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Fed Hike Aftermath Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED officials warn over markets’ dovish hike expectations

May 18, 2016 06:49 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Several FOMC members have come out and warned against too dovish expectations by market participants over rate hike. Yesterday it was Atlanta FED President Dennis Lockhart, Dallas FED President Robert Kaplan and San...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

After NFP, rates market turns more dovish in hike expectations

May 09, 2016 11:52 am UTC| Commentary

After U.S. payroll disappointed on Friday, with just 160,000 job gains, rate market became more dovish in their expectations and that to such extent that market was at point pricing no rate hike this year but next. It has...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath Series: FOMC may await Brexit vote and hike in July

May 06, 2016 08:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

San Francisco FED president John Williams, who has no vote this year thinks 2-3 rate hikes this year reasonable but that will be data dependent and at its June meeting FOMC will have to take into account the possibility of...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: More likelihood of a hike today than markets price-in

Apr 27, 2016 08:16 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants are pricing only 2% chance that there will be a 25 basis points hike today and first hike to come only in September. However, in reality, we feel there is quite a good chance that rates will be hiked...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

What could cause Fed to be more dovish again?

Apr 27, 2016 08:05 am UTC| Insights & Views Commentary Central Banks

Preparation is everything. That also applies for the Feds normalisation course, but no change is expected from the Fed this week. The Fed will need to start prepping the market more actively if a hike in June is a viable...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Odds Shift to September

Apr 26, 2016 06:34 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants have started taking hawkish members of FED quite seriously and with stock markets, commodities shrugging off early weakness along with Dollar losing ground, case for two hikes from FED this year is...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: Hike probabilities review

Apr 21, 2016 07:12 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As Dollar has been weakening steadily since Janet Yellen assured that monetary policy accommodation to be removed only gradually, Market has been a lot more dovish in its projection of FOMC rate. While March FED...

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Economy

UK Economy Posts Surprise June Growth as World Cup and Hot Weather Lift Activity

Britains economy recorded stronger-than-expected growth in June 2026, supported by easing concerns over the Iran war, the mens soccer World Cup and hot weather, according to official figures released Thursday. UK gross...

US Dollar Holds Firm as Fed Outlook and Iran Tensions Keep Markets on Edge

The U.S. dollar remained steady on Thursday as investors assessed the Federal Reserves interest rate outlook following U.S. inflation data that matched expectations. Meanwhile, elevated oil prices and renewed U.S.-Iran...

European Stocks Rise as U.S. Inflation Data Eases Fed Rate Hike Fears

European stocks moved higher on Thursday as investors welcomed an in-line U.S. inflation report that reduced expectations for another Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. The pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 Index...

Japan Government Backs Earlier BOJ Rate Hike as Inflation Pressures Build

Japans government is reportedly supportive of an earlier interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BOJ), with policymakers potentially moving as soon as September or October as inflationary pressures intensify. Bloomberg...

Asian Currencies Steady as Dollar Holds Firm After U.S. Inflation Data

Most Asian currencies traded in a narrow range on Thursday as investors assessed the Federal Reserves interest rate outlook following U.S. inflation data that largely matched market expectations. The U.S. Dollar Index was...

Politics

Iran Eyes New Development Bank Membership as BRICS Pushes Local Currency Trade

Iran is expected to join the New Development Bank (NDB), the multilateral lender established by BRICS nations, as Tehran seeks stronger financial ties with emerging economies and alternative channels outside the U.S....

Nigel Farage Faces Count Binface in Clacton Election Test

Voters in Clacton headed to the polls on Thursday in an unusual local English election that pits Reform UK leader Nigel Farage against more than 30 challengers, including comedian Count Binface. The election comes after...

Putin Visits Japan-Claimed Iturup Island, Drawing Strong Protest From Tokyo

Russian President Vladimir Putin visited Iturup, a disputed island claimed by Japan, on Thursday, prompting a strong protest from Tokyo as tensions remain elevated across Northeast Asia. Iturup, known as Etorofu in Japan,...

Meloni Loses Ground Among Young Italian Voters Ahead of 2027 Election

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni is losing support among young voters, potentially creating a major challenge for her right-wing coalition ahead of Italys 2027 national election. Polling by Youtrend shows Melonis...

US, Colombia Weigh Joint Strikes on Armed Groups in Expanded Anti-Drug Campaign

U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has raised the possibility of joint U.S.-Colombia military strikes against armed groups as Washington expands its counter-narcotics campaign across Latin America. Speaking Wednesday at...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Google Pushes Gemini AI Overhaul as Sergey Brin Targets Model Supremacy

Google co-founder Sergey Brin has stepped up efforts to accelerate development of the companys Gemini AI models as Alphabet battles OpenAI and Anthropic for leadership in artificial intelligence. Brin has reportedly urged...

Lenovo Revenue Surges 43% as AI Demand Drives Record First-Quarter Growth

Lenovo Group reported record first-quarter revenue as booming demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure and AI-enabled devices fueled strong growth across its major businesses, pushing its Hong Kong-listed shares...

Cisco Forecasts Strong Fiscal 2027 Growth as AI Networking Demand Surges

Cisco Systems has issued a stronger-than-expected fiscal 2027 outlook, fueled by rising demand for networking equipment and artificial intelligence infrastructure from hyperscale customers. The networking technology giant...

Super Micro Stock Jumps 19% as AI Server Demand Drives Strong 2027 Outlook

Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) shares surged about 19% on Wednesday after the AI server maker issued fiscal 2027 guidance that significantly exceeded Wall Street expectations, easing concerns following its softer...

SpaceX Shares Surge as Wall Street Backs AI Growth Potential

SpaceX shares jumped 11% after Morgan Stanley highlighted the companys growing artificial intelligence business, fueling investor optimism around its expanding enterprise software strategy and upcoming Grok 4.7 AI model....