Global stocks experienced their sharpest weekly drop in two months, with Wall Street leading the decline, as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled a cautious approach to future interest-rate cuts. Coupled with market reactions to President-elect Donald Trump’s newly announced cabinet picks, investor uncertainty reached a fever pitch by Friday.
Fed Maintains Tight Stance on Rate Cuts
Powell’s comments on Thursday underscored the Federal Reserve's view that robust economic growth, a resilient job market, and inflation above the 2% target do not warrant a hasty reduction in interest rates. Traders slashed their expectations for rate cuts at the Fed’s December meeting, with predictions dropping from 72.2% a day earlier to 58.4%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Adding to the uncertainty, Friday’s data from the U.S. Commerce Department revealed a 0.4% increase in October retail sales, surpassing expectations. Import prices also rose 0.3% last month, further complicating the inflation outlook. “The recent data and Powell’s remarks have forced markets to recalibrate expectations for a slower pace of monetary easing,” said Adam Rich, deputy chief investment officer at Vaughan Nelson.
Markets Grapple With Trump’s Economic Agenda
The initial market optimism following Trump’s re-election and pro-business policy pledges—ranging from higher tariffs to tax cuts—has given way to trepidation. Concerns about potential inflation spikes and ballooning fiscal deficits under his administration have spooked investors. Bond yields surged, with the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note hitting its highest level since May at 4.505%.
Adding fuel to the fire, Trump’s cabinet picks, particularly those tied to economic policy, have raised questions about future regulatory and fiscal strategies. Stocks tied to defense contractors and vaccine makers also faced sharp declines amid speculation about the new administration’s priorities.
Wall Street Takes a Beating
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 305.87 points (0.70%) to close at 43,444.99, while the S&P 500 dropped 78.55 points (1.32%) to 5,870.62. The tech-heavy Nasdaq saw the steepest decline, losing 427.53 points (2.24%) to end the session at 18,680.12. For the week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq suffered their largest losses in over two months, falling 2.08% and 3.15%, respectively.
The global impact was equally severe, with MSCI’s gauge of global stocks tumbling 1% for its fourth straight day of losses and marking its largest weekly decline since early September.
Commodities and Currencies Also Feel the Heat
Oil prices plunged, with Brent crude closing down 2.09% at $71.04 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate dropping 2.45% to $67.02. The U.S. dollar, meanwhile, displayed mixed performance, with the dollar index rising 0.12% for the week but weakening 1.24% against the Japanese yen.
Investor Sentiment Remains Fragile
As markets navigate Powell’s remarks and Trump’s economic agenda, volatility is expected to persist. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), often dubbed Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” climbed to 17.55 earlier on Friday before closing at 16.14, reflecting heightened market anxiety.