Thailand Inflation Remains Negative for 10th Straight Month in January 
Gold and Silver Prices Rebound After Volatile Week Triggered by Fed Nomination 
Fed Governor Lisa Cook Warns Inflation Risks Remain as Rates Stay Steady 
RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as India’s Growth Outlook Strengthens After U.S. Trade Deal 
South Korea Assures U.S. on Trade Deal Commitments Amid Tariff Concerns 
Oil Prices Slide on US-Iran Talks, Dollar Strength and Profit-Taking Pressure 
Dollar Steadies Ahead of ECB and BoE Decisions as Markets Turn Risk-Off 
Vietnam’s Trade Surplus With US Jumps as Exports Surge and China Imports Hit Record 
Asian Stocks Slip as Tech Rout Deepens, Japan Steadies Ahead of Election 
Dollar Near Two-Week High as Stock Rout, AI Concerns and Global Events Drive Market Volatility 
U.S. Stock Futures Slide as Tech Rout Deepens on Amazon Capex Shock 
China Extends Gold Buying Streak as Reserves Surge Despite Volatile Prices 
Trump Lifts 25% Tariff on Indian Goods in Strategic U.S.–India Trade and Energy Deal 
Dow Hits 50,000 as U.S. Stocks Stage Strong Rebound Amid AI Volatility 
Asian Markets Slip as AI Spending Fears Shake Tech, Wall Street Futures Rebound 
Silver Prices Plunge in Asian Trade as Dollar Strength Triggers Fresh Precious Metals Sell-Off 
Dollar Strengthens Amid Fed Rate Uncertainty and Middle East Tensions
The US dollar surged to a seven-week high against major currencies, driven by evolving expectations for US interest rates and rising tensions in the Middle East. A robust US jobs report last week reduced the likelihood of significant Federal Reserve rate cuts, influencing market sentiment.
Fed Rate Cut Expectations Shift
Investors have adjusted their predictions for Federal Reserve rate cuts. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets now see an 86% probability of a 25 basis points (bps) cut in November, with December easing expectations lowered to 50 bps from over 70 bps a week prior. This shift has strengthened the dollar against the euro, yen, and sterling.
Forex Market Trends
The dollar index, which measures the USD against major currencies, stood at 102.41, slightly below Friday's seven-week high of 102.69. Traders are factoring in a "no landing" scenario, with strong economic data supporting a cautious Fed approach to rate cuts.
Global Currency Movements
The euro traded at $1.0981, while the pound was at $1.3095, both near recent lows. The yen, which fell to a seven-week low of 149.10 per dollar, recovered slightly to 147.795 following remarks from Japanese officials expressing caution over future rate hikes.
Looking Ahead
Investor focus will now turn to the upcoming US inflation report and the Federal Reserve’s September meeting minutes, as well as key monetary policy decisions from New Zealand and China's reopening after the holidays.
