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Fed Hike Aftermath Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED officials warn over markets’ dovish hike expectations

May 18, 2016 06:49 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Several FOMC members have come out and warned against too dovish expectations by market participants over rate hike. Yesterday it was Atlanta FED President Dennis Lockhart, Dallas FED President Robert Kaplan and San...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

After NFP, rates market turns more dovish in hike expectations

May 09, 2016 11:52 am UTC| Commentary

After U.S. payroll disappointed on Friday, with just 160,000 job gains, rate market became more dovish in their expectations and that to such extent that market was at point pricing no rate hike this year but next. It has...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath Series: FOMC may await Brexit vote and hike in July

May 06, 2016 08:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

San Francisco FED president John Williams, who has no vote this year thinks 2-3 rate hikes this year reasonable but that will be data dependent and at its June meeting FOMC will have to take into account the possibility of...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: More likelihood of a hike today than markets price-in

Apr 27, 2016 08:16 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants are pricing only 2% chance that there will be a 25 basis points hike today and first hike to come only in September. However, in reality, we feel there is quite a good chance that rates will be hiked...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

What could cause Fed to be more dovish again?

Apr 27, 2016 08:05 am UTC| Insights & Views Commentary Central Banks

Preparation is everything. That also applies for the Feds normalisation course, but no change is expected from the Fed this week. The Fed will need to start prepping the market more actively if a hike in June is a viable...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Odds Shift to September

Apr 26, 2016 06:34 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants have started taking hawkish members of FED quite seriously and with stock markets, commodities shrugging off early weakness along with Dollar losing ground, case for two hikes from FED this year is...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: Hike probabilities review

Apr 21, 2016 07:12 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As Dollar has been weakening steadily since Janet Yellen assured that monetary policy accommodation to be removed only gradually, Market has been a lot more dovish in its projection of FOMC rate. While March FED...

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Economy

Western Allies Boost Ukraine Support Amid Ceasefire Talks

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced that Western allies, excluding the U.S., are intensifying support for Ukraine in case of a ceasefire with Russia. Starmer hosted a virtual meeting with leaders from Germany,...

Russia Stocks Rally as MOEX Russia Index Gains 2.35%

Russian stocks closed higher on Saturday, with the MOEX Russia Index climbing 2.35%, driven by gains in Telecoms, Oil Gas, and Power sectors. Surgutneftegas PJSC (MCX:SNGS) led the session with a 1.01% rise to 26.04,...

Stock Market Correction Deepens: Will the Sell-Off Continue?

The U.S. stock market has officially entered a correction, with the SP 500 plunging over 10% from its February 19 high. The Nasdaq Composite also confirmed its correction last week. This downturn has erased $5 trillion in...

Wall Street Rallies as Tech Leads, But Trade War and Inflation Fears Loom

The SP 500 surged Friday, led by tech stocks, but still marked its fourth straight weekly loss amid trade war concerns and a sharp drop in consumer sentiment. The Dow Jones gained 674 points (1.7%), the SP 500 rose 2%, and...

Peru’s Central Bank Holds Interest Rate at 4.75% Amid Inflation Stabilization

Perus central bank kept its benchmark interest rate steady at 4.75% on Thursday, aligning with market expectations. The decision follows a gradual easing cycle since September 2023, when the rate peaked at 7.75%, making...

Politics

SpaceX Crew-10 Arrives at ISS to Bring Stranded Astronauts Home

A SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule successfully docked at the International Space Station (ISS) early Sunday, completing a 29-hour journey from NASAs Kennedy Space Center. The Crew-10 mission, which launched Friday at 7:03 p.m....

Russia-Ukraine Conflict Escalates with Intense Aerial Strikes Amid Ceasefire Uncertainty

Russia and Ukraine exchanged heavy aerial strikes as the prospect of a 30-day ceasefire remained uncertain. Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed conditional support for the proposal but vowed to continue military...

Federal Judge Blocks Trump’s Wartime Deportation Order for Venezuelan Gang

A federal judge has temporarily blocked President Donald Trumps attempt to use the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to expedite deportations of alleged members of Tren de Aragua, a Venezuelan gang accused of violent crimes. Trump...

Massive Protests in Serbia: Over 100,000 Demand Change in Belgrade

More than 100,000 protesters flooded Serbias capital, Belgrade, in one of the countrys largest demonstrations in decades. The movement, sparked by a deadly railway station collapse that killed 15, has grown into a major...

Trump Orders Massive Strikes on Yemen’s Houthis Amid Rising Tensions

U.S. President Donald Trump launched large-scale military strikes on Yemens Iran-backed Houthi rebels, killing at least 24 people, after continued attacks on Red Sea shipping. The offensive, expected to last weeks, marks...

Science

Leonardo da Vinci’s incredible studies of human anatomy still don’t get the recognition they deserve

Wikimedia, CC BY-SA The mere mention of Leonardo da Vinci evokes genius. We know him as a polymath whose interests spanned astronomy, geology, hydrology, engineering and physics. As a painter, his Mona Lisa and Last Supper...

One of the largest searches for alien life started 30 years ago. Its legacy lives on today

In February 1995, a small research organisation known as the SETI Institute launched what was then the most comprehensive search for an answer to a centuries-old question: are we alone in the universe? This Sunday marks...

South African telescope discovers a giant galaxy that’s 32 times bigger than Earth’s

Inkathazos glowing plasma jets are shown in red and yellow. The starlight from other surrounding galaxies can be seen in the background. K.K.L Charlton (UCT), MeerKAT, HSC, CARTA, IDIA, CC BY You may not know it, but right...

It’s science, not fiction: high-tech drones may soon be fighting bushfires in Australia

Picture this. Its a summer evening in Australia. A dry lightning storm is about to sweep across remote, tinder-dry bushland. The next day is forecast to be hot and windy. A lightning strike tonight could spark a fire that...

Earth is bombarded with rocks from space – but who gets to keep these ultimate antiques?

Every day, about 48.5 tonnes of space rock hurtle towards Earth. Meteorites that fall into the ocean are never recovered. But the ones that crash on land can spark debates about legal ownership. Globally, meteorite hunting...

Technology

Elon Musk and OpenAI Set for Expedited Trial Over AI Dispute

Elon Musk and OpenAI have agreed to fast-track their legal battle over OpenAIs transition to a for-profit model, with a trial set for later this year. The case, playing out in the U.S. District Court for the Northern...

NASA and SpaceX Launch Crew-10 to Replace Stranded Astronauts on ISS

NASA and SpaceX successfully launched the Crew-10 mission on Friday, sending four astronauts to the International Space Station (ISS) in a crucial crew rotation. The mission paves the way for the return of NASA astronauts...

NASA and SpaceX Set to Launch Crew-10 Mission to ISS on March 14

NASA and SpaceX are gearing up for the highly anticipated Crew-10 mission, scheduled to launch on Friday, March 14, at 7:03 p.m. EDT (2303 GMT). The mission will carry four astronauts to the International Space Station...

Apple’s Encryption Clash with UK Sparks U.S. Investigation

British and U.S. officials have engaged in private talks over concerns that the UK is pressuring Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to weaken encryption protections, Bloomberg reported. The discussions follow Apples decision to remove...

AI Revolutionizes Oil and Gas Drilling, Boosting Efficiency and Cost Savings

Artificial intelligence is transforming oil and gas drilling, making once-infeasible projects viable and improving efficiency. At the CERAWeek conference in Houston, industry leaders highlighted how AI-driven innovations...