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FxWirePro: Adjustments in KRW derivatives portfolio on dovish BoK

Jun 06, 2016 12:52 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The KRW rates market has re-priced significantly higher its expectation for BoK easing, now pricing in a 66% chance of a cut in the next three months versus only around 35% before the May MPC minutes. But in this meeting...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

June hike off the table, Fed to seek more evidence before pushing rates higher

Jun 06, 2016 10:58 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Non-farm payrolls report for May released last Friday showed US employment growth slowed sharply to 38k jobs in May which was weak even after adding back the 35k striking Verizon workers. Revisions to previous payroll data...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Indian and Chinese imports reluctant to polish Gold's glitter - Hedge XAU/USD further downside risks via 3way straddle vs call

Jun 03, 2016 12:01 pm UTC| Insights & Views

We remain bearish on a trend basis. We forecast the gold spot price to average $1,150/oz during Q4 2016 and $1,050/oz during 2017. The strong gold rally during the first four months of this year was driven largely by...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: How do you tone down divergence between MXN and crude oil?

Jun 03, 2016 11:41 am UTC| Insights & Views

The connection between crude oil prices and EM currencies has been elevated over the past few years, but the relationship is starting to significantly weaken. It is quite likely that the oil-FX correlation continues to...

Overall Chinese business activity growth weakens for the second month in a row in May

Jun 03, 2016 11:39 am UTC| Insights & Views

May survey data indicated that overall Chinese business activity growth weakened for the second month in a row. Official purchasing managers indices tracking activity in Chinas manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Try hedging TRY's FX risks using 'diagonal combinations' amid political turbulence and macro barriers

Jun 03, 2016 10:43 am UTC| Insights & Views

We do not believe TRY will trade back below 2.85 going forward in long run despite some momentary dips. Inflation differentials alone would take fair value to well above 3.00. Moreover the ongoing support from the EU on...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Brazilian fiscal growth surprises but seems dubious to improve ahead - Hedge USD/BRL risks by shorting strangle

Jun 03, 2016 10:03 am UTC| Insights & Views

The Q1 GDP and April fiscal releases this week managed to surprise us to the upside. As such, we see some upside risk to growth and fiscal forecasts. The Brazilian economy shrank 0.3% in Q1 of 2016, following a...

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Economy

Indian Cotton Yarn Exports Surge as China Demand Rises Amid Global Supply Disruptions

Global supply chain challenges and fuel disruptions caused by the ongoing Middle East conflict have negatively impacted many Indian manufacturing sectors. However, Indias cotton yarn industry is experiencing a significant...

European Car Sales Surge in March as EV and Hybrid Demand Accelerates

European car sales recorded a strong rebound in March, driven largely by rising demand for electric vehicles (EVs) and hybrid cars. According to data released by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA),...

Foreign Investors Drive Surge in Japanese Stocks Amid AI Rally and Improved Risk Sentiment

Japanese stocks experienced a strong wave of foreign investor inflows in the week ending April 18, supported by a rally in artificial intelligence-related companies and improving global risk sentiment. Optimism surrounding...

Nikkei Retreats After Brief 60,000 Break as Profit-Taking and Geopolitical Risks Weigh

Japans Nikkei 225 share average reversed gains on Thursday after briefly surpassing the key 60,000 level, as investors moved to lock in profits following an early surge fueled by technology stocks and optimism surrounding...

Bank of Japan Signals Potential Rate Hike as Inflation Risks Rise Amid Energy Shock

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is widely expected to keep its interest rates unchanged at its upcoming April 2728 policy meeting, while signaling a possible rate hike as early as June or July. With global markets already pricing...

Politics

Taiwan Coast Guard Conducts Rare Drill on Disputed South China Sea Island

Taiwan has carried out a rare high-level visit and military-style exercise on Itu Aba, a Taiwan-controlled island in the contested South China Sea, highlighting growing regional tensions. The visit was led by Ocean Affairs...

Zelensky Warns Ukraine Could Face Patriot Missile Supply Risks Amid Prolonged Iran Conflict

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has raised concerns that Ukraines access to critical U.S. anti-missile defense systems, particularly Patriot missiles, could be at risk if tensions in the Middle Eastespecially...

Navy Secretary John Phelan Fired Amid Pentagon Leadership Shakeup and Shipbuilding Concerns

Navy Secretary John Phelan has been dismissed from his role, according to U.S. officials, marking another major leadership change within the Pentagon during a period of heightened military tension. The Pentagon confirmed...

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis Signs Law Restricting DEI Programs and Climate Initiatives

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has signed a new law that restricts local governments from funding or promoting diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) initiatives, marking a significant shift in state policy. The legislation...

Senate Republicans Push $70B Immigration Funding Plan Amid DHS Shutdown Standoff

U.S. Senate Republicans moved forward Wednesday with a $70 billion funding proposal aimed at supporting Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and U.S. Border Patrol operations over the next three years, intensifying a...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

Microsoft Commits $18 Billion to Expand AI and Cloud Infrastructure in Australia

Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) has unveiled a major investment plan worth A$25 billion (approximately $18 billion) in Australia, signaling a significant push to strengthen its artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing...

Elon Musk Signals Intel 14A Chips for Tesla’s Terafab AI Semiconductor Venture

Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) CEO Elon Musk revealed new details about the companys ambitious semiconductor plans, confirming that the Terafab joint venture intends to leverage Intels advanced 14A chip manufacturing process....

Tesla Earnings Beat Expectations as EV Growth Holds Amid Robotics and AI Shift

Tesla reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter 2026 earnings, driven largely by resilience in its core electric vehicle business, even as the company continues shifting focus toward artificial intelligence, robotics,...

SK Hynix Reports Record Q1 Profit Surge Driven by AI Memory Chip Demand

SK Hynix Inc. (KS:000660) delivered a standout performance in the first quarter, reporting a dramatic surge in operating profit that exceeded market expectations. The South Korean semiconductor giant benefited...

Florida Launches Criminal Probe Into OpenAI Over FSU Shooting Incident

Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier announced Tuesday that the state has opened a criminal investigation into OpenAI and its AI chatbot, ChatGPT, following a deadly shooting at Florida State University last year. The...
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