Today German GDP figure was released, which showed German economy grew 0.3% in third quarter, up 1.8% from a year ago.
While the growth figure is much better than 1.6% y/y in second quarter and 1.1% in the first, a closer look reveals thanks go to migrants and German consumers.
- To provide migrants places to stay and to provide them jobs, government has been spending billions of Dollar that has boosted overall GDP.
- Final consumption expenditure growth came at 0.6% q/q, highest since fourth quarter last year.
- Government expenditure rose by 1.3% from previous quarter and up by 2.9% from a year ago, which is fastest rise in expenditure since the 2008/09 crisis.
While overall consumption remained robust, other elements have not been much of a show
- Export growth was much weaker, growing at just 0.2%. Without weaker Euro, it could have been worse.
- Investment remains weak, with gross capital formation shrank for second consecutive quarter, -0.4% in second quarter and -0.3% in third.
Looking at the detailed German GDP, it seems ECB is right in bringing out further stimulus as emerging market weakness is taking toll in Germany as well as larger Europe.


US Dollar Slips as Weak Retail Sales Reduce Fed Rate Hike Bets
Asian Currencies Edge Higher as Soft US Inflation Weighs on Dollar
Japan Government Backs Earlier BOJ Rate Hike as Inflation Pressures Build
KOSPI Rebounds 20% as Samsung, SK Hynix Lead South Korea Stock Rally
KOSPI Eyes Best Weekly Gain Since June as Samsung, SK Hynix Rally
Oil Prices Fall as U.S. Crude Inventories Surge and Hormuz Tensions Persist
Asian Stocks Rise as AI Chip Rally Lifts South Korea, Japan
France Inflation Rises 2.4% in July as Consumer Prices Increase
Gold Shines on Oil Relief: Buy Dips at $4160, Targeting $4305 as Bullish EMAs Dominate




