Bank of Japan (BOJ) ambitious easing has so far failed to achieve targeted inflation path as consumers have scaled back their purchase after sales tax hike of 2% and now latest earnings data released today, show that ambition may remain out of reach as wages are hardly growing.
Labour cash earnings reported wages only edged up by 0.1% in December, compared to level a year ago. So economists are posing a serious question - if economy is growing just about 1.6% y/y and inflation is hovering at near zero level, why should companies pay higher wages, more so for firms, focused into domestic market, who are not major beneficiaries of weaker Yen. Bank of Japan's (BOJ) selective buying into equities, are not large enough to compensate corporations to increase wages.
Figure shows, increase in Labour earnings were quite visible and had strong momentum back in 2013/14 but has become more subdued as global growth weakens.
As early as last month, BOJ had introduced negative rates on excess reserve but the current three tier system adopted by BOJ leaves enough wiggle room for banks and total deposit unlikely to earn a net negative until the very late.
Moreover, with negative rate introduction, it is more likely that BOJ would adjust in that front, rather than to boost purchase.
Yen is currently trading at 117.2 per Dollar, much stronger than 125 level seen last year.


Paraguay Holds Interest Rate at 5.5% as Inflation Remains Stable Amid Global Uncertainty
BOJ Holds Interest Rates at 0.75% as Policymakers Signal Growing Inflation Concerns
Trump and Xi Temple of Heaven Visit Highlights Trade and Diplomacy Goals
ASX Names Former Euronext Executive Anthony Attia as New CEO
Australia Housing Tax Reform Sparks Debate Over Property Investor Tax Breaks
FxWirePro: Daily Commodity Tracker - 21st March, 2022
Trump Says Iran Ceasefire ‘On Life Support’ as Oil Prices Surge Above $104
US Stock Futures Slip as Iran Tensions and Hot Inflation Data Pressure Wall Street
US, Japan Reaffirm Strong Currency Coordination Amid Yen Volatility
S&P Global Revises Mexico Credit Outlook to Negative Amid Rising Debt Concerns
New Zealand Budget 2026 Focuses on Fiscal Discipline and Infrastructure Investment




