ECB bond purchase programme to continue through 2016

Jul 21, 2015 07:57 am UTC| Commentary

The QE programme is progressing as planned by the ECB. A scarcity of eligible bonds might have abated after the rise in bond yields. The ECB is expected to frontload its asset purchases in June and July, but the central...

China's new urban jobs fell in H1 2015, unlikely to continue in H2

Jul 21, 2015 07:47 am UTC| Commentary

A slowdown is showed in the pace of Chinas new urban jobs creation in the latest quarterly employment report by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). In H1 2015, new urban jobs fell by 190k to 7.18m vs 7.37m in the same...

EUR-USD set for high volatility

Jul 21, 2015 07:47 am UTC| Commentary

High volatility in EUR-USD is observed in past few days.(6M ATMF volatility from approx. 11½% to just above 10%). Commerzbank argues that the preliminary end of the Greece crisis is a reason for moderately lower...

Czech National Bank to intervene finally to push EUR/CZK up

Jul 21, 2015 07:23 am UTC| Commentary

EUR/CZK moved aggressively towards its 27.00 floor, over the past week, and warned that CNB may soon have to intervene to defend the floor.In a significant development yesterday, CNB confirmed to the media that it had to,...

RBA wants AUD to weaken further

Jul 21, 2015 07:19 am UTC| Commentary

Since mid-2012 the Australian economy has gained almost 18% in price competitiveness against its trade partners. That is not enough for the RBA. In the minutes of its last meeting it continues to point out that the AUD...

NBH likely to issue final rate cut of the cycle today

Jul 21, 2015 07:10 am UTC| Commentary

There is a small probability of 15bp reduction by NBH to 1.35%, but it will not have a very different market impact. Until last week, it was unclear whether NBH would cut the rate this month at all or not a disorderly...

USD/CAD to move above 1.30 by end Q3

Jul 21, 2015 07:09 am UTC| Commentary

The BoCs decision to cut its official rate by 25bp to 0.5% at its 15 July policy meeting pushed USD/CAD to a new 6-year high of 1.2959. The cut occurredagainst the backdrop of a continued weakening in both commodity prices...