ECB to lower inflation path in September

Aug 18, 2015 09:39 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The minutes of the July ECB meeting signaled cautious optimism that ECB QE was helping to improve confidence and expand credit. But they also emphasized that downside risks were still elevated, given a weak inflation...

Better US consumption cautious Fed

Aug 18, 2015 09:29 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Away from China, solid retail sales mean that Q2 real consumption in the US is now tracking 3.1%, with momentum continuing into Q3. Meanwhile, the Fed has been careful not to reveal its intentions regarding a September...

PBoC’s intervention reflects expectation of a weaker Chinese Yuan

Aug 18, 2015 07:36 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

PBoC set USD-CNY fixing rate at 6.3966 this morning, compared with previous clos-ing of 6.3949. In the meantime, Chinas central bank injected RMB120bn cash into the market via 7-day reverse repo, compared with todays...

RBA minutes signal 'on Hold' stance as lower AUD assists transition

Aug 18, 2015 03:34 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

For the first time in almost two years the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) signalled that the Australian dollar wasnt overvalued in its monthly monetary policy statement, sending a clear signal to markets that further...

RBA to release its August meeting Minutes today

Aug 18, 2015 00:20 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will release the minutes of its August meeting during the night. However, we should not read too much into these statements. For Australia, economic developments in China, its largest...

Bank of Indonesia rate to remain unchanged

Aug 17, 2015 20:44 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Indonesia (BI) is expected to remain on hold during its monetary policy meeting in August, even as the economy braces for its second sub-5% annual growth since the financial crisis hit us. With inflation...

Euro area inflation is lower, but the ECB should not change its view

Aug 17, 2015 15:12 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Following the latest decline in the oil prices, the euro area inflation forecast has been down to 0.1% from 0.2% in 2015 and to 1.2% from 1.4% in 2016. Updated projection does not include a new period of deflation, but it...