ECB under pressure from falling inflation expectations

Aug 28, 2015 15:33 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The 5Y 5Y forward swap rate of inflation (or 5Y 5Y inflation) has fallen significantly in recent weeks. The 5Y 5Y inflation rate is a financial measure often referred to by the ECB, as the central bank considers it...

ECB Preview: More easing before year-end

Aug 28, 2015 14:39 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The ECB will hold its regular monetary policy meeting next week on Thursday, 3 September. Since the last policy meeting in July, there have been several macroeconomic and financial factors that have reduced the near- and...

Israel keeps its base rate unchanged

Aug 28, 2015 12:44 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Israel kept its 0.10% base rate on hold this week, as expected. The central bank is under pressure to loosen monetary policy conditions with inflation low at -0.3% y/y and recent growth indictors very negative. The main...

Dovish ECB should lead to a reversal of the latest steepening move

Aug 28, 2015 07:45 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

While the ECB will be likely to deliver a dovish message, it is unclear whether the Governing Council would consider recent developments big enough to tweak the QE programme in terms of size, extension of the eligible...

ECB likely to lower its inflation forecast next week

Aug 28, 2015 07:41 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

More clarity on the ECBs view on inflation should come from its 3 September meeting. As for the latest forecasts published in June, the ECB sees inflation averaging 0.3% this year, 1.5% in 2016 and 1.8% in 2017."However,...

Currency War Series

Intensified currency war implies stronger effective Euro

Aug 28, 2015 04:48 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The ECBs outlook for higher inflation is threatened by a renewed trend higher in the effective EUR, which, when considering the 3M change, is at the highest rate in more than two years. The upward pressure on the EUR...

Why analysts think Fed's September rate hike is unlikely

Aug 27, 2015 12:31 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Recent turmoil in the financial market along with drop in inflation has seriously pushed back expectations of a rate hike from FED as early as September. Here is why some analysts and economists think that it is...