Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed likely to begin gradual normalization

Jan 06, 2016 10:19 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The overarching investment theme heading into 2016 is the divergence of global monetary policies among major central banks. Ultra-low interest rates alongside substantial amounts of quantitative easing by the Fed, BoE,...

Renminbi Series

Yuan depreciation – market driven or PBoC’s hand

Jan 06, 2016 09:00 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Yuans depreciating march against Dollar, to start the year with is getting quite an attention among market players, especially the offshore counterpart. Todays relentless depreciation is offshore Yuan, which is already...

How does a positive surprise look like for NOK?

Jan 05, 2016 17:36 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

It has been a while since anything close to good news came for NOK. Oil prices have been declining steadily since august 2014 and Norges Banks forecast for the economy has been revised down in the 12 last editions of the...

ECB inflation projections are already outdated—again

Jan 05, 2016 17:26 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In December, the ECB had revised its projections for the core inflation rate in 2016 downwards slightly to 1.3%. But this will not be the last revision. Given that the rate stuck at 0.9% in December, the ECB will probably...

Unchanged euro area inflation is set to put pressure on ECB

Jan 05, 2016 17:02 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Inflation in the Euro area remained at 0.2% y/y in December. That was no surprise after the low German print yesterday. The ECB has recently shifted the focus a bit towards the core rate. The one excluding the prices for...

More ECB action likely as Eurozone CPI misses expectations

Jan 05, 2016 13:42 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Eurozones consumer prices increased at a higher rate in December than earlier, signalling that it is more difficult for the European Central Bank to boost inflation than policy makers had expected. Consumer prices in...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath series – market becoming hawkish in hike expectation

Jan 05, 2016 12:28 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market is now more hawkish than last time we checked after FED hike in December and speech from Janet Yellen. Market seems to be expecting FED to be more aggressive in 2016. Lets look at the market pricing of hikes over...