceasefire Talks Underway: What You Need to Know
Japan's Private Sector Growth Slows in March Amid Rising Costs and Middle East Uncertainty
Trump Tariffs Show Minimal Economic Impact but Boost Federal Revenue, Study Finds
Iran-Israel Missile Strikes Continue Amid Mixed Signals on U.S.-Iran Diplomacy
Middle East War Rattles Global Markets as Oil Tops $100 and Dollar Surges
U.S. Stock Futures Steady as Iran Reviews U.S. Ceasefire Proposal
Asian Stocks Gain Amid Iran Conflict Uncertainty




