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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

PBoC's further rate cut likely in near future

Nov 24, 2015 09:08 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The industrial profits in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) of China are fallen by 9.2% y/y YTD in October. Corporate indebtedness has raised the credit concerns among commercial banks and poses a significant downside risk to...

Trade War Series

Currency War Series

Saudi's USD/SAR's peg likely to break?

Nov 24, 2015 05:27 am UTC| Commentary

Off-late oil price declines have driven the speculations higher about the USD/SAR pegs breaking possibility. This is unlikely. 12 month forwards are already setting to price in SAR weakness. This clearly signals that...

Currency War Series

South Africa's SARB likely to hike 25bp further in January

Nov 24, 2015 04:45 am UTC| Commentary

The SARBs 25 bp repo rate hike last week to 6.25% was promising that ZAR/USD recovered from its lowest of 14.44, and it has outperformed most of its EM country currency peers in the week. The increased currency...

Currency War Series

Central Bank of Turkey to remain on hold

Nov 24, 2015 04:02 am UTC| Commentary

There is high vulnerability of the central bank to pressures politically. The new policy mix in Turkey will result in easing the domestic monetary conditions overall. Hence, in a politically motivated scenario, i.e....

Currency War Series

Firm Eurozone PMIs unlikely to derail ECB stimulus expectations

Nov 24, 2015 02:14 am UTC| Commentary

The Eurozone economys November composite PMI (flash) ticked up to 54.4 from 53.9, to a four and half year high. Both manufacturing and service PMIs stayed in the expansionary above-50 region. This takes Oct-Nov...

Currency War Series

No further BI easing expected in 2015

Nov 24, 2015 00:11 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Potential Fed rate hike in December the constraint to easing. Better current account data, contained inflation and a recovering currency have provided BI with the previously elusive opportunity to shift its focus to growth...

Currency War Series

BoK will remain on hold in 2016

Nov 23, 2015 23:29 pm UTC| Commentary

Further BoK rate cuts are not expected in 2016, as policymakers will maintain a wait-and-see stance. The ongoing recovery in domestic demand fuelled by credit expansion (especially household credit) is likely be the main...

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Economy

Asian Currencies Trade Sideways as Dollar Weakens Ahead of Key U.S. Data

Most Asian currencies traded within a narrow range on Tuesday, while the U.S. dollar remained under pressure as investors stayed cautious ahead of several crucial U.S. economic indicators, starting with the nonfarm...

Gold and Silver Prices Dip as Markets Await Key U.S. Economic Data

Gold and silver prices edged lower in Asian trading on Tuesday as investors booked profits after a strong rally, while global markets turned cautious ahead of critical U.S. economic data. The pullback comes after precious...

Bank of Korea Downplays Liquidity’s Role in Weak Won and Housing Price Surge

South Koreas central bank has pushed back against claims that excessive domestic liquidity is the main driver behind the weakening won and rising residential property prices, calling such arguments an overstatement. In a...

Australian Consumer Sentiment Slumps in Early December as Inflation Fears Resurface

Australian consumer sentiment weakened sharply in early December, according to a private survey released on Tuesday, highlighting growing concerns about inflation and the broader economic outlook. The latest...

Wall Street Futures Slip as Tech Stocks Struggle Ahead of Key US Economic Data

Wall Street futures edged lower on Monday evening as technology stocks remained under pressure following several weak sessions, while investors turned cautious ahead of critical US labor market and inflation data. Market...

Politics

European Leaders Tie Ukraine Territorial Decisions to Strong Security Guarantees

European leaders have agreed that any decisions regarding potential Ukrainian territorial concessions to Russia can only be considered once strong and credible security guarantees are firmly in place, according to a joint...

Sydney Bondi Beach Terror Attack Kills 16, Sparks Gun Law and Security Debate

Australian authorities are investigating a deadly mass shooting at a Hanukkah celebration near Sydneys Bondi Beach as a suspected act of terrorism inspired by Islamic State, marking the countrys worst mass shooting in...

Trump’s Rob Reiner Remarks Spark Bipartisan Outrage After Tragic Deaths

President Donald Trump is facing sharp bipartisan criticism after posting controversial remarks about actor and director Rob Reiner following the shocking deaths of Reiner and his wife, Michele Reiner. The comments, shared...

Taiwan Political Standoff Deepens as President Lai Urges Parliament to Withdraw Disputed Laws

Taiwans political crisis has intensified as President Lai Ching-te warned that the islands global credibility and economic competitiveness are at risk, urging parliament to withdraw a series of controversial laws opposed...

Trump Weighs Reclassifying Marijuana as Schedule III, Potentially Transforming U.S. Cannabis Industry

U.S. President Donald Trump said he is considering an executive order to reclassify marijuana as a less dangerous drug, a move that could significantly reshape federal cannabis policy and the broader marijuana industry. If...

Science

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Trump and Merck KGaA Partner to Slash IVF Drug Costs and Expand Fertility Coverage

U.S. President Donald Trump and German pharmaceutical company Merck KGaA have announced a groundbreaking deal aimed at lowering the cost of in-vitro fertilization (IVF) treatments while boosting access to fertility care in...

Technology

Biren Technology Targets Hong Kong IPO to Raise $300 Million Amid China’s AI Chip Push

Chinese artificial intelligence chip startup Biren Technology is preparing to launch a Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) in the coming weeks, according to multiple sources familiar with the matter. The Shanghai-based...

SUPERFORTUNE Launches AI-Powered Mobile App, Expanding Beyond Web3 Into $392 Billion Metaphysics Market

SUPERFORTUNE, a web3 AI application incubated by Manta Network, has launched its first mobile application, expanding beyond crypto-native users into the global consumer market. The SUPERFORTUNE mobile app delivers...

iRobot Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Amid Rising Competition and Tariff Pressures

iRobot, the company behind the popular Roomba robotic vacuum cleaner, has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the United States as it prepares to go private through an acquisition by Picea Robotics, its primary...

Nvidia Weighs Expanding H200 AI Chip Production as China Demand Surges

Nvidia is evaluating whether to expand production capacity for its powerful H200 artificial intelligence chips after demand from Chinese customers significantly exceeded current supply, according to multiple sources...

SpaceX Begins IPO Preparations as Wall Street Banks Line Up for Advisory Roles

SpaceX has reportedly begun the early stages of preparing for a potential initial public offering (IPO), marking a significant milestone for the private aerospace company founded by Elon Musk. According to a report from...
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