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Significant upside risk to Poland's inflation could prompt rate hike discussions at end-2017

Jul 06, 2017 11:52 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

The Monetary Policy Council of the National Bank of Poland (NBP) maintained interest rate at a record low 1.50 percent on Wednesday, as widely expected. The lombard rate was retained at 2.50 percent and the deposit rate at...

FxWirePro: Bullish and bearish scenarios of USD/MXN - Bidding cheap risk-reversals to serve hedging objectives of tail risk of Trump’s regime

Jul 06, 2017 11:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Bullish and bearish scenarios of USDMXN: Bullish scenario: USDMXN could be seen at 20 over 2H17 on a putative disorderly renegotiation of NAFTA, de-anchoring inflation expectations leading to bond outflows and local...

FxWirePro: Uphold USD/BRL ratio call spreads as Brazilian lira reflects broader appetite amid major uptrend

Jul 06, 2017 11:18 am UTC| Insights & Views

In Brazil, reform optimism has not waned and there is increasing risk that Temer may not complete his term. USDBRL should move higher as reform optimism wanes. Economic activity should recover and the rate easing cycle is...

FxWirePro: Relative value options trades for EURUSD amid bullish neutral risk reversals

Jul 06, 2017 09:12 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The focus in the euro area today will be the account from the ECBs June Governing Council meeting which will be analyzed for any further insight into the likely timing of the ECBs announcement of a gradual tapering....

FxWirePro: Optionality touch for distressed AUD after recent perplexed RBA’s status quo

Jul 06, 2017 07:39 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

Enduring macro trends in FX remain elusive as the passage of time has resolved few uncertainties in the past month. We expect AUDJPY to decline through 2017 on skinnier rate differentials and a pull-back in commodity...

FxWirePro: History repeats for AUD/JPY after equidistant channel travel, shooting stars signal weakness – Construct tunnel spreads for leveraged speculation

Jul 06, 2017 07:14 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

After big bearish engulfing pattern candle, bears have managed to remain below 21DMA consistently (refer 4H charts). History repeats in the major trend, ever since it has broken channel resistance at 80.356 levels, the...

FxWirePro: Delta hedging and FVAs for Jitters of TRY on surprising Turkish CPI

Jul 05, 2017 13:18 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

CBRT monetary policy may gradually loosen from here. After roughly 350 bps tightening since the start of the year, the central bank may have fewer reasons to maintain such a tight monetary stance in the months ahead. CPI...

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Economy

Dollar Rises as Fed Hike Bets Weigh on Asian Currencies

Asian currencies weakened against the U.S. dollar on Monday as investors raised expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike this week. The Japanese yen remained close to a seven-month high as traders also...

BOJ Flags Import Costs and Yen Shocks as Persistent Inflation Risks

The Bank of Japan is increasingly concerned that rising import costs and currency fluctuations can trigger sharp inflation in Japan, suggesting these supply-driven price pressures should play a greater role in monetary...

Asian Stocks Fall as AI Fears and Oil Surge Hit Markets

Asian stocks declined on Monday as concerns over a potential slowdown in artificial intelligence development pressured technology shares, while oil prices above $100 a barrel fueled inflation fears and expectations for...

Hormuz Vessel Traffic Drops to Single Digits

Commodity vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz dropped to single-digit daily levels over the weekend, highlighting growing disruption to one of the worlds most important energy and shipping routes. Preliminary...

Goldman Sachs Forecasts Fed Rate Hike as Inflation Risks Rise

Goldman Sachs now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its September meeting, reversing its previous forecast for no change as inflation concerns intensify across U.S. financial...

Politics

Trump Open to Chinese Automakers Building Cars in US

President Donald Trump said he would not oppose Chinese automakers opening manufacturing plants in the United States, provided they build vehicles domestically and employ American workers. If China wanted to come in and...

Trump Touts $5,000 Checks if Republicans Win Congress

President Donald Trump said the United States could afford to send $5,000 payments to every American adult if Republicans retain control of Congress in this years elections, though lawmakers said the proposal would require...

Takaichi-Backed Koja Wins Okinawa Governor Race

A candidate supported by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis government has won the Okinawa gubernatorial election, potentially clearing the way for Tokyo to expand its military presence across the strategically...

Philippines Holds Historic Bangsamoro Election Amid Tight Security

Voting began Monday in the Philippines Muslim-majority south in a landmark Bangsamoro election, with security tightened after pre-election violence left three people dead and 15 others wounded. The vote is considered a...

China’s Global Times Slams Anthropic CEO’s AI Slowdown Plan as ‘Cold War’ Strategy

Chinas state-backed Global Times has criticized Anthropic CEO Dario Amodeis proposal to slow the development of advanced artificial intelligence, arguing that the initiative reflects a U.S. Cold War playbook aimed at...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

SoftBank Shares Plunge 11% After OpenAI Rules Out 2026 IPO

SoftBank Group shares plunged on Monday as investors reacted to OpenAI CEO Sam Altman ruling out a public listing in 2026 and growing calls to slow the pace of artificial intelligence development. SoftBank (TYO: 9984)...

Z.AI Shares Slide 7% After $5 Billion Fundraising

Z.AI shares tumbled nearly 7% on Monday, reaching a 5-1/2-month low after the Chinese artificial intelligence company completed a roughly $5 billion fundraising package involving discounted new shares and convertible...

Anthropic Eyes Second Straight Profitable Quarter Ahead of Potential IPO

Anthropic expects to post positive adjusted operating income for a second consecutive quarter, signaling improving financial performance as the artificial intelligence company moves closer to a potential IPO, the Financial...

Trump Vows to Keep U.S. Ahead of China in AI Race

President Donald Trump said Sunday that the United States must maintain its artificial intelligence lead over China, pushing back against calls from prominent technology leaders to slow AI development amid growing safety...

Samsung, SK Hynix Reject KEPCO’s $18.7 Billion Power Funding Plan

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have rejected a proposal from Korea Electric Power Corp. (KEPCO) that would require the chipmakers to provide 25 trillion won ($18.7 billion) in upfront funding to secure electricity...