The United States Federal Reserve is expected to raise its benchmark interest rate three times in 2018 while adopting two more hikes through this year. The central bank left monetary policy unchanged after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on May 3, as was widely expected.
The implication of a largely unchanged statement is that a rate hike on June 14 is still very much on the cards. Notably, the Fed said that the slowing of Q1 economic growth is "likely to be transitory". A range of Fed speakers since that meeting has reaffirmed its intention to raise interest rates twice more this year.
Markets are pricing a high probability of over 90 percent of a June rate rise, according to Fed funds futures on Bloomberg, but are less convinced of a further rise in the second half of the year.
"We expect the Fed to raise policy rates two more times this year, in June and September, to 1.50 percent and three times in 2018 to 2.25 percent," Lloyds Bank commented in its latest research report.
With interest rate rises well under way, the Fed is expected to start unwinding its asset holdings built up as a result of its QE policy. This could be achieved by tapering reinvestments of maturing assets, potentially starting as early as the back end of this year. Meanwhile, more details will be forthcoming in the coming months, with concrete proposals possibly emerging after the September FOMC meeting.


U.S. Stock Futures Slip as Markets Brace for Big Tech Earnings and Key Data
New York Fed President John Williams Signals Rate Hold as Economy Seen Strong in 2026
U.S.–Venezuela Relations Show Signs of Thaw as Top Envoy Visits Caracas
Gold Prices Pull Back After Record Highs as January Rally Remains Strong
MAS Holds Monetary Policy Steady as Strong Growth Raises Inflation Risks
BOJ Policymakers Warn Weak Yen Could Fuel Inflation Risks and Delay Rate Action
Russia Stocks End Flat as MOEX Closes Unchanged Amid Mixed Global Signals
China Manufacturing PMI Slips Into Contraction in January as Weak Demand Pressures Economy
Canada’s Trade Deficit Jumps in November as Exports Slide and Firms Diversify Away From U.S.
India Budget 2026: Modi Government Eyes Reforms Amid Global Uncertainty and Fiscal Pressures
Best Gold Stocks to Buy Now: AABB, GOLD, GDX




