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FxWirePro: Naked options seem inefficient, options spread structures for directional Euro bulls

Jul 07, 2017 10:31 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

EUR vols do not yet attractive to sell. Some may be tempted to benefit already from the spike in EUR swaption vols triggered by last Tuesdays Draghi speech in Sintra. EUR vol is up, but from very low levels so it is still...

FxWirePro: Mounting EUR/JPY IVs highest among G10 FX space and bearish-neutral risk reversals signal “Diagonal Options Strips”

Jul 07, 2017 08:07 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that the IVs of EURJPY is spiking highest among G10 FX space and risk reversals have been indicating bearish risks in short run and has been neutral in the long run. A Risk Reversal is an individually...

FxWirePro: What’s underlying in EUR/JPY OTC tools?

Jul 07, 2017 07:55 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY retraces more than 50% fibos, expect more rallies on bullish DMA crossover – Deploy long hedges and one touch binary calls

Jul 07, 2017 06:59 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

It has broken a stiff resistance of 128.875 levels, current prices spike well above SMAs. For now, more rallies on card as 7DMA crosses over 21DMA which is a bullish crossover. After last weeks whipsaws pattern,...

FxWirePro: Chinese capital inflows… Is it an “error or omission?” – Choice between “Interest rate swaps or outright trades”

Jul 06, 2017 13:07 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

In China, we have recently seen CAIXIN PMIs out for June month after surprising to the low side in May at 49.6, however, the parallel Jun national PMI measure did rise 0.5pts last Friday to 51.7. The balance of payments...

FxWirePro: EM central banks radar - Snippets on rate derivatives options

Jul 06, 2017 12:38 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

In this write-up, the central banks of EM rate expectations monitor reveal some opportunities. While EMFX implied volatility has moved higher from the multiyear lows this week and DM rates sold off. In Korea, the market...

FxWirePro: Ruble dips but not sinks - Demote USD/RUB spot longs, promote optionality to arrest dubious upside risks

Jul 06, 2017 12:13 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The combination of a Fed overlooking benign core inflation, rising core yields and adjustment of ECB policy is nonetheless likely to constitute a mild tightening of financial conditions for EM, which warrants adding to...

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Economy

Dollar Rises as Fed Hike Bets Weigh on Asian Currencies

Asian currencies weakened against the U.S. dollar on Monday as investors raised expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike this week. The Japanese yen remained close to a seven-month high as traders also...

BOJ Flags Import Costs and Yen Shocks as Persistent Inflation Risks

The Bank of Japan is increasingly concerned that rising import costs and currency fluctuations can trigger sharp inflation in Japan, suggesting these supply-driven price pressures should play a greater role in monetary...

Asian Stocks Fall as AI Fears and Oil Surge Hit Markets

Asian stocks declined on Monday as concerns over a potential slowdown in artificial intelligence development pressured technology shares, while oil prices above $100 a barrel fueled inflation fears and expectations for...

Hormuz Vessel Traffic Drops to Single Digits

Commodity vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz dropped to single-digit daily levels over the weekend, highlighting growing disruption to one of the worlds most important energy and shipping routes. Preliminary...

Goldman Sachs Forecasts Fed Rate Hike as Inflation Risks Rise

Goldman Sachs now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its September meeting, reversing its previous forecast for no change as inflation concerns intensify across U.S. financial...

Politics

Trump Open to Chinese Automakers Building Cars in US

President Donald Trump said he would not oppose Chinese automakers opening manufacturing plants in the United States, provided they build vehicles domestically and employ American workers. If China wanted to come in and...

Trump Touts $5,000 Checks if Republicans Win Congress

President Donald Trump said the United States could afford to send $5,000 payments to every American adult if Republicans retain control of Congress in this years elections, though lawmakers said the proposal would require...

Takaichi-Backed Koja Wins Okinawa Governor Race

A candidate supported by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis government has won the Okinawa gubernatorial election, potentially clearing the way for Tokyo to expand its military presence across the strategically...

Philippines Holds Historic Bangsamoro Election Amid Tight Security

Voting began Monday in the Philippines Muslim-majority south in a landmark Bangsamoro election, with security tightened after pre-election violence left three people dead and 15 others wounded. The vote is considered a...

China’s Global Times Slams Anthropic CEO’s AI Slowdown Plan as ‘Cold War’ Strategy

Chinas state-backed Global Times has criticized Anthropic CEO Dario Amodeis proposal to slow the development of advanced artificial intelligence, arguing that the initiative reflects a U.S. Cold War playbook aimed at...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

SoftBank Shares Plunge 11% After OpenAI Rules Out 2026 IPO

SoftBank Group shares plunged on Monday as investors reacted to OpenAI CEO Sam Altman ruling out a public listing in 2026 and growing calls to slow the pace of artificial intelligence development. SoftBank (TYO: 9984)...

Z.AI Shares Slide 7% After $5 Billion Fundraising

Z.AI shares tumbled nearly 7% on Monday, reaching a 5-1/2-month low after the Chinese artificial intelligence company completed a roughly $5 billion fundraising package involving discounted new shares and convertible...

Anthropic Eyes Second Straight Profitable Quarter Ahead of Potential IPO

Anthropic expects to post positive adjusted operating income for a second consecutive quarter, signaling improving financial performance as the artificial intelligence company moves closer to a potential IPO, the Financial...

Trump Vows to Keep U.S. Ahead of China in AI Race

President Donald Trump said Sunday that the United States must maintain its artificial intelligence lead over China, pushing back against calls from prominent technology leaders to slow AI development amid growing safety...

Samsung, SK Hynix Reject KEPCO’s $18.7 Billion Power Funding Plan

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have rejected a proposal from Korea Electric Power Corp. (KEPCO) that would require the chipmakers to provide 25 trillion won ($18.7 billion) in upfront funding to secure electricity...