The Japanese yen fell on Thursday amid growing political uncertainty and stalled trade negotiations with the U.S., hitting a one-year low against the euro. Investors are increasingly nervous as polls suggest Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s coalition could lose its upper house majority in Sunday’s election.
Trade tensions are adding pressure, with Japan yet to secure a deal to avoid U.S. tariffs ahead of an August 1 deadline. A 45-minute call between Japan’s top trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa and U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick ended without resolution. President Donald Trump recently hinted that 25% tariffs on Japanese imports may remain unless a deal is reached, compounding market jitters.
June export data showed a 0.5% year-on-year decline, marking the second consecutive monthly drop. The yen weakened 0.4% to 148.44 per dollar and 0.3% to 172.58 per euro. Meanwhile, Trump denied plans to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell despite reports suggesting otherwise, helping the U.S. dollar recover modestly. The dollar index edged up 0.1% to 98.466.
Market experts say any move against Powell could destabilize faith in U.S. financial leadership. ANZ’s Mahjabeen Zaman warned that a dovish Fed could reignite inflation and weaken the dollar further, stressing the importance of Fed independence.
In other currency movements, the Australian dollar fell 0.6% to $0.6491 after disappointing jobs data pushed unemployment to its highest since late 2021. The New Zealand dollar also slipped 0.3% to $0.5929.
As global investors watch Japan’s election outcome and the U.S.-Japan tariff standoff, market volatility and pressure on the yen are expected to persist.


UBS Boosts China Tech Bets, Adds Kuaishou and Meituan to Focus List
China Home Prices Fall Again in June Despite Slower Pace of Decline
Asian Stocks Rally as Cooling U.S. Inflation Boosts Fed Rate Cut Hopes
Asian Stocks Slide as Chip Selloff Deepens Ahead of TSMC Earnings
U.S. Imposes 25% Tariff on Select Brazilian Imports After Section 301 Trade Investigation
Oil Prices Climb as Trump Escalates Iran Pressure, Strait of Hormuz Risks Grow
Gold Prices Slip as Oil Rally Fuels Inflation Fears, Strengthens Dollar
US Stock Futures Hold Steady as Soft Inflation Data Eases Fed Rate Hike Fears
Gold Prices Head for Biggest Weekly Loss Since June as Fed Rate Outlook Weighs
Asian Currencies Stay Rangebound as Middle East Tensions, Weak China GDP Weigh on Sentiment
Asian Currencies Hold Steady as Middle East Tensions Offset Weaker US Dollar
Asian Stocks Rise as Softer U.S. Inflation Boosts Sentiment Despite Middle East Tensions
US Inflation Expected to Ease in June, but Fed Rate Hike Risks Persist Amid Middle East Tensions
Brazil Weighs IP Curbs, Patent Suspensions After New U.S. Tariffs
South Korea Raises Interest Rates to 2.75% as Inflation and Weak Won Drive Tightening
Japanese Yen Holds Steady as Intervention Hopes Grow Ahead of U.S. CPI Data
Oil Prices Set for Weekly Surge as U.S.-Iran Conflict Fuels Supply Fears 



