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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

PBoC's further rate cut likely in near future

Nov 24, 2015 09:08 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The industrial profits in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) of China are fallen by 9.2% y/y YTD in October. Corporate indebtedness has raised the credit concerns among commercial banks and poses a significant downside risk to...

Trade War Series

Currency War Series

Saudi's USD/SAR's peg likely to break?

Nov 24, 2015 05:27 am UTC| Commentary

Off-late oil price declines have driven the speculations higher about the USD/SAR pegs breaking possibility. This is unlikely. 12 month forwards are already setting to price in SAR weakness. This clearly signals that...

Currency War Series

South Africa's SARB likely to hike 25bp further in January

Nov 24, 2015 04:45 am UTC| Commentary

The SARBs 25 bp repo rate hike last week to 6.25% was promising that ZAR/USD recovered from its lowest of 14.44, and it has outperformed most of its EM country currency peers in the week. The increased currency...

Currency War Series

Central Bank of Turkey to remain on hold

Nov 24, 2015 04:02 am UTC| Commentary

There is high vulnerability of the central bank to pressures politically. The new policy mix in Turkey will result in easing the domestic monetary conditions overall. Hence, in a politically motivated scenario, i.e....

Currency War Series

Firm Eurozone PMIs unlikely to derail ECB stimulus expectations

Nov 24, 2015 02:14 am UTC| Commentary

The Eurozone economys November composite PMI (flash) ticked up to 54.4 from 53.9, to a four and half year high. Both manufacturing and service PMIs stayed in the expansionary above-50 region. This takes Oct-Nov...

Currency War Series

No further BI easing expected in 2015

Nov 24, 2015 00:11 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Potential Fed rate hike in December the constraint to easing. Better current account data, contained inflation and a recovering currency have provided BI with the previously elusive opportunity to shift its focus to growth...

Currency War Series

BoK will remain on hold in 2016

Nov 23, 2015 23:29 pm UTC| Commentary

Further BoK rate cuts are not expected in 2016, as policymakers will maintain a wait-and-see stance. The ongoing recovery in domestic demand fuelled by credit expansion (especially household credit) is likely be the main...

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Economy

Asian Stocks Mixed as OpenAI Revenue Concerns Hit Chipmakers

Asian stock markets traded unevenly on Friday as semiconductor shares declined following fresh concerns about OpenAIs revenue outlook, while rising oil prices and volatile bond markets weighed on investor sentiment. The...

Gold Prices Rise as Dollar Weakens, Treasury Yields Fall

Gold prices climbed during Asian trading on Friday, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and falling Treasury yields, as investors assessed inflation concerns driven by rising oil prices and expectations of further Federal...

Asian Currencies Steady as Dollar Eyes Fourth Weekly Gain

Asian currencies traded largely flat on Friday as the U.S. dollar headed for its fourth consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates again before the end of 2026....

US, EU Push for Action Against Asia’s Excess Factory Capacity

U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said Thursday that European Union countries have reached a broad consensus on the need to address global manufacturing overcapacity, particularly in Asia, as concerns grow over its...

Wall Street Falls as Oil Prices Rise and Tech Stocks Slide

Wall Street stocks declined for a second consecutive session on Thursday as rising oil prices, Treasury market volatility, and concerns over OpenAIs revenue outlook weighed on investor sentiment. At 13:07 ET, the SP 500...

Politics

Venezuela’s Machado Calls for Elections by July 2027

Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado has called for presidential elections in Venezuela next year, saying the country has sufficient time to organize a vote by July 2027, according to a Financial Times report...

RFK Jr. Launches Nationwide Vaccine Safety Review

US Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has launched a department-wide initiative to investigate and document reported health problems following vaccination, the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced...

Zelenskiy Slams US Over Deadly Russian Strikes on Ukraine

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy criticized the United States for its reluctance to provide additional military support after Russian airstrikes killed dozens of civilians across Ukraine, intensifying tensions over...

Flavio Bolsonaro Leads Lula 49%-45% in Brazil Runoff Poll

Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro holds a narrow lead over President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ahead of the October 25 presidential runoff election, according to a Datafolha poll released Thursday. However, the results...

Trump Buys Up to $25M in Meta Stock, Invests in SpaceX Debt

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) shares briefly climbed more than 1% after President Donald Trumps latest financial disclosure revealed a stock purchase worth up to $25 million. The shares later trimmed their gains as...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Apple Cuts iPhone 18 Pro Production Orders Amid Weak Demand

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) has reportedly instructed several suppliers to reduce component production for its newly released iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max, signaling potential challenges for the companys latest...

OpenAI Revenue Hits $50 Billion, Below Earlier $70 Billion Estimate

OpenAI has informed investors that its annualized revenue reached nearly $50 billion in September, significantly below the $70 billion previously indicated, according to a Reuters report on Thursday. The revised figure...

OpenAI Annualized Revenue Hits $50 Billion, Below Earlier Estimates

OpenAIs annualized revenue reached approximately $50 billion by the end of September 2026, significantly below the $70 billion previously reported to investors, according to financial documents reviewed by the Financial...

Oracle Uses Trucked Natural Gas to Power AI Data Centers Amid Pipeline Delays

Oracle Corp. is transporting natural gas by truck to several data centers across the United States as delays in pipeline construction threaten the companys artificial intelligence infrastructure expansion plans, Bloomberg...

Apple Names Steve Smith M&A Chief in Leadership Shakeup

Apple Inc. is making significant changes to its executive leadership, appointing Steve Smith as its new head of mergers and acquisitions (MA) as the technology giant continues restructuring its management team under newly...
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