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FxWirePro: Low vols indicate hedge but no-hedge - Arrest dollar weakness against yen via options triangle

Mar 22, 2018 07:37 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Fed unsurprisingly delivered the sixth rate hike in the current cycle. The target range for the federal funds rate is now at 1.50%-1.75%. Considering the recent hawkish turn in Fed communications, markets were more...

FxWirePro: Capitalize on USD/JPY shrinking vols and abrupt rallies to deploy short leg in PRBS on hedging grounds

Mar 22, 2018 07:08 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

FxWirePro: Umpteen reasons for BCB to be hawkish, handful to be dovish though – RV options trades to hedge BRL

Mar 21, 2018 12:58 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Brazilian central bank (BCB) holds monetary policy meeting tonight and would decide on its key rate. Well, thereve been a couple of factors that prompt for a further rate cut but also reasons for a pause. Moderate...

FxWirePro: Drivers and relative value trades for Scandinavian FX basket

Mar 21, 2018 12:45 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We uphold long in NOKSEK in the spot and in option forms as Norway continues to deliver better news with the underlying message being that activity data is improving and inflation is firming, which in combination with a...

FxWirePro: Gold bulls test supports at double top neckline, bears active on failure swings at rising wedge resistance – Trade boundary binaries

Mar 21, 2018 11:06 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

The gold (XAUUSD) on daily terms: the double top formation is spotted out with top 1 at 1365.95 and top 2 at 1344.62 and neckline at 1306.40 levels. This bearish pattern is coupled with shooting star that has occurred at...

FxWirePro: Discovery of long Vega hedges via cheap FVA spreads

Mar 21, 2018 10:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The lack of many reactions from the likes of Antipodeans and loonie fetches out prospects to buy underpriced hedges via optionality. Most noticeably, aggregate USD-denominated implied correlations still trade near their...

FxWirePro: USD/KRW lucrative Theta themes for Double-No-Touch structures

Mar 21, 2018 08:24 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The trade protectionism theme that took place last week, shot back into focus as a potential major left tail risk for markets which got further aggravated by the subsequent retaliatory rhetoric from Europe and Asia....

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Economy

EUR/USD Eyes 1.17 as Fed Decision Could Weigh on Dollar

EUR/USD could climb back toward its summer highs near 1.17 if next weeks Federal Reserve decision sparks a sell the news reaction in the U.S. dollar, according to Citi strategists. However, geopolitical tensions and...

Central Banks Could Buy 20,000 Tonnes of Gold: BofA

Central banks may have significant capacity to continue buying gold even after several years of record demand, according to Bank of America (BofA). The bank estimates that institutions currently underweight in gold could...

UK Businesses Urge Government to Cut Electricity Levies

British businesses are pressing the government to remove levies from electricity bills as high energy costs put increasing pressure on energy-intensive sectors such as steel, chemicals and manufacturing, Bloomberg reported...

UK Economy Grows 0.4% in July, Beating Forecasts

Britains economy expanded by a stronger-than-expected 0.4% in July, maintaining solid momentum from the first half of 2026 despite economic pressures linked to the U.S.-Iran war, according to data released Friday by the...

US Treasury Yields Near 5% as Oil Fuels Inflation Fears

Global bond markets came under heavy selling pressure on Friday, pushing the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield close to the critical 5% threshold as soaring oil prices and expectations for higher interest rates intensified...

Politics

Sweden Election Puts Far Right and Centre Left in Tight Race

Swedish voters head to the polls on Sunday in a closely contested parliamentary election that could either bring the far-right Sweden Democrats into government for the first time or return the country to centre-left...

Russian Strikes Across Ukraine Kill Nine, Injure Dozens

Russian air strikes across multiple Ukrainian regions killed at least nine people and injured dozens on Saturday, damaging homes, businesses and critical infrastructure as attacks intensified away from the front lines....

Ukraine Prepares for October Peace Talks With Russia and US

Ukraine is preparing for a possible resumption of trilateral peace talks with Russia and the United States in October as diplomatic efforts to end the more than four-and-a-half-year war regain momentum. Kyrylo Budanov,...

Trump Backs United Ireland During Dublin Visit

U.S. President Donald Trump said he would love to see Northern Ireland unite with Ireland, breaking with the traditionally neutral position taken by previous U.S. presidents on the politically sensitive issue. Speaking...

BRICS Calls for Restraint as Middle East War Escalates

BRICS leaders unanimously adopted the New Delhi Declaration on Saturday, expressing deep concern over escalating tensions in the Middle East and calling for maximum restraint as fighting between the United States and Iran...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Hyundai Delays In-House ADAS, Turns to Nvidia

Hyundai Motor Group plans to introduce vehicles running its proprietary driver-assistance software in late 2029, delaying the technology by about two years as the South Korean automaker expands its partnership with Nvidia....

SpaceX Nasdaq 100 Weight Set to More Than Double

SpaceX is poised to receive a substantially larger weighting in the Nasdaq 100 later this month, potentially driving billions of dollars in purchases by passive investment funds that track the technology-heavy index....

Meta’s AI Shopping Push Grows as Agentic Commerce Remains Below 1%

Agentic commerce still accounts for less than 1% of overall e-commerce activity, despite a wave of new AI shopping agents from Meta, Anthropic and other technology companies. Meta this week launched Muse, a personal AI...

OpenAI Rules Out 2026 IPO as Altman Prioritizes AI Safety

OpenAI will not pursue an initial public offering in 2026 as the artificial intelligence company focuses on mounting safety and alignment challenges, CEO Sam Altman said in an interview with Fortune published Saturday....

OpenAI Agents Linked to RubyGems Cyberattack

OpenAIs AI agents were involved in a previously undisclosed cyber incident that disrupted RubyGems, a widely used software package distribution service, in May, according to a Wall Street Journal report. OpenAI confirmed...