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Fed Hike Aftermath Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED officials warn over markets’ dovish hike expectations

May 18, 2016 06:49 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Several FOMC members have come out and warned against too dovish expectations by market participants over rate hike. Yesterday it was Atlanta FED President Dennis Lockhart, Dallas FED President Robert Kaplan and San...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

After NFP, rates market turns more dovish in hike expectations

May 09, 2016 11:52 am UTC| Commentary

After U.S. payroll disappointed on Friday, with just 160,000 job gains, rate market became more dovish in their expectations and that to such extent that market was at point pricing no rate hike this year but next. It has...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath Series: FOMC may await Brexit vote and hike in July

May 06, 2016 08:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

San Francisco FED president John Williams, who has no vote this year thinks 2-3 rate hikes this year reasonable but that will be data dependent and at its June meeting FOMC will have to take into account the possibility of...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: More likelihood of a hike today than markets price-in

Apr 27, 2016 08:16 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants are pricing only 2% chance that there will be a 25 basis points hike today and first hike to come only in September. However, in reality, we feel there is quite a good chance that rates will be hiked...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

What could cause Fed to be more dovish again?

Apr 27, 2016 08:05 am UTC| Insights & Views Commentary Central Banks

Preparation is everything. That also applies for the Feds normalisation course, but no change is expected from the Fed this week. The Fed will need to start prepping the market more actively if a hike in June is a viable...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Odds Shift to September

Apr 26, 2016 06:34 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants have started taking hawkish members of FED quite seriously and with stock markets, commodities shrugging off early weakness along with Dollar losing ground, case for two hikes from FED this year is...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: Hike probabilities review

Apr 21, 2016 07:12 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As Dollar has been weakening steadily since Janet Yellen assured that monetary policy accommodation to be removed only gradually, Market has been a lot more dovish in its projection of FOMC rate. While March FED...

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Economy

Nasdaq Hits Record High as Tech Stocks Lift Wall Street

Wall Street stocks advanced on Monday as gains in mega-cap technology shares offset pressure from elevated Treasury yields, while the US dollar strengthened and oil prices declined. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained...

European Stocks Diverge as French Fiscal Crisis Hits CAC 40

European stocks ended mixed on Monday as Frances worsening fiscal concerns pushed the CAC 40 to a six-month low, while stronger Eurozone business activity and softer U.S. employment data supported other regional markets....

Trump Plans Diesel Tax Relief as Fuel Prices Hit Record Highs

US President Donald Trump is preparing an executive order aimed at expanding access to tax-exempt diesel as his administration seeks to ease record fuel costs ahead of the November 3 elections, according to two people...

Oil Prices Fall as Middle East Exports Recover, G7 Eases Supply Fears

Oil prices fell in volatile Monday trading as recovering Middle East crude exports, a G7 emergency reserve release and renewed fighting in Yemen eased some concerns over global supply disruptions. Brent crude futures for...

Wall Street Rises as Oil Prices Ease, Nasdaq Hits Record

Wall Street closed higher Monday as easing oil prices and gains in materials and communication services helped stocks withstand another sharp sell-off in global bonds. The SP 500 gained 0.7% to 7,777.31, putting the...

Politics

US DOT Ends Airline Privacy Review Without Enforcement

The U.S. Transportation Department has concluded a review of privacy practices at the nations 10 largest airlines without imposing fines or taking enforcement action, according to a department memo. The airline privacy...

New York Declares Measles Disaster Emergency as Cases Surge

New York Governor Kathy Hochul declared a statewide disaster emergency on Monday in response to a growing measles outbreak, marking the first such declaration by a U.S. state since measles cases began rising sharply in...

ISIS Attack Near Kirkuk Kills Iraqi Policeman After US Withdrawal

At least one Iraqi federal police officer was killed and four others were wounded Monday after Islamic State militants attacked a security position southwest of Kirkuk, according to two security sources. The assault...

Trump Offers US Help to Russia After Plague Lab Worker Dies

US President Donald Trump said Monday that the United States is prepared to help Russia following the death of a laboratory worker at a plague research institute in Siberia, an incident that has triggered public health...

Cuba Says US Contacts Continue but Formal Talks Remain Stalled

Cuba and the United States continue to maintain communication channels, but no formal negotiations are currently underway as President Donald Trump intensifies pressure on Havana, according to Cubas top diplomat in...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Nvidia-Backed Reflection AI Launches Beam Open-Weight Model

Nvidia-backed startup Reflection AI has launched Beam, its first open-weight artificial intelligence model, as the U.S. company looks to challenge lower-cost Chinese AI models in coding and agentic tasks. Reflection AI...

Meta and Microsoft Cut Internal Claude AI Use

Meta Platforms and Microsoft are reducing their internal reliance on Anthropics Claude AI models as both technology giants encourage employees to adopt proprietary artificial intelligence tools, according to a report from...

Huawei, Qualcomm Sign Multi-Year AI and 5G Patent Deal

Chinas Huawei Technologies has reached a broad multi-year patent licensing agreement with Qualcomm covering key technologies including artificial intelligence, 5G, computing and networking, strengthening the companies...

Zcash NU7 Testnet Cuts Block Time to 25 Seconds

Zcash has activated its NU7 network upgrade on the public testnet, reducing the targeted time between transaction blocks from 75 seconds to 25 seconds as developers prepare for a potential November mainnet launch. NU7 went...

Firmus Grid IPO Draws Strong Demand, Nvidia and Blackstone Could Raise Stakes

Australian data centre operator Firmus Grid plans to reserve roughly half of the shares in its initial public offering for existing investors, potentially giving Nvidia and Blackstone an opportunity to increase their...