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Europe Roundup: Euro holds above $1.20 against dollar, Europe shares ease, Gold gains, Oil hits $68 on Libya force majeure despite pandemic surge-April 20th,2021

 Market Roundup

•German Mar PPI (YoY)  3.7%, 3.3% forecast, 1.9% previous

•German Mar PPI (MoM)  0.9%,0.6% forecast, 0.7% previous

•UK Feb Average Earnings ex Bonus  4.4%, 4.2% forecast, 4.2% previous

•UK Feb Unemployment Rate  4.9%,5.1% forecast, 5.0% previous

•UK Feb Average Earnings Index +Bonus  4.5%,4.8% forecast, 4.8% previous

•UK March Claimant Count Change  10.1K, 86.6K previous

•UK Feb Employment Change 3M/3M (MoM) -73K, -150K forecast, -147K previous

• US Redbook (MoM) 13.5%13.2% previous

Looking Ahead – Economic Data (GMT)

•15:30 New Zealand GlobalDairyTrade Price Index 0.3% previous

•16:00 Russian Feb Real Wage Growth (YoY ) 0.2% forecast, 0.1% previous          

•16:00 Russian Mar Unemployment Rate  5.6% forecast, 5.7% previous

•16:00 Russian Mar Retail Sales (YoY)  -1.3% forecast, -1.3% previous     

Looking Ahead - Economic events and other releases (GMT)

•14:00 German Buba Vice President Buch Speaks

Fxbeat

EUR/USD: The euro strengthened for the second day against dollar on Tuesday as  optimism about the pace of vaccine rollout in Europe and weaker dollar supported euro. Trading remained relatively light, with no major data releases due on Tuesday and attention turning to the European Central Bank meeting on Thursday. Investors hope the meeting will give more clarity about the ECB’s stimulus plans once the bloc’s economic recovery takes hold. The euro was trading  up  0.01% at $1.2032 . Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2080(23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2100(Psychological level).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.2012 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1970(9DMA).

GBP/USD: Sterling hit six weeks high against the dollar on Tuesday weaker dollar and UK labour market data offered support to the British currency .The pound crossed the $1.40 mark for the first time in nearly a month on Monday, rising 1% as it benefited from a broadly weakening dollar that took a hit as risk sentiment returned and volatility slumped in global markets.. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.4064 (23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.4120 (23rd feb high ).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3953  (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3900 (Psychological level).

USD/CHF: The dollar edged higher against the Swiss franc on Tuesday as expectations monetary policy will remain accommodative the world over, while COVID-19 vaccine rollouts help ease fears of another dangerous wave of coronavirus infections. Trading remained relatively contained compared to Monday, with no major data releases due on Tuesday. At 12:40 GMT, the dollar was 0.24 percent higher versus the Swiss franc at 0.9161 . Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9183 (5DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9197(38.2%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9131 (23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9100 (Psychological level).

USD/JPY: The dollar edged higher against Japanese yen on Tuesday as optimism about the pace of vaccine rollout in Europe ease reduced fears of another  wave of coronavirus cases.  The dollar has fallen so far in April as U.S. bond yields retreated from the 14-month highs touched last month. The moves are a reverse of what happened in the first quarter of the year, when the dollar strengthened as U.S. Treasury yields rose, offering higher returns on the greenback. The dollar versus the yen, broke the 108 level overnight, before reversing course, up 0.3% on the day at 108.450. Strong resistance can be seen at 108.47 (38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 108.90 (50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 108.15(23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 107.77(Lower BB).

Equities Recap

European shares pulled back on Tuesday after hitting record highs a day earlier, as tobacco companies weighed on UK stocks and many regional indexes edged off pre-pandemic highs.

At (GMT 12:50 ),UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was last down at 1.08 percent, Germany's Dax was down by 0.74 percent, France’s CAC was last down by 1.32 percent.

Commodities Recap

Gold prices inched higher on Tuesday, hovering below a seven-week peak hit in the previous session, bolstered by a pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and a weaker dollar.

Spot gold was up 0.1% to $1,770.40 per ounce at 1215 GMT, after hitting $1,789.77 on Monday, its highest since Feb. 25. U.S. gold futures climbed 0.1% to $1,772.70 per ounce.

Oil rose to $68 a barrel and hit its highest in a month on Tuesday, supported by disruption to Libyan exports and expectations of a drop in U.S. crude inventories, though rising coronavirus cases in Asia limited gains.

Brent crude was up 55 cents, or 0.8%, at $67.60 a barrel by 1220 GMT after hitting its highest since March 18 at $68.08. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 24 cents, or 0.4%, to $63.62.

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