South Korea’s Weak Won Struggles as Retail Investors Pour Money Into U.S. Stocks 
Thailand Inflation Remains Negative for 10th Straight Month in January 
RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as India’s Growth Outlook Strengthens After U.S. Trade Deal 
Bank of Japan Signals Readiness for Near-Term Rate Hike as Inflation Nears Target 
Japan Economy Poised for Q4 2025 Growth as Investment and Consumption Hold Firm 
Gold and Silver Prices Slide as Dollar Strength and Easing Tensions Weigh on Metals 
Singapore Budget 2026 Set for Fiscal Prudence as Growth Remains Resilient 
Oil Prices Slide on US-Iran Talks, Dollar Strength and Profit-Taking Pressure 
Trump Signs Executive Order Threatening 25% Tariffs on Countries Trading With Iran 
Global Markets Slide as AI, Crypto, and Precious Metals Face Heightened Volatility 
Russian Stocks End Mixed as MOEX Index Closes Flat Amid Commodity Strength 
Silver Prices Plunge in Asian Trade as Dollar Strength Triggers Fresh Precious Metals Sell-Off 
Fed Governor Lisa Cook Warns Inflation Risks Remain as Rates Stay Steady 
China Extends Gold Buying Streak as Reserves Surge Despite Volatile Prices 
U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains 
India–U.S. Interim Trade Pact Cuts Auto Tariffs but Leaves Tesla Out 
Vietnam’s Trade Surplus With US Jumps as Exports Surge and China Imports Hit Record 
The probability of a U.S. recession this year has climbed to 40%, according to Bruce Kasman, J.P. Morgan’s chief global economist. Speaking in Singapore, Kasman expressed growing concerns over economic instability, marking an increase from his initial 30% projection earlier this year.
Kasman warned that recession risks could exceed 50% if former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs take effect in April. He stressed that continued policy disruptions and business-unfriendly measures could further weaken economic stability.
Despite maintaining a 2% GDP growth forecast for 2025, J.P. Morgan acknowledges mounting risks. U.S. stock markets recently suffered their steepest decline in months, fueled by investor fears that import tariffs could slow economic expansion. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have already downgraded their U.S. GDP growth projections to 1.7% and 1.5%, respectively.
Kasman also cautioned that ongoing political and economic uncertainty could erode investor confidence in U.S. markets. He emphasized that trust in market regulations, transparent information flow, and government stability are crucial for economic resilience.
As concerns over tariffs and economic policies intensify, investors are closely watching for shifts that could further impact financial markets.
