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Paul Whiteley

Paul Whiteley

Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
My research interests involve examining the nature & significance of political participation, particularly electoral participation, & also in understanding the causes & effects of public opinion on politics.

Biden's low approval ratings don't mean he is bound to lose the 2024 US election -- here's why

Nov 19, 2023 05:37 am UTC| Politics

US Democrats have been spooked by some recent polling which suggests that voters intend to pick Donald Trump ahead of Joe Biden in some key states in the 2024 presidential election. A CNN poll reported on the website...

Why the assumption that British voters switch to the Conservatives as they grow older is wrong

Nov 05, 2023 20:33 pm UTC| Politics

If a man is not a socialist by the time he is 20, he has no heart. If he is not a conservative by the time he is 40, he has no brain. At first glance, this quote, attributed to Winston Churchill, appears to fit the...

People experiencing news fatigue are less likely to be voters

Oct 19, 2023 04:46 am UTC| Health

In a comprehensive analysis of news consumption across the globe, a recent report by Reuters concluded that interest in news continues to decline, fuelling disengagement and selective news avoidance. In the 46 countries...

US election 2024: beware polling predictions as they can be wrong – but here's an approach which has often been on the money

Aug 24, 2023 07:45 am UTC| Politics

Despite the avalanche of legal indictments, Donald Trump remains favourite to win the Republican nomination for the 2024 US presidential election. According to a poll reported by the website Real Clear Politics on August...

Rising inflation will continue to cause political headaches for the government, but also for the Bank of England

Mar 28, 2023 14:18 pm UTC| Economy

The Bank of England raised its main interest rate for the eleventh time in a row to 4.25% at its March meeting. At its previous meeting in February the Bank was optimistic about the prospects for inflation in the coming...

Humza Yousaf becomes Scotland's first minister: a decade of polls suggest he'll struggle to deliver independence, just like Nicola Sturgeon

Mar 28, 2023 14:18 pm UTC| Politics

Humza Yousaf is to be the first minister of Scotland after narrowly winning the election for leader of the Scottish National Party. In his victory speech, he said he was determined to deliver independence for Scotland. But...

Strikes: why refusing public sector pay rises won't help reduce inflation

Jan 24, 2023 05:33 am UTC| Economy

The UK government has not yet resolved the thorny issue of ongoing public sector pay disputes, despite the fact that these workers are suffering much more from the cost of living crisis than their private sector...

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Economy

Western Allies Boost Ukraine Support Amid Ceasefire Talks

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced that Western allies, excluding the U.S., are intensifying support for Ukraine in case of a ceasefire with Russia. Starmer hosted a virtual meeting with leaders from Germany,...

Russia Stocks Rally as MOEX Russia Index Gains 2.35%

Russian stocks closed higher on Saturday, with the MOEX Russia Index climbing 2.35%, driven by gains in Telecoms, Oil Gas, and Power sectors. Surgutneftegas PJSC (MCX:SNGS) led the session with a 1.01% rise to 26.04,...

Stock Market Correction Deepens: Will the Sell-Off Continue?

The U.S. stock market has officially entered a correction, with the SP 500 plunging over 10% from its February 19 high. The Nasdaq Composite also confirmed its correction last week. This downturn has erased $5 trillion in...

Wall Street Rallies as Tech Leads, But Trade War and Inflation Fears Loom

The SP 500 surged Friday, led by tech stocks, but still marked its fourth straight weekly loss amid trade war concerns and a sharp drop in consumer sentiment. The Dow Jones gained 674 points (1.7%), the SP 500 rose 2%, and...

Peru’s Central Bank Holds Interest Rate at 4.75% Amid Inflation Stabilization

Perus central bank kept its benchmark interest rate steady at 4.75% on Thursday, aligning with market expectations. The decision follows a gradual easing cycle since September 2023, when the rate peaked at 7.75%, making...

Politics

SpaceX Crew-10 Arrives at ISS to Bring Stranded Astronauts Home

A SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule successfully docked at the International Space Station (ISS) early Sunday, completing a 29-hour journey from NASAs Kennedy Space Center. The Crew-10 mission, which launched Friday at 7:03 p.m....

