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FxWirePro: Dual strong thematic but defensive trade ideas in cross assets via variance swap spreads

Aug 01, 2017 12:52 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We have suggested two cross-asset variance swap spread trades since the note, and there are important lessons that we have learned in a low-vol environment. As these trades are most likely to be used for carry in a low-vol...

FxWirePro: Cheap valuations available in CEEMEA FX pool

Aug 01, 2017 11:40 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

In EM, keep structural long in ILS vs a 50:50 EUR:USD basket and stay short EURCZK. We are bullish the koruna and expect the currency to trend appreciate over the coming months. Long ILS vs a 50:50 EUR:USD basket for a...

FxWirePro: Long delta/short vega in EUR/CHF call flies seems optimized hedge

Aug 01, 2017 11:04 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that the OTC VIX for EURCHF has been the highest, but IVs of longer tenors have still been on the lower side, while risk reversals indicate the hedgers interests in the bullish risks. With limited room...

FxWirePro: Option straps to hedge NZD/JPY invoices

Aug 01, 2017 08:28 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that call options of 1m and 2m tenors are trending higher at 9.22% and 9.33% respectively. Please also be noted that the options with a higher IV cost more which is why in this case OTM puts have been...

FxWirePro: NZD/JPY consolidation phase restrained below stiff resistance of 83.929, bearish SMA crossover signals more dips on cards

Aug 01, 2017 07:20 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

NZDJPY bears resume with bearish engulfing in minor trend, as a result, yesterdays rallies are restrained below EMAs, and the current prices again remain below 7-SMAs. Bearish SMA crossover signals more slumps. So, we...

FxWirePro: China to append stress on copper prices

Aug 01, 2017 05:28 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The prices of industrial metals (Copper and nickel) showing strength but supply abundant Base metals are consolidating recent gains at the end of a week which has seen strength in copper and nickel prices, which are both...

FxWirePro: EMFX appeals for high carry on lingering skepticism of FOMC

Jul 31, 2017 13:28 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Fed signals concern about low inflation but expect to start unwinding QE soon. But market pricing for a fed funds rate hike before December ticked up slightly to almost 50%. While the July FOMC meeting came and went,...

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Economy

BOJ Flags Import Costs and Yen Shocks as Persistent Inflation Risks

The Bank of Japan is increasingly concerned that rising import costs and currency fluctuations can trigger sharp inflation in Japan, suggesting these supply-driven price pressures should play a greater role in monetary...

Asian Stocks Fall as AI Fears and Oil Surge Hit Markets

Asian stocks declined on Monday as concerns over a potential slowdown in artificial intelligence development pressured technology shares, while oil prices above $100 a barrel fueled inflation fears and expectations for...

Hormuz Vessel Traffic Drops to Single Digits

Commodity vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz dropped to single-digit daily levels over the weekend, highlighting growing disruption to one of the worlds most important energy and shipping routes. Preliminary...

Goldman Sachs Forecasts Fed Rate Hike as Inflation Risks Rise

Goldman Sachs now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its September meeting, reversing its previous forecast for no change as inflation concerns intensify across U.S. financial...

Gold Prices Fall as Hot U.S. Inflation Boosts Fed Rate Hike Bets

Gold prices moved lower on Monday as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation increased expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike this week, while surging oil prices added fresh inflation concerns. Spot gold...

Politics

Takaichi-Backed Koja Wins Okinawa Governor Race

A candidate supported by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis government has won the Okinawa gubernatorial election, potentially clearing the way for Tokyo to expand its military presence across the strategically...

Philippines Holds Historic Bangsamoro Election Amid Tight Security

Voting began Monday in the Philippines Muslim-majority south in a landmark Bangsamoro election, with security tightened after pre-election violence left three people dead and 15 others wounded. The vote is considered a...

China’s Global Times Slams Anthropic CEO’s AI Slowdown Plan as ‘Cold War’ Strategy

Chinas state-backed Global Times has criticized Anthropic CEO Dario Amodeis proposal to slow the development of advanced artificial intelligence, arguing that the initiative reflects a U.S. Cold War playbook aimed at...

Sweden Election: Centre-Left Holds Narrow Lead

Swedens centre-left opposition held a slim lead over the right-wing government early Monday as vote counting continued in a closely contested national election that could reshape the countrys immigration and domestic...

Houthi Red Sea Gains Strengthen Iran’s Leverage Over Gulf States

The Houthi takeover of strategic areas along Yemens Red Sea coast is shifting the Gulf balance of power, giving Iran greater leverage over Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states as disruptions threaten key global oil and...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Z.AI Shares Slide 7% After $5 Billion Fundraising

Z.AI shares tumbled nearly 7% on Monday, reaching a 5-1/2-month low after the Chinese artificial intelligence company completed a roughly $5 billion fundraising package involving discounted new shares and convertible...

Anthropic Eyes Second Straight Profitable Quarter Ahead of Potential IPO

Anthropic expects to post positive adjusted operating income for a second consecutive quarter, signaling improving financial performance as the artificial intelligence company moves closer to a potential IPO, the Financial...

Trump Vows to Keep U.S. Ahead of China in AI Race

President Donald Trump said Sunday that the United States must maintain its artificial intelligence lead over China, pushing back against calls from prominent technology leaders to slow AI development amid growing safety...

Samsung, SK Hynix Reject KEPCO’s $18.7 Billion Power Funding Plan

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have rejected a proposal from Korea Electric Power Corp. (KEPCO) that would require the chipmakers to provide 25 trillion won ($18.7 billion) in upfront funding to secure electricity...

Hyundai Delays In-House ADAS, Turns to Nvidia

Hyundai Motor Group plans to introduce vehicles running its proprietary driver-assistance software in late 2029, delaying the technology by about two years as the South Korean automaker expands its partnership with Nvidia....