Contagion threat for Fed lift-off
Sep 01, 2015 03:38 am UTC| Commentary
The market has thrown a September rate hike in doubt following the recent rout in Chinese equity markets which then spilled over to global markets. The market onlyprices a 4bp increase of the effective fed funds rate in...
China turmoil will wind up delaying Fed hikes?
Sep 01, 2015 03:34 am UTC| Commentary
China kicked off an exceptionally volatile August with both a surprise depreciation of the CNY and a massive dropoff in equity markets. The economic impact mighthave been narrow in isolation, but global markets moved into...
Chicago PMI suggests further gains in Midwest activity
Sep 01, 2015 03:29 am UTC| Commentary
The Chicago PMI ticked down to 54.4 in August from 54.7 last month, broadly in line with consensus expectations (54.5) and a touch below our forecast (55.0). Production (59.0, previous: 61.8) and new orders (56.7,...
Korean inflation to gradually trend higher in H2
Sep 01, 2015 03:26 am UTC| Commentary
Koreas August inflation remained flat at 0.7% y/y for the third consecutive month. Similar to June and July, food inflation was the key driver, with prices of vegetable continuing to trend higher. Oil prices were the...

Korea's further rate cut likely in Q4
Sep 01, 2015 03:22 am UTC| Commentary
Korean exports fell 14.7% y/y in August, much worse than expected and closer to the first 20-day advance flash estimate. The fall was the steepest since the 21% drop in August 2009 and far exceeded the declines in July...
KRW: Mixed blessing in CNY devaluation
Sep 01, 2015 00:55 am UTC| Commentary
Nominal exports growth continued to weaken, contracting 4.9% yoy over Jan-July. In real terms, exports plunged into negative territory, declining 0.9% yoy in 2Q15, the first real exports contraction since 3Q09. Export...
Real growth momentum remains weak for China
Sep 01, 2015 00:41 am UTC| Commentary
Market concerns of a possible growth hard landing are on the rise. The latest real economic data points suggest that foundation for a growth recovery is not solid, and economic growth faces more downward pressure as...