Oil Prices Edge Higher as Traders Weigh U.S. Inventory Data and OPEC+ Output Plans

Oil prices climbed in Asian trading on Wednesday as investors digested a mixed U.S. crude inventory report and assessed the broader supply outlook ahead of a modest production increase by OPEC+ in November.

As of 22:11 ET (02:11 GMT), Brent crude futures for December delivery rose 0.7% to $65.91 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 0.8% to $62.23 per barrel. Both benchmarks were little changed in the prior session after volatile trading, reflecting market uncertainty around demand and supply dynamics.

According to data from the American Petroleum Institute (API), U.S. crude inventories grew by 2.78 million barrels in the week ending October 4, exceeding expectations of a 2.25 million-barrel rise. The increase marked a reversal from the previous week’s 3.67 million-barrel draw, signaling weaker demand and raising short-term bearish sentiment.

However, the API also reported declines in gasoline and distillate stocks, down 1.3 million and 1.8 million barrels respectively. The fall suggests steady fuel consumption despite reduced refinery runs amid seasonal maintenance. Traders are now awaiting confirmation from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)’s official data later Wednesday, which could further influence price direction.

The modest rebound in oil prices follows last week’s decision by OPEC+ to raise output by 137,000 barrels per day in November, mirroring October’s increase. The move underscores the alliance’s cautious approach to balancing market stability while slowly reclaiming market share.

Meanwhile, U.S. oil production continues to approach record highs. The EIA revised its 2025 forecast upward to 13.53 million barrels per day, citing stronger output from the Permian Basin and the Gulf of Mexico. The agency also cautioned that rising crude inventories may keep pressure on prices through year-end, even as fuel demand remains resilient.