Currency War Series

Policy rate decision: Poland to remain on hold

Nov 29, 2015 23:58 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Polands CPI deflation is expected to persist at -0.4% y/y in November, an improvement over the -0.7% y/y reading last month. With respect to the NBP rate decision this week, since the old MPC remains intact for one more...

RBA ends the year on hold

Nov 29, 2015 22:54 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The final RBA board meeting for this year will be held on Tuesday, with the Governor speaking on the economy the next day, shortly before the release of Q3 GDP. The RBA is expected to remain on hold, albeit with an easing...

BoC to hold despite weaker data

Nov 29, 2015 22:25 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

On Wednesday the BoC will hold its last meeting of the year. The bank is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged, as inflation is holding well and economic activity in the non-resource sector compensates the decline in...

Currency War Series

One last call before the FOMC

Nov 29, 2015 22:03 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The market will be looking for reassurance regarding the start and pace of the Feds tightening cycle while waiting for the FOMC meeting on December 16. Fed futures are assigning a 74% probability of a rate hike in December...

Currency War Series

All eyes on the ECB

Nov 29, 2015 21:22 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Thursdays ECB meeting will be the key catalyst for EURUSD this week. A 10bp cut is expected in the depo rate and a time extension of QE. However, recent ECB comments coupled with the still unimpressive euro area inflation...

Expectations mount for Draghi’s big stimulus package

Nov 27, 2015 17:30 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

With ECB President Draghi only last week noting that we will do what we must to raise inflation, expectations are widespread for a multi-faceted easing. This is likely to include a 20bp deposit rate cut, and both a larger...

ECB Preview: ECB to fulfil the high expectations

Nov 27, 2015 16:11 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

On the back of the dovish stance at the ECB meeting in October, economists expect the ECB to deliver an aggressive package of monetary easing measures in December. Specifically, economists expect ECB to cut the deposit...