New Zealand inflation to be close to 2% by H1 2016
Jul 29, 2015 03:56 am UTC| Commentary
NZ annual inflation is currently just 0.3%, and it has been consistently below the 2% midpoint of the target range for almost four years. The RBNZ expects inflation to be close to the 2% midpoint by the first half of 2016,...
Large declines in RBNZ interest rates over coming months?
Jul 29, 2015 03:53 am UTC| Commentary
Notably, the Governor had a pointed message for the market, "Some local commentators have predicted large declines in interest rates over coming months that could only be consistent with the economy moving into...
RBNZ to cut OCR again in September
Jul 29, 2015 03:48 am UTC| Commentary
The Reserve Bank Governor Graeme Wheeler speech largely reinforced the message of last weeks OCR review statement, which revealed a very cautious approach to the recent softening in New Zealands economic conditions."The...

Fed likely to take time to firm up rate hike decision
Jul 29, 2015 03:43 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks
For the FOMC tonight, its all about forward guidance. At Yellens congressional testimony two weeks ago, the Fed Chair neither ruled out a September hike, nor signalled September was a done deal. A September hike is...
Factors that support CBR to hold in July
Jul 29, 2015 03:36 am UTC| Commentary
There are several supporting factors that weigh in favour of keeping the key rate on hold this month. The CBR appears quite determined to keep its FX purchase programme in place and would probably prefer to keep interest...
Jul 29, 2015 03:31 am UTC| Commentary
Russia financial conditions have been changing as global oil prices have declined rapidly in recent months, down nearly 25% since early May. The RUB has accordingly been hit, down 22% since mid-May and depreciating more...
Brazil unlikely to avoid downgrade one year from now
Jul 29, 2015 03:28 am UTC| Commentary
Brazils fiscal accounts should lead to higher debt levels, and there are risks of a wider recession this year coupled with possible negative growth next year, as sentiment continues only to fall.All together, a...