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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Market odds of Fed hikes are falling fast

Feb 04, 2016 02:17 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The markets have always reckoned the Fed would hike fewer times than officials themselves thought but its the swing more than the gap that now catches the eye. Markets priced in close to 3 hikes in 2016 (after the initial...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Market now price in no hike from FED in 2016

Feb 03, 2016 10:13 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants are now seeing no chance of a hike in 2016, especially as volatility returned in the market. Bank of Japans (BOJ) introduction of negative rates seem to have only paused the selloffs for a day and...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Esther George – return of a hawk

Feb 03, 2016 09:37 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

A well-known hawk and dissenter of FED policy is back on the core-committee of FOMC this year, who will be a decision maker in the board. In the past, Ms. George has remained critique of ultra-loose monetary policy of...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed to be cautious in tightening policy, to avoid global asset price inflation

Jan 29, 2016 15:06 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Fed is likely to tighten monetary policy only by as much as markets allow without major turmoil. The Fed will try to avoid any further asset price inflation and ease any bubbles that have already emerged, such as in...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

After FOMC and BOJ, where does FED hike probabilities stand?

Jan 29, 2016 12:26 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants backed down their expectations for rate hike further into the future, more so after FOMC sounded cautious in this weeks meeting and Bank of Japan (BOJ) introduced negative rates. Market now expects...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

US Fed likely to hold funds rate target in March

Jan 28, 2016 06:15 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The US Fed maintained the Fed funds rate target at 0.25-0.50, on par with expectations. Nevertheless, there were many changes to the central banks statement that indicate that the Fed might keep the rates on hold in March....

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Dovish Fed keeps its options open

Jan 27, 2016 20:30 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As expected, the Fed expressed concern about the economic outlook due to the recent market turbulence. But it didnt rule out a rate hike in March. The Fed is expected to postpone the next hike from March to June. As...

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Economy

Asian Currencies Slide as Indian Rupee Hits Record Low Amid Iran Tensions

Asian currencies weakened further on Tuesday, led by the Indian rupee, which plunged to a record low as rising Middle East tensions pushed crude oil prices higher and strengthened demand for the U.S. dollar. Investors also...

US, Japan Reaffirm Strong Currency Coordination Amid Yen Volatility

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reaffirmed strong cooperation on foreign exchange policy during meetings in Tokyo, signaling continued coordination to address excessive...

Rubio Discusses Iran Crisis and Strait of Hormuz Disruptions With UK and Australia

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio held separate discussions on Monday with Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong and British Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper regarding the escalating Iran conflict and the ongoing...

Trump Says Iran Ceasefire ‘On Life Support’ as Oil Prices Surge Above $104

Hopes for a peace deal between the United States and Iran weakened Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump said the fragile ceasefire was on life support following Tehrans rejection of a U.S.-backed proposal aimed at...

US Inflation Expected to Rise Again in April as Fed Signals Higher Interest Rates

U.S. consumer prices likely increased at a steady pace for the second consecutive month in April, reinforcing concerns that inflation remains stubbornly high and strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve will...

Politics

Israel Approves Special Military Tribunal for Hamas October 7 Attack Suspects

Israels parliament has approved a new law establishing a special military tribunal to prosecute Palestinian militants involved in the October 7, 2023 Hamas-led attack on Israel. The legislation, passed late Monday by a...

GOP Lawmakers Probe Sam Altman and OpenAI Ahead of Potential IPO

Republican lawmakers and several Republican state attorneys general are increasing scrutiny of OpenAI CEO Sam Altman over concerns tied to the companys governance and business relationships ahead of a possible OpenAI IPO,...

Trump Weighs Renewed Military Action Against Iran Amid Strait of Hormuz Crisis

U.S. President Donald Trump is reportedly giving stronger consideration to restarting major combat operations against Iran as diplomatic efforts and nuclear negotiations continue to stall. According to a CNN report...

Trump Administration Seeks Court Pause to Reinstate 10% Global Tariffs

The Trump administration has asked a U.S. federal court to temporarily pause a recent ruling that challenged the legality of the administrations 10% global tariff policy while the government continues its appeal process....

Arcadia Mayor Eileen Wang Pleads Guilty in China Foreign Agent Case

Arcadia Mayor Eileen Wang has agreed to plead guilty to a federal charge of acting as an unregistered foreign agent for the Chinese government, according to U.S. officials. The case has drawn national attention due to...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Kuaishou Stock Jumps on Kling AI IPO Plans and $20 Billion Valuation

Kuaishou Technology (HK:1024) shares surged on Tuesday after reports revealed that the Chinese short-video giant is considering spinning off its Kling artificial intelligence video generation business. The news boosted...

Samsung Shares Slide as Labor Talks Intensify Ahead of Planned Strike

Samsung Electronics shares dropped more than 2% on Tuesday as investors monitored critical negotiations between the tech giant and its labor union over a potential strike that could impact the global semiconductor...

Ibiden Stock Surges as AI Chip Demand Boosts Profit Outlook

Ibiden Co., Ltd. (TYO:4062) shares climbed sharply on Tuesday after the Japanese semiconductor component manufacturer reported strong annual earnings and raised its forecast for the current fiscal year. The companys stock...

OpenAI-Microsoft Deal Sets $38 Billion Revenue-Sharing Cap Ahead of Potential IPO

OpenAI and Microsoft have reportedly agreed to place a $38 billion cap on total revenue-sharing payments, according to a report published Monday by The Information. The move is seen as part of OpenAIs broader effort to...

Nintendo Shares Tumble as Weak Forecast and Rising Switch 2 Costs Worry Investors

Nintendo shares plunged on Monday after the Japanese gaming giant posted annual earnings that missed analyst expectations and issued a weaker-than-expected outlook for the current fiscal year. The disappointing forecast...
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