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Sat, Nov 23, 2024 08:06 AM All times are UTC

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Paul Whiteley

Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
My research interests involve examining the nature & significance of political participation, particularly electoral participation, & also in understanding the causes & effects of public opinion on politics.

Global Geopolitics Series

How game theory predicts Trump might not do all that he threatens over Ukraine, Taiwan and Nato

Nov 19, 2024 07:46 am UTC| Insights & Views

Donald Trumps victory in the US presidential elections has left many across the world unsure about what he might do in his next term, and whether some of the threats he made about international policy will be followed...

Harris nudges ahead of Trump in the polls – but could the economy prove her downfall?

Oct 25, 2024 12:16 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The current US vice-president and Democratic presidential candidate, Kamala Harris, appears to have nudged ahead of her Republican rival, Donald Trump, in the race to the White House. A poll of polls, which combines...

Should Rishi Sunak even bother? What we know about how much election campaigns shift the dial

Jun 03, 2024 11:05 am UTC| Politics

With polls showing Labour enjoying a significant lead over the Conservatives for well over a year, a key question as the election campaign picks up pace is whether Rishi Sunak can do anything over the next few weeks to...

US under Trump Series

US election: why Latino and Hispanic voters are shifting to Trump after a long history of supporting the Democrats

May 21, 2024 05:34 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Several recent polls suggest that the Hispanic and Latino vote is shifting towards Donald Trump as the election moves closer. In a YouGov poll from May 8, 43% of Americans said they would vote for President Joe Biden...

US election: two graphs show how young voters influence presidential results as Biden gets poll boost

Mar 28, 2024 12:04 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

American politics is very polarised at the moment, with bitter disagreements between Democrats and Republicans in Congress, in the media and in the presidential campaign. One source of polarisation that is rarely...

Biden's not yet getting a poll bump for the improving economy – history tells us why

Jan 11, 2024 03:30 am UTC| Economy Politics

When Americans are confident about their economy, they tend to support the incumbent president. When they are not confident, they tend to withdraw that support. The chart below shows that relationship between consumer...

US election: Jewish and Muslim votes probably don't have the power to change the outcome – despite backlash on Gaza policy

Dec 26, 2023 23:08 pm UTC| Politics

Recent polling suggests that Joe Bidens policy of backing Israel in the Israeli-Palestinian war is hurting him in the eyes of American Muslims. An #AbandonBiden campaign was launched by Muslim voters in Minnesota in...

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Economy

Canada retail sales rises in September

According to Statistics Canadas preliminary estimate, retail sales increased by a strong 0.4% month-over-month (m/m) in September. When inflation was taken into account, the gain was even more noticeable, with retail sales...

FxWirePro- Major economic events for the day

Date Time Currency Event Actual Forