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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

All eyes on the ECB

Nov 29, 2015 21:22 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Thursdays ECB meeting will be the key catalyst for EURUSD this week. A 10bp cut is expected in the depo rate and a time extension of QE. However, recent ECB comments coupled with the still unimpressive euro area inflation...

Currency War Series

PBoC terminates some onshore commercial banks' cross border lending, CNH liquidity tightens

Nov 27, 2015 08:45 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

USD/CNH one year swap points rose 1900pips today, over 1500pips last week. There is liquidity tightening seen in the offshore market. This is because of Further weakness expected in CNH by the market, lowering the...

Currency War Series

Pressure Builds On Saudi Arabia For Riyal Devaluation

Nov 27, 2015 08:18 am UTC| Commentary

The pressure on Saudi Arabia to reconsider its currency peg has been building up owing to the long period of falling oil prices. Since 1986, the riyal is officiallypeggedto theIMFsspecial drawing rights(SDRs). In practice,...

Currency War Series

Central banks rate decisions outlook for 2016

Nov 27, 2015 06:52 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As highly anticipated by the markets, US Federal Reserve will start its hiking cycle next month on its December 16 meeting, while ECB will likely ease further in its December meeting. US Fed may start rising rates this...

Currency War Series

Checking on FED’s discount rate discussion

Nov 26, 2015 09:20 am UTC| Commentary

This Monday, FED held a closed door meeting to discuss over discount rates to review it and whether to adjust it upwards. No major change has occurred, however a minutes of the previous meeting held on October 26th was...

Currency War Series

RBA will consider further rate cut, given AUD continues current recovery

Nov 26, 2015 08:43 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

RBAs next meeting after the one in next week, will not take place till February. Till then the central bank will meet for the last time on Tuesday, in which it will leave the rate unchanged and publish a positive...

Currency War Series

ECB's mission accomplished?

Nov 26, 2015 08:34 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The European Central Bank is happy with the performance of Euro. Trade-weighted Euro indicates that it is approaching the spring levels again. It is crucial that this trend continues. President Mario Draghi confirmed in...

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Economy

New Zealand Unemployment and Inflation Debate Intensifies Ahead of 2026 Election

New Zealands economic outlook has become increasingly complicated as rising inflation and elevated unemployment place the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) under growing pressure ahead of the closely contested 2026...

Asian Stocks Slide, Oil Prices Climb as Middle East Tensions and Inflation Fears Shake Markets in 2026

Asian stock markets declined on Wednesday while oil prices advanced as escalating tensions in the Middle East fueled investor concerns and weakened confidence across global financial markets. The renewed conflict has...

Japan Producer Prices Surge in May, Strengthening Expectations of BOJ Rate Hike

Japans producer prices increased more than expected in May, highlighting ongoing inflationary pressures driven by rising energy and raw material import costs. Fresh data released by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) showed that the...

US Stock Futures Slip as New Iran Strikes Weigh on Market Sentiment Ahead of Inflation Data

U.S. stock index futures moved lower on Tuesday evening as renewed military action involving Iran dampened investor confidence and raised fresh concerns about geopolitical stability. Market participants are also closely...

BOJ Rate Hike Expectations Rise as Weak Yen and Strong U.S. Jobs Data Increase Pressure

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is facing growing pressure to accelerate interest rate hikes as the Japanese yen remains weak and expectations increase for a more hawkish U.S. Federal Reserve policy. Strong U.S. labor market data...

Politics

Randy Villegas Advances to Face David Valadao in Key California Congressional Race

Democratic challenger Randy Villegas, an educator and community advocate, is projected to advance to the November general election following Californias open primary election held on Tuesday. According to U.S. media...

US Voters Prioritize Party Loyalty Over Candidate Controversies, Reuters/Ipsos Poll Finds

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll suggests that most American voters are unlikely to abandon their preferred political partys candidate, even when serious controversies surround them. The findings highlight the growing political...

Trump Nears Decision on Permanent U.S. Intelligence Chief as FISA Renewal Faces Senate Resistance

President Donald Trump is reportedly close to selecting a permanent Director of National Intelligence (DNI), according to U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson, as lawmakers debate the future of a key U.S. surveillance law set...

Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra Advance to California Governor Election After Primary Results

Republican political commentator Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra have officially advanced to Californias November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election after emerging as the top two candidates in the states June 2 open...

LePage Wins GOP Nomination in Key Maine House Race Ahead of 2026 Election

Former Maine Governor Paul LePage has secured the Republican nomination for Maines 2nd Congressional District, setting the stage for a closely watched showdown in the 2026 U.S. House election. The race is expected to draw...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

SpaceX IPO Demand Surges Past $250 Billion Ahead of Historic Market Debut

SpaceX, the aerospace company founded by Elon Musk, is attracting unprecedented investor interest ahead of what could become the largest initial public offering (IPO) in history. According to a Reuters report, investor...

Trump Administration Defends Anthropic AI Restrictions in Ongoing Federal Lawsuit

The Trump administration has defended its decision to restrict the use of Anthropics artificial intelligence products, arguing in a new court filing that the federal government acted lawfully after the AI company resisted...

OpenAI Files Confidential IPO Draft as AI Giants Race Toward Public Markets

OpenAI has confidentially submitted a draft S-1 registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), taking a major step toward a potential initial public offering (IPO). The move positions the...

Apple Unveils Enhanced Apple Intelligence and Next-Generation Siri at WWDC 2026

Apple has introduced the latest version of its Apple Intelligence platform at the Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) 2026, signaling a stronger push into the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence market. The...

Qualcomm Stock Gains After Jensen Huang Endorsement

Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM) shares moved higher in after-hours trading on Monday, rising approximately 2% after NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang publicly praised the semiconductor company and encouraged investors to...
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