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Fed Hike Aftermath Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: Larger monetary policy divergence means lower rate hikes from FED

Mar 31, 2016 12:49 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

After FED chair Janet Yellen warned that policymakers need to move cautiously in hiking rates, given the current levels of low ammunitions, should the economy turn for worse. It is better to wait and hike than to move fast...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: Checking the hike odds post-Yellen

Mar 31, 2016 06:16 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

After initial FOMC projections cut jolt, rate hike odds were fast forwarding towards June as FOMC projected two rate hikes this year. So which could be the best month to increase rates than June if the hikes to be...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: Take note of Evans, a dove on the change

Mar 23, 2016 12:48 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary

Two rate increases not at all unreasonable When such comments come from the most dovish of FED policymakers, it calls for caution. Chicago FED president Charles Evans, last year has been strongly calling for no hikes,...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath series: Dollar well bid as market sharply fast forwards hike expectations

Mar 23, 2016 09:30 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

For the past three days, Dollar has gained against its developed as well as emerging market currencies. After US Federal Reserve policymakers in its March meeting reduced rate expectations by 50 basis points to just two...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: What to infer from rising inflation expectations?

Mar 23, 2016 07:31 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Breakeven inflation rates in United States and around the world are rising, with partial thanks to higher oil price. However, there is probably more to infer from this rising expectations rather than just to consider it as...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: Hike expectations advance from November to September

Mar 21, 2016 10:47 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

With every improvement in investors sentiment and advance in equity markets, rate hike expectations are growing stronger. After last rate hike in December by FED of 25 basis points, market expectations have moved a lot...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: hike probabilities review

Mar 17, 2016 10:37 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Back in December, after FED hiked rates by 25 basis points, Market was pricing two more hikes in 2016, while FEDs dot-plot was predicting four. Since then lot has happened. As market faced heavy turmoil in January and...

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Economy

Asian Currencies Slide as Indian Rupee Hits Record Low Amid Iran Tensions

Asian currencies weakened further on Tuesday, led by the Indian rupee, which plunged to a record low as rising Middle East tensions pushed crude oil prices higher and strengthened demand for the U.S. dollar. Investors also...

US, Japan Reaffirm Strong Currency Coordination Amid Yen Volatility

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reaffirmed strong cooperation on foreign exchange policy during meetings in Tokyo, signaling continued coordination to address excessive...

Rubio Discusses Iran Crisis and Strait of Hormuz Disruptions With UK and Australia

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio held separate discussions on Monday with Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong and British Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper regarding the escalating Iran conflict and the ongoing...

Trump Says Iran Ceasefire ‘On Life Support’ as Oil Prices Surge Above $104

Hopes for a peace deal between the United States and Iran weakened Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump said the fragile ceasefire was on life support following Tehrans rejection of a U.S.-backed proposal aimed at...

US Inflation Expected to Rise Again in April as Fed Signals Higher Interest Rates

U.S. consumer prices likely increased at a steady pace for the second consecutive month in April, reinforcing concerns that inflation remains stubbornly high and strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve will...

Politics

Israel Approves Special Military Tribunal for Hamas October 7 Attack Suspects

Israels parliament has approved a new law establishing a special military tribunal to prosecute Palestinian militants involved in the October 7, 2023 Hamas-led attack on Israel. The legislation, passed late Monday by a...

GOP Lawmakers Probe Sam Altman and OpenAI Ahead of Potential IPO

Republican lawmakers and several Republican state attorneys general are increasing scrutiny of OpenAI CEO Sam Altman over concerns tied to the companys governance and business relationships ahead of a possible OpenAI IPO,...

Trump Weighs Renewed Military Action Against Iran Amid Strait of Hormuz Crisis

U.S. President Donald Trump is reportedly giving stronger consideration to restarting major combat operations against Iran as diplomatic efforts and nuclear negotiations continue to stall. According to a CNN report...

Trump Administration Seeks Court Pause to Reinstate 10% Global Tariffs

The Trump administration has asked a U.S. federal court to temporarily pause a recent ruling that challenged the legality of the administrations 10% global tariff policy while the government continues its appeal process....

Arcadia Mayor Eileen Wang Pleads Guilty in China Foreign Agent Case

Arcadia Mayor Eileen Wang has agreed to plead guilty to a federal charge of acting as an unregistered foreign agent for the Chinese government, according to U.S. officials. The case has drawn national attention due to...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Kuaishou Stock Jumps on Kling AI IPO Plans and $20 Billion Valuation

Kuaishou Technology (HK:1024) shares surged on Tuesday after reports revealed that the Chinese short-video giant is considering spinning off its Kling artificial intelligence video generation business. The news boosted...

Samsung Shares Slide as Labor Talks Intensify Ahead of Planned Strike

Samsung Electronics shares dropped more than 2% on Tuesday as investors monitored critical negotiations between the tech giant and its labor union over a potential strike that could impact the global semiconductor...

Ibiden Stock Surges as AI Chip Demand Boosts Profit Outlook

Ibiden Co., Ltd. (TYO:4062) shares climbed sharply on Tuesday after the Japanese semiconductor component manufacturer reported strong annual earnings and raised its forecast for the current fiscal year. The companys stock...

OpenAI-Microsoft Deal Sets $38 Billion Revenue-Sharing Cap Ahead of Potential IPO

OpenAI and Microsoft have reportedly agreed to place a $38 billion cap on total revenue-sharing payments, according to a report published Monday by The Information. The move is seen as part of OpenAIs broader effort to...

Nintendo Shares Tumble as Weak Forecast and Rising Switch 2 Costs Worry Investors

Nintendo shares plunged on Monday after the Japanese gaming giant posted annual earnings that missed analyst expectations and issued a weaker-than-expected outlook for the current fiscal year. The disappointing forecast...