Doug Ford Wins Third Term as Ontario Premier Amid Trump Tariff Concerns

Ontario’s Progressive Conservative Party secured a rare third consecutive majority, with Premier Doug Ford winning re-election in a campaign shaped by U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff threats. Ford, 60, called the election over a year early, seeking a stronger mandate to counter potential 25% tariffs on Canadian goods, which could hit Ontario’s manufacturing sector hard.

His rivals, New Democratic Party leader Marit Stiles and Liberal leader Bonnie Crombie, struggled to shift voter focus from Trump’s economic policies to Ford’s controversies and Ontario’s pressing issues. The province faces a healthcare crisis, with 2.5 million residents lacking a primary care provider, up from 1.8 million in 2020. Ford sparked criticism for downplaying ER overcrowding, blaming minor ailments. Ontario also continues to battle a housing affordability crisis.

During the campaign, Ford wore a "Canada is not for sale" hat and visited Washington, D.C., twice to oppose U.S. tariffs. His trips drew backlash for occurring during an election period when government actions are typically limited. Despite criticism, he remained firm on protecting Ontario’s economy, stating, "I’ll fight tooth and nail against Donald Trump."

Voter turnout remained low, with Elections Ontario reporting 42.62% participation by 10 p.m. ET, a slight drop from the 44% record low in 2022. Experts warn declining engagement signals weakening democracy.

The results could impact Canada’s upcoming federal election, as external factors like Trump’s tariffs influence voter priorities. While Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre was once seen as the frontrunner, University of Toronto professor Semra Sevi suggests shifting political dynamics could benefit Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberals.

Ford’s victory underscores how global economic concerns shape local elections, positioning him as a key voice in Canada’s economic and political landscape.