Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months
Jan 08, 2018 05:04 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks
FOMC increased interest rates again in December for the third and projected three more hikes in 2018. However, debates among policymakers are growing over hikes as inflation remains low. Charles Evans joined Neel Kashkari...
FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 8th January 2018
Jan 08, 2018 04:33 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks
Not many economic data and events scheduled for today, and all with low to medium volatility risks associated. Upcoming: Germany: November factory orders report will be released at 7:00 GMT. Switzerland:...
FxWirePro: Place EUR put/SEK call as Riksbank forward guidance ahead of ECB
Jan 05, 2018 12:13 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views
In Sweden, the prospects of a policy pivot were delayed not derailed this year. At the October meeting, the central bank signaled that it was waiting for further information which could motivate a QE extension, and also...
FxWirePro: Be choosy and stay long on VXY through 2018
Jan 05, 2018 12:11 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks
The global picture on the volatility front hasnt really changed in recent months. Implied and realized volatility is still hovering in their low or very low percentiles. 2017 the trading year is going out rather quietly...
Jan 05, 2018 09:46 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views
2017 has been the year in which more central banks broke ranks. We expect this to continue in 2018. The Fed will hike four times and the BoC two, which supports long positions in USD and CAD. Risk-reward-considerations:...
FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 5th January 2018
Jan 05, 2018 04:50 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks
Lots of economic data and events scheduled for today, and some with high volatility risks associated. Data released so far: United Kingdom: BRC shop price index down 0.6 percent y/y in December. Japan: Markit...
Jan 04, 2018 10:10 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks
Even though the high-yielding currencies have become consensus trades for 2018, we maintain a more bullish stance than consensus on BRL short term. The significant improvement in capital flows linked to the growth boost we...