Russia-Ukraine Conflict Escalates with Intense Aerial Strikes Amid Ceasefire Uncertainty

Russia and Ukraine exchanged heavy aerial strikes as the prospect of a 30-day ceasefire remained uncertain. Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed conditional support for the proposal but vowed to continue military...

Federal Judge Blocks Trump’s Wartime Deportation Order for Venezuelan Gang

A federal judge has temporarily blocked President Donald Trumps attempt to use the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to expedite deportations of alleged members of Tren de Aragua, a Venezuelan gang accused of violent crimes. Trump...

Massive Protests in Serbia: Over 100,000 Demand Change in Belgrade

More than 100,000 protesters flooded Serbias capital, Belgrade, in one of the countrys largest demonstrations in decades. The movement, sparked by a deadly railway station collapse that killed 15, has grown into a major...

Trump Orders Massive Strikes on Yemen’s Houthis Amid Rising Tensions

U.S. President Donald Trump launched large-scale military strikes on Yemens Iran-backed Houthi rebels, killing at least 24 people, after continued attacks on Red Sea shipping. The offensive, expected to last weeks, marks...

Science

Leonardo da Vinci’s incredible studies of human anatomy still don’t get the recognition they deserve

Wikimedia, CC BY-SA The mere mention of Leonardo da Vinci evokes genius. We know him as a polymath whose interests spanned astronomy, geology, hydrology, engineering and physics. As a painter, his Mona Lisa and Last Supper...

One of the largest searches for alien life started 30 years ago. Its legacy lives on today

In February 1995, a small research organisation known as the SETI Institute launched what was then the most comprehensive search for an answer to a centuries-old question: are we alone in the universe? This Sunday marks...

South African telescope discovers a giant galaxy that’s 32 times bigger than Earth’s

Inkathazos glowing plasma jets are shown in red and yellow. The starlight from other surrounding galaxies can be seen in the background. K.K.L Charlton (UCT), MeerKAT, HSC, CARTA, IDIA, CC BY You may not know it, but right...

It’s science, not fiction: high-tech drones may soon be fighting bushfires in Australia

Picture this. Its a summer evening in Australia. A dry lightning storm is about to sweep across remote, tinder-dry bushland. The next day is forecast to be hot and windy. A lightning strike tonight could spark a fire that...

Earth is bombarded with rocks from space – but who gets to keep these ultimate antiques?

Every day, about 48.5 tonnes of space rock hurtle towards Earth. Meteorites that fall into the ocean are never recovered. But the ones that crash on land can spark debates about legal ownership. Globally, meteorite hunting...

Technology

Elon Musk and OpenAI Set for Expedited Trial Over AI Dispute

Elon Musk and OpenAI have agreed to fast-track their legal battle over OpenAIs transition to a for-profit model, with a trial set for later this year. The case, playing out in the U.S. District Court for the Northern...

NASA and SpaceX Launch Crew-10 to Replace Stranded Astronauts on ISS

NASA and SpaceX successfully launched the Crew-10 mission on Friday, sending four astronauts to the International Space Station (ISS) in a crucial crew rotation. The mission paves the way for the return of NASA astronauts...

NASA and SpaceX Set to Launch Crew-10 Mission to ISS on March 14

NASA and SpaceX are gearing up for the highly anticipated Crew-10 mission, scheduled to launch on Friday, March 14, at 7:03 p.m. EDT (2303 GMT). The mission will carry four astronauts to the International Space Station...

Apple’s Encryption Clash with UK Sparks U.S. Investigation

British and U.S. officials have engaged in private talks over concerns that the UK is pressuring Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to weaken encryption protections, Bloomberg reported. The discussions follow Apples decision to remove...

AI Revolutionizes Oil and Gas Drilling, Boosting Efficiency and Cost Savings

Artificial intelligence is transforming oil and gas drilling, making once-infeasible projects viable and improving efficiency. At the CERAWeek conference in Houston, industry leaders highlighted how AI-driven innovations...
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