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The U.S. housing market continues to show resilience, with pending home sales climbing in November to their highest level since February 2023. Despite elevated mortgage rates, buyers are capitalizing on improved inventory, marking the fourth consecutive month of gains in contract signings for previously owned homes.
A Surprising Uptick Amid High Rates
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported on Monday that its Pending Home Sales Index, which tracks signed contracts, increased by 2.2% in November to 79.0, surpassing economists’ expectations of a modest 0.9% rise. Compared to the same period last year, pending sales jumped 6.9%, with the Midwest, South, and West posting monthly gains. However, the Northeast saw a slight dip in activity.
This uptick aligns with a broader recovery in the housing market, as existing home sales also showed signs of improvement in November. Inventory levels were nearly 18% higher than a year earlier, offering buyers more options despite mortgage rates averaging above 6% for two years.
Buyers Recalibrate Expectations
Lawrence Yun, the NAR’s chief economist, attributed the trend to shifting buyer expectations. “Consumers appeared to have recalibrated expectations regarding mortgage rates and are taking advantage of more available inventory,” Yun said. He noted that buyers are no longer waiting for significant rate reductions and are leveraging the market’s shift away from a seller’s advantage.
The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage has risen to 6.85%, the highest since July, counteracting the Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cuts. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note, a key driver of mortgage rates, has also climbed by roughly a percentage point since September, reflecting investor concerns over potential inflationary effects of President-elect Donald Trump’s policy proposals.
Netizens React to Housing Market Momentum
The surprising strength in the housing market has sparked lively discussions online. User @RealEstateTracker tweeted, “Pending home sales climbing despite high rates shows how adaptable buyers are becoming. Inventory levels matter more now than ever.” Another user, @EconomyWatcher, remarked, “Mortgage rates above 6% haven’t stopped determined buyers. The housing market’s resilience is something to watch in 2025.”
Others focused on the broader economic implications. “Higher rates should have cooled demand, but buyers are adjusting. This could stabilize the housing market sooner than expected,” wrote @FinanceGuru24. Meanwhile, @HousingAnalyst cautioned, “The Fed’s cuts aren’t being felt in mortgages yet. Rates are still a big hurdle for many buyers.”
Optimistic voices also emerged. “Finally seeing more homes on the market! This is good news for first-time buyers,” posted @FirstTimeBuyerHope. In contrast, user @PolicyCritic questioned the market dynamics, tweeting, “Will Trump’s policies heat inflation and push rates even higher? Housing could face more pressure soon.”
Looking Ahead
The housing market’s performance in November underscores its resilience in the face of financial headwinds. Buyers, recalibrating their expectations, are seizing opportunities presented by better inventory levels. However, the outlook remains uncertain as bond yields and policy decisions continue to influence mortgage rates and affordability in the coming year.
