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A new oil order has emerged over the past few years as oil prices have taken a plunge of about 60%. U.S., world’s one of key importer is about to become a major exporter of hydrocarbons. OPEC cartel, which has historically been a key player politically and price maker, losing its relevance and pricing power. On the energy front, renewables and gas becoming key challenger to oil’s global dominance. Moreover, this lower price is hitting energy exporters harder, creating global economic vulnerabilities. This new oil price and geo-political order demand greater analysis, which is the main focus of this series.

Oil in Global Economy Series

Crude prices stabilizing but Iran weighs pressures on price slumping

Dec 23, 2015 10:16 am UTC| Insights & Views

In recent OPEC meeting, we have revised down our WTI oil price forecast to no more than US$40-45 per barrel for 2016 and US$45-50 for 2017. Global demand has increased at the fastest pace in five years in 2015 (+1.9% or...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Lower oil prices may add pressure on ECB to “recalibrate” monetary policy in 2016

Dec 22, 2015 11:42 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

The ECB has unleashed an unprecedented series of policy measures to try and push eurozone inflation back up to levels conducive to healthy economic growth. But even the most optimistic forecasts suggest that it could well...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Oil in global economy series – Aftershock mean reversion

Dec 22, 2015 11:29 am UTC| Commentary

Drop in oil price, post financial crisis was due and to stay, however monetary stimulus from US FED and other major central banks just averted it temporarily. FED printed money in form of bond buying to boost demand. While...

Oil in Global Economy Series

How plummeting prices are spurring reform in oil producing countries

Dec 22, 2015 01:01 am UTC| Insights & Views

It has been a turbulent year for oil. Prices were strong in summer 2014, before plummeting in the second half of that year. After a modest stabilisation in early 2015, they dropped even further and are now more than two...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Brent crude drops to 11 year low

Dec 21, 2015 06:30 am UTC| Commentary

North Sea benchmark, which is used as a benchmark for almost half of global crude oil sank to its lowest level in 11 years as market opened on Monday, continuing their selloff from last week. Global oil market is...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Declining oil prices could push for another rate cut by ECB in 2016

Dec 19, 2015 08:40 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Brent prices dropped to $35 per barrel, which constitutes a significant downside risk to the ECBs inflation scenario and is likely to refuel talks of further monetary accommodation through, in particular, another cut in...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Can US Crude export ban resolve the steeping bearish trend and prop up its prices?

Dec 18, 2015 08:07 am UTC| Insights & Views

Developments on US exports:A provision to lift the 40-year old ban on US crude oil exports is the latest news relevant to crude market. The senate and the white house have announced a tax and spending package that includes...

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Economy

Impact of Iran-Israel conflict on Stocks, Gold and Bitcoin

Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. The information provided is for general purposes only. No information, materials, services and other content provided on this page constitute a solicitation, recommendation,...

Japan Posts 7.7% Growth in Machinery Orders

In a striking development that looks set to invigorate Japans economic prospects, a key gauge of capital spending in the country has seen its most significant jump in over a year. According to Cabinet Office data released...

How cuts to marginal income tax could boost the UK’s stagnant economic growth

The British prime minister recently claimed the UK economy has turned a corner. Rishi Sunak said inflation figures were encouraging, and proclaimed that 2024 would be the year Britain bounces back. According to his...

A sustainable future begins at ground level

In 2015, the United Nations adopted the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as a call to action in global partnership. By 2023 it appears that our progress has been far from satisfactory in achieving these...

Digital trade protocol for Africa: why it matters, what’s in it and what’s still missing

In February 2024, African heads of states adopted a draft protocol to regulate digital trade within the continent. This significant yet challenging course for Africas digital economy fits into the broader trade agreement,...

Politics

Canada needs a national strategy for homeless refugee claimants

One year after the federal government closed Roxham Road, refugee claims in Canada continue to increase: there were 143,785 in 2023 compared to 91,730 in 2022. The surprise announcement in March 2023 to modify Canadas...

Who will Trump pick as his running mate?

Being second in line for leadership of the most powerful country in the world is not an easy job. But for Mike Pence, vice president under Donald Trump, things were even harder than usual. As insurrectionists descended...

US and Japan Boost AI, Semiconductor Alliance; EU Eyes Reduction in China Dependence

Japan and the United States are poised to deepen ties in the high-tech sector, signaling a strategic move to enhance their global partnership with a focus on artificial intelligence and semiconductor...

US Finalizes Ban List for Chinese Chipmakers; Boosts Mexico Semiconductor Ties

The United States is finalizing a list of Chinese chip factories banned from receiving vital technology, aiming to curb Beijings tech advancements amid national security concerns. Concurrently, a US-Mexico semiconductor...

Science

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

If life exists on Jupiter’s moon Europa, scientists might soon be able to detect it

Europa is one of the largest of more than 90 moons in orbit around the planet Jupiter. It is also one of the best places to look for alien life. Often termed an ocean world by scientists, observations to date strongly...

Exploding stars are rare but emit torrents of radiation − if one happened close enough to Earth, it could threaten life on the planet

Stars like the Sun are remarkably constant. They vary in brightness by only 0.1% over years and decades, thanks to the fusion of hydrogen into helium that powers them. This process will keep the Sun shining steadily for...

An eclipse for everyone – how visually impaired students can ‘get a feel for’ eclipses

Many people in the U.S. will have an opportunity to witness nearly four minutes of a total solar eclipse on Monday, April 8, 2024, as it moves from southern Texas to Maine. But in the U.S., over 7 million people are blind...

Technology

Shiba Inu’s Latest Marketing Push Ignites Crypto Buzz in India

Lucie, Shiba Inus marketing chief, recently sparked a surge in interest for the SHIB cryptocurrency in India with a strategic post on X, promoting the #BridgeToShibarium trend. This movement highlights Shiba Inus expanding...

Bitcoin Halving Triggers Optimism for Record Highs, Analysts Say

As the 2024 Bitcoin halving event concludes, analysts predict a bullish future for BTC. They project unprecedented price levels following historical trends and fresh institutional interest. This optimism persists despite...

Bitcoin Halving Sparks ETF Rebound, Halts Week-Long Outflow Streak

As anticipation built around Bitcoins halving event, ETFs tied to the cryptocurrency witnessed a significant shift, snapping a week-long outflow streak with $30.4 million in fresh inflows. This market reversal underscores...

Shiba Inu Burns 700M Coins, Eyes Price Surge to $0.00004

Shiba Inu burned over 700 million coins this week in a remarkable event, sparking optimism as the meme coins price rallied by 5%. Analysts now forecast a potential surge to $0.00004, buoyed by a growing bullish sentiment...
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