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FxWirePro: Stay short in USD/INR futures as Indian rupee strength to intensify amid both fiscal and monetary policies

Aug 03, 2017 12:39 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in the end, has delivered a 25bps policy rate cut. But more evidently the market doesnt seem to be satisfied yet, especially as RBI reiterated a neutral stance. While INR continues to...

FxWirePro: USD/JPY 1m skewness signals bearish risks and lures reverse knock-in spreads

Aug 03, 2017 12:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that the positively skewed IVs of USDJPY of 1-month tenors signify the hedgers interests in OTM put strikes of 108 marks. While delta risk reversals have been flashing up the bearish neutral numbers,...

FxWirePro: Turkish lira gives up recent gains to dollar - USD/TRY bounces back, EUR/TRY hits all-time highs – Unearth right drivers and hedge price risks

Aug 03, 2017 11:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

USDTRY bounced back from the lows of 3.5107 levels. But as you could observe, the trend has remained in a range from the last couple of weeks. Looking at USD/CEEMEA FX, we still see good chances of at least launching...

FxWirePro: Buzzing Vega longs in AUD/USD Put Ratio Back Spreads as optimized hedging vehicles capitalizing subdued Aussie trade balance

Aug 03, 2017 10:03 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Australias trade surplus narrowed 58 pct to AUD 0.86 billion in Jun2017 from a downwardly revised AUD 2.02 billion in May. The trade prints came in which has missed the market consensus of AUD 1.78 billion, as exports fell...

FxWirePro: Are EUR/USD skews justifiable, how should central banks function? The fair assessment of realized skews

Aug 03, 2017 07:58 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Weve stated in our recent posts about euro positive skewness. But the options skew reflects the relative appetite for calls and puts, which only partly reflects pure directional expectations. The skew is primarily about...

FxWirePro: Aussie bears slide below 7-DMA but major trend in consolidation phase breaks above range resistance – Double no touch binaries for leverage

Aug 03, 2017 07:48 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

The bulls of AUDUSD seem to have been exhausted momentarily at the peaks of 0.8065 levels. On the flip side, the major trend has been drifting in range bounded trend, but for now, bulls have managed to break the long...

FxWirePro: How do you position the shift in EUR/USD skews towards calls?

Aug 03, 2017 06:28 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

EURUSD skews seem to have turned towards calls, and thats only the beginning. The option skew reflects the relative appetite for calls and puts, which only partly reflects pure directional expectations. The skew is...

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Economy

Oil Prices Surge Amid U.S.-Iran Tensions and Strait of Hormuz Supply Concerns

Oil prices climbed sharply during early Asian trading on Monday, building on strong gains from the previous week as geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran showed little sign of easing. The lack of...

US Stock Futures Steady as Oil Prices Surge and Big Tech Earnings Loom

U.S. stock index futures showed little movement Sunday night following record-breaking closes last week, as rising oil prices and stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations weighed on investor sentiment. Market participants are now...

U.S.-Iran Tensions Escalate as Strait of Hormuz Crisis Disrupts Global Oil Markets

Geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran continue to intensify, significantly impacting global energy markets and international diplomacy. U.S. naval forces recently intercepted a sanctioned vessel, the M/V...

Canadian Dollar Outlook: Resilient Performance Driven by Oil Prices and Market Dynamics

The Canadian dollar (CAD) has demonstrated notable resilience among G10 currencies in recent weeks, even as domestic economic data shows signs of softness. According to Goldman Sachs, this strength comes despite...

U.S.-Iran Conflict Stalls as Diplomatic Efforts Collapse and Global Oil Tensions Rise

Hopes for a diplomatic breakthrough in the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran have faded as negotiations remain stalled, prolonging uncertainty in global markets and geopolitics. Efforts to end the two-month conflict...

Politics

U.S. Warns Allies Over Alleged Chinese AI IP Theft Linked to DeepSeek

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight concerns over alleged intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies, including startup DeepSeek. According to a...

China Conducts Live-Fire Drills Near Luzon as U.S.-Philippines Balikatan Exercises Expand

China recently carried out military drills, including live-fire exercises, in waters east of Luzon Island in the Philippines, highlighting rising tensions in the South China Sea. The announcement came as the United States...

US-Iran Tensions Rise as Nuclear Talks Stall and Strait of Hormuz Crisis Deepens

Global attention has shifted back to escalating US-Iran tensions as diplomatic efforts to end the ongoing conflict show little progress. President Donald Trump stated that Iran could initiate negotiations if it is willing...

King Charles to Join NYC Mayor at 9/11 Memorial During U.S. State Visit

New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani is set to join Britains King Charles in a solemn wreath-laying ceremony at the 9/11 memorial during the monarchs upcoming visit to the United States. The event will take place at the World...

Bennett and Lapid Unite to Challenge Netanyahu in Upcoming Israeli Election

Two of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahus strongest political rivals, Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, have announced a strategic alliance aimed at unseating his government in the anticipated Israeli election later...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

DeepSeek V4 Launch Signals China’s Growing AI Independence with Huawei Chips

DeepSeek, a fast-rising Chinese AI startup, has unveiled a preview of its highly anticipated V4 model, marking a major step toward Chinas technological independence. The new model, optimized for Huaweis Ascend chips,...

Judge Dismisses Elon Musk’s Fraud Claims Against OpenAI, Trial to Proceed on Remaining Allegations

A U.S. federal judge has dismissed key fraud claims brought by Elon Musk in his high-profile lawsuit against OpenAI and its co-founder Sam Altman, marking a significant development in the ongoing legal battle. The ruling,...

$16B Michigan Data Center Project Boosts U.S. AI Infrastructure Expansion

Related Digital, a major data center developer, announced on Friday that it has secured $16 billion in financing to support the construction of a large-scale data center campus in Michigan. This significant investment...

U.S. Raises Alarm Over Chinese AI Firms’ Alleged IP Theft Through Model Distillation

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight what it describes as large-scale intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies. According to a diplomatic cable...

DeepSeek Launches V4 AI Models with Enhanced Reasoning and 1M Token Context Window

DeepSeek has unveiled preview versions of its latest open-source artificial intelligence models, marking a significant step forward in AI performance and reasoning capabilities. The new releases, DeepSeek-V4-Pro and...