Trump’s "Shock and Awe" Agenda: Executive Orders from Day One 
Indian Government Bonds Seen Opening Steady Ahead of RBI Policy Decision 
BOJ June Rate Hike Likely as Inflation Risks Rise Amid Middle East Tensions 
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes 
Goldman Sachs Sees Fed Holding Interest Rates Steady Until 2027 
BOJ Raises Interest Rates to 1% as Inflation Pressures Persist 
RBA Expected to Hold Interest Rates at 4.35% as Markets Watch AUD/USD and ASX 200 
S&P 500 Relies on Tech for Growth in Q4 2024, Says Barclays 
South Korea Signals Possible Interest Rate Hike as Inflation Remains Elevated 
ECB Set to Raise Interest Rates as Energy Shock Fuels Eurozone Inflation Concerns 
U.S. Stocks vs. Bonds: Are Diverging Valuations Signaling a Shift? 
Goldman Predicts 50% Odds of 10% U.S. Tariff on Copper by Q1 Close 
Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms 
The resumption of FX purchases will prove bearish for RUB. The Russian central bank (CBR) announced resumption of FX purchases from January 15th. This is likely to weigh meaningfully on RUB, in our view. The currency has struggled to appreciate while purchases were suspended and the full current account surplus was allowed to support the FX market. With FX purchases in place, the current account support will be much smaller.
Meanwhile, recurring geopolitical tensions are likely to weigh on capital flows (see here for further details). Noticeably, the central bank now indicated that any future RUB weakness is much less likely to be met with renewed suspension of the program. This, in our view, both increases the scope for depreciation in RUB as well as the chances CBR will deliver more hikes.
Options Trade Tips (USDRUB): At spot reference: 69.61 levels, we maintain our 21-January-2019 1x1 USDRUB (68/71) call spread. We may have been a bit early with this trade as the resumption of purchases was now announced only for January 15th, after the expiry of our option. Yet, amid global EM risks and negative RUB seasonality around the year-end, we still see a good chance RUB will weaken in anticipation of the budget rule headwind within the remaining maturity of the trade. Courtesy: JPM
Currency Strength Index:FxWirePro's hourly USD is inching at 37 (which is mildly bullish), while articulating (at 13:28 GMT).
For more details on the index, please refer below weblink: http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
