Poland likely on hold even as deflation continues

Apr 10, 2015 18:24 pm UTC| Commentary

In Poland, the NBP meets next week following its 50bp cut to 1.5% last month. Given its announcement that this is the last and final cut, expect the NBP to remain on hold for the next few meetings.The PLN has appreciated...

RBI continues to display a clear dovish bias

Apr 10, 2015 18:10 pm UTC| Commentary

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept its key policy interest rates unchanged earlier this week, but continues to display a clear dovish bias, as indicated by its comment, that "going forward, the accommodative stance of...

Further qualitative easing from the BOJ likely at the 14-15 July meet

Apr 10, 2015 17:59 pm UTC| Commentary

Japan public investment, a key economic driver under PM Abe, may now be in a long-term downtrend. Capex, a noticeable laggard, should slowly strengthen but could use support.An IOER cut would lower the BoJs "funding for...

Oil price and currency declines benefitting European economy

Apr 10, 2015 17:51 pm UTC| Commentary

Economic data in the euro area continue to provide evidence of accelerating growth supported by strong data on private consumption and retail sales."We estimate that economic activity in the EA expanded by 0.5% q/q in Q1...

UK headline inflation to remain subdued

Apr 10, 2015 16:25 pm UTC| Commentary

Last month saw the UK headline inflation rate fall to a record low of 0.0%y/y, largely driven by falls in petrol and food prices. The peak impact of the cuts to energy tariffs announced so far is set to feed through into...

US March headline inflation likely to remain close to zero

Apr 10, 2015 16:00 pm UTC| Commentary

Alongside a plethora of Fed speakers, markets will have plenty of other US releases to chew on this week. The data flow includes February industrial production (Weds), business inventories (Tues), housing data (Thurs) and...

US retail sales to provide an indication of the economy’s strength

Apr 10, 2015 15:53 pm UTC| Commentary

Retail sales report will be a litmus test of US consumers health. The March FOMC minutes showed a diverse set of views within the Committee regarding the policy outlook. However, the meeting took place before the weak...