
UK policy mix to be dominated by fiscal policies
Jul 27, 2015 21:08 pm UTC| Commentary
Barclays notes:We have aligned our forecast with the governments plans but only for the first two years (structural consolidation of 0.9% and 1.3% of GDP in 2015-16 and 2016-17, respectively) as we believe that fiscal...

Spain’s economy in solid cyclical recovery mode
Jul 27, 2015 20:57 pm UTC| Commentary
Spains economic activity continued to beat most market expectations, with GDP growing 0.9% q/q in Q1, probably even accelerating further in Q2. As in other EA economies, growth is driven by private consumption (low...
Preliminary estimate of UK Q2 GDP to show growth accelerating after a relatively subdued Q1
Jul 27, 2015 20:45 pm UTC| Commentary
RBC Capital Markets notes:The preliminary estimate of UK Q2 GDP is expected to show growth accelerating after a relatively subdued Q1. RBCs forecast is for expansion of 0.6% q/q but the BoE (and consensus) looks for 0.7%...

Italy's economy on track, politics perhaps less so
Jul 27, 2015 20:37 pm UTC| Commentary
Barclays notes:The Italian economy continues to benefit from tailwinds consistent with GDP expanding 0.8% this year and 1.4% next year. Risks are broadly balanced, we think, but should the situation in Greece precipitate,...
Liquid Insight: Getting to even
Jul 27, 2015 16:14 pm UTC| Commentary
It is expected that, the July FOMC statement to be very similar to Fed Chair Janet Yellens most recent speeches: cautiously optimistic, but noncommittal on the timing of liftoff. The Fed is very unlikely to hike in July,...
The Fed revises the forecast it posted in response to indavertently posting the forecast
Jul 27, 2015 15:26 pm UTC| Commentary
According to a new notice posted on the Federal Reserves website Friday evening, the growth numbers posted earlier in the day were incorrect and did not reflect the Staffs June views on the outlook. The new release reports...
US Q2 GDP tracking 3.4% after June durable goods orders
Jul 27, 2015 14:42 pm UTC| Commentary
Durable goods orders rose 3.4% m/m in June (previous: -2.1%), above our (2.0%) and consensus (3.4%) expectations, as a 66.1% m/m surge in nondefense aircraft orders boosted the headline series. This surge in aircraft...