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FxWirePro: Judicious interpretations of GBP/JPY vols convexity and skewness

Jul 28, 2017 06:56 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that the positively skewed IVs of GBPJPY of 1m tenors signify the hedgers interests in OTM put strikes. Whereas IVs of these tenors are just shy above 9.12% which is highest among G7 currency space, while...

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY shooting stars pop up to resume bearish action in major trend, can it be a double top in minor trend – Buzzing yields via one touch binary puts

Jul 28, 2017 06:17 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

GBPJPY bulls managed to breach above 23.6% Fibonacci levels but havent been able to sustain above range resistance at 147.778 levels. Although GBPJPY began this week with minor spikes, halted bull swings at 21DMA levels...

FxWirePro: USD against EM Asian baskets - Deploy USD/CNH calendar straddles on Yuan’s mild stiffness

Jul 27, 2017 13:20 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Against the backdrop of continued USD weakness, USDCNY dipped below 6.74 this morning, although the PBoC set the fixing rate even lower at 6.7307. Yesterday afternoon, we saw decent selling USD flows from corporates in...

FxWirePro: Crude inventory updates and WTI/Brent strategic hedging insights

Jul 27, 2017 12:21 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Yesterday, US EIAs inventory report is not hot news by now, but its worth keeping track of insights in order to forecast the underlying prices of crude prices. This weeks report was bullish for crude, gasoline, and...

FxWirePro: Buy USD/RUB knock-in call spreads on hopes of CBR’s dovish rhetoric

Jul 27, 2017 11:07 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

USDRUB is up from yesterdays lows of 55.9615 to the current 59.3750, while EURRUB rose 1.27% to 69.5690 while articulating. For now, the spot long USDRUB trade recommendations are not encouraged, for a profit of 4.15%...

FxWirePro: Is skew-ATM volatility of USD/RUB justifiable? Menace of US sanction on Russia drives CBR dovishness

Jul 27, 2017 10:28 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The planned US sanctions against Russia mark a new low in the political relations between the two countries. The US legislation projects new sanctions against state-owned Russian companies in the mining, metal, shipping...

Electric Vehicle Series

How electric vehicles could take a bite out of the oil market

Jul 27, 2017 10:13 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

When will cars powered by gas-guzzling internal combustion engines become obsolete? Not as soon as it seems, even with the latest automotive news out of Europe. First, Volvo announced it would begin to phase out the...

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Economy

Oil Prices Surge Amid U.S.-Iran Tensions and Strait of Hormuz Supply Concerns

Oil prices climbed sharply during early Asian trading on Monday, building on strong gains from the previous week as geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran showed little sign of easing. The lack of...

US Stock Futures Steady as Oil Prices Surge and Big Tech Earnings Loom

U.S. stock index futures showed little movement Sunday night following record-breaking closes last week, as rising oil prices and stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations weighed on investor sentiment. Market participants are now...

U.S.-Iran Tensions Escalate as Strait of Hormuz Crisis Disrupts Global Oil Markets

Geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran continue to intensify, significantly impacting global energy markets and international diplomacy. U.S. naval forces recently intercepted a sanctioned vessel, the M/V...

Canadian Dollar Outlook: Resilient Performance Driven by Oil Prices and Market Dynamics

The Canadian dollar (CAD) has demonstrated notable resilience among G10 currencies in recent weeks, even as domestic economic data shows signs of softness. According to Goldman Sachs, this strength comes despite...

U.S.-Iran Conflict Stalls as Diplomatic Efforts Collapse and Global Oil Tensions Rise

Hopes for a diplomatic breakthrough in the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran have faded as negotiations remain stalled, prolonging uncertainty in global markets and geopolitics. Efforts to end the two-month conflict...

Politics

U.S. Warns Allies Over Alleged Chinese AI IP Theft Linked to DeepSeek

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight concerns over alleged intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies, including startup DeepSeek. According to a...

China Conducts Live-Fire Drills Near Luzon as U.S.-Philippines Balikatan Exercises Expand

China recently carried out military drills, including live-fire exercises, in waters east of Luzon Island in the Philippines, highlighting rising tensions in the South China Sea. The announcement came as the United States...

US-Iran Tensions Rise as Nuclear Talks Stall and Strait of Hormuz Crisis Deepens

Global attention has shifted back to escalating US-Iran tensions as diplomatic efforts to end the ongoing conflict show little progress. President Donald Trump stated that Iran could initiate negotiations if it is willing...

King Charles to Join NYC Mayor at 9/11 Memorial During U.S. State Visit

New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani is set to join Britains King Charles in a solemn wreath-laying ceremony at the 9/11 memorial during the monarchs upcoming visit to the United States. The event will take place at the World...

Bennett and Lapid Unite to Challenge Netanyahu in Upcoming Israeli Election

Two of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahus strongest political rivals, Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, have announced a strategic alliance aimed at unseating his government in the anticipated Israeli election later...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

DeepSeek V4 Launch Signals China’s Growing AI Independence with Huawei Chips

DeepSeek, a fast-rising Chinese AI startup, has unveiled a preview of its highly anticipated V4 model, marking a major step toward Chinas technological independence. The new model, optimized for Huaweis Ascend chips,...

Judge Dismisses Elon Musk’s Fraud Claims Against OpenAI, Trial to Proceed on Remaining Allegations

A U.S. federal judge has dismissed key fraud claims brought by Elon Musk in his high-profile lawsuit against OpenAI and its co-founder Sam Altman, marking a significant development in the ongoing legal battle. The ruling,...

$16B Michigan Data Center Project Boosts U.S. AI Infrastructure Expansion

Related Digital, a major data center developer, announced on Friday that it has secured $16 billion in financing to support the construction of a large-scale data center campus in Michigan. This significant investment...

U.S. Raises Alarm Over Chinese AI Firms’ Alleged IP Theft Through Model Distillation

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight what it describes as large-scale intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies. According to a diplomatic cable...

DeepSeek Launches V4 AI Models with Enhanced Reasoning and 1M Token Context Window

DeepSeek has unveiled preview versions of its latest open-source artificial intelligence models, marking a significant step forward in AI performance and reasoning capabilities. The new releases, DeepSeek-V4-Pro and...
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