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Fed Hike Aftermath Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED officials warn over markets’ dovish hike expectations

May 18, 2016 06:49 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Several FOMC members have come out and warned against too dovish expectations by market participants over rate hike. Yesterday it was Atlanta FED President Dennis Lockhart, Dallas FED President Robert Kaplan and San...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

After NFP, rates market turns more dovish in hike expectations

May 09, 2016 11:52 am UTC| Commentary

After U.S. payroll disappointed on Friday, with just 160,000 job gains, rate market became more dovish in their expectations and that to such extent that market was at point pricing no rate hike this year but next. It has...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath Series: FOMC may await Brexit vote and hike in July

May 06, 2016 08:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

San Francisco FED president John Williams, who has no vote this year thinks 2-3 rate hikes this year reasonable but that will be data dependent and at its June meeting FOMC will have to take into account the possibility of...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: More likelihood of a hike today than markets price-in

Apr 27, 2016 08:16 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants are pricing only 2% chance that there will be a 25 basis points hike today and first hike to come only in September. However, in reality, we feel there is quite a good chance that rates will be hiked...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

What could cause Fed to be more dovish again?

Apr 27, 2016 08:05 am UTC| Insights & Views Commentary Central Banks

Preparation is everything. That also applies for the Feds normalisation course, but no change is expected from the Fed this week. The Fed will need to start prepping the market more actively if a hike in June is a viable...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Odds Shift to September

Apr 26, 2016 06:34 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market participants have started taking hawkish members of FED quite seriously and with stock markets, commodities shrugging off early weakness along with Dollar losing ground, case for two hikes from FED this year is...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED Hike Aftermath Series: Hike probabilities review

Apr 21, 2016 07:12 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As Dollar has been weakening steadily since Janet Yellen assured that monetary policy accommodation to be removed only gradually, Market has been a lot more dovish in its projection of FOMC rate. While March FED...

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Economy

India’s Investment Upgrade: A Historic Milestone for the "High-Quality EM" Narrative

SP Global has raised Indias sovereign credit rating to BBB from BBB-, with a Stable outlook, indicating the agencys first upward change for the country in 18 years. This major step increases Indias long-term rating one...

Asian Markets Rally as Oil Prices Tumble and Middle East Peace Hopes Emerge

Asian stock markets posted strong gains on Wednesday, driven by a sharp decline in oil prices and growing optimism over a potential diplomatic resolution in the Middle East. The broad-based rally swept across the region,...

Australia's Inflation Eases in February but Core Pressures Persist

Australias consumer inflation dipped slightly in February, though stubborn underlying price pressures are keeping the Reserve Bank of Australia cautious about cutting interest rates anytime soon. According to the latest...

Oil Prices Plunge Over 6% as Middle East Ceasefire Hopes Ease Supply Fears

Global oil prices dropped sharply on Wednesday during Asian trading hours, with Brent crude falling below the $100 per barrel mark for the first time in recent sessions. The steep selloff came after emerging signs of a...

Currency Markets Show Caution Amid U.S.-Iran Negotiations

Global currency markets displayed muted movement during early Asian trading on Wednesday, as investors remained cautious following conflicting signals surrounding U.S.-Iran peace negotiations. President Donald Trump...

Politics

Trump's Overhaul of American History: Museums, Monuments, and Cultural Institutions

Since returning to the White House, President Donald Trump has launched a sweeping campaign to reshape how American history is presented across cultural institutions, national parks, and public monuments. Framing his...

Pakistan's Diplomatic Rise: Mediating U.S.-Iran Peace Talks

Pakistan is emerging as a key global mediator in efforts to end the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, leveraging its unique position as a trusted contact for both Washington and Tehran. This diplomatic role could elevate...

US Accelerates Taiwan Arms Deliveries Amid Rising China Threat

Taiwans Defense Minister Wellington Koo confirmed Wednesday that the United States has expressed a strong sense of urgency in bolstering Taiwans military capabilities, with active efforts underway to resolve long-standing...

Trump Administration Settles Lawsuit Barring Federal Agencies from Pressuring Social Media Censorship

The Trump administration has reached a landmark settlement that prohibits three major federal agencies from coercing social media platforms into removing or suppressing constitutionally protected speech. The agreement,...

Cuba Receives Humanitarian Aid Convoy Amid U.S. Sanctions

Cuba welcomed a long-awaited shipment of international humanitarian aid on Tuesday, as activists from the global Nuestra America Convoy successfully delivered essential supplies to the island nation despite ongoing U.S....

Science

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Technology

SK Hynix Eyes Up to $14 Billion U.S. IPO to Fund AI Chip Expansion

South Korean memory chip giant SK Hynix has submitted a confidential filing for a U.S. stock market listing in 2026, with sources indicating the move could raise as much as $14 billion. The company intends to offer...

Meta Ties Executive Pay to Aggressive Stock Price Targets in Major Retention Push

Meta Platforms made a significant move this week by granting restricted stock units and stock options to several of its most senior leaders, including Chief Financial Officer Susan Li and Chief Technology Officer Andrew...

SpaceX IPO Filing Expected This Week as Valuation Could Surpass $75 Billion

Elon Musks SpaceX is reportedly moving closer to going public, with plans to submit its initial public offering prospectus to regulators as early as this week or next, according to a report by The Information citing a...

OpenAI Pulls the Plug on Sora, Ending $1 Billion Disney Partnership

OpenAI has officially shut down Sora, its AI-powered video generation tool, in a move that blindsided partners and staff alike and effectively ended a landmark deal with Walt Disney Co. The decision marks a major...

Golden Dome Missile Defense: Anduril and Palantir Join Forces on Trump's $185B Space Shield

Tech-forward defense companies Anduril Industries and Palantir Technologies are reportedly joining forces to develop critical software for the United States most ambitious missile defense initiative to date the Golden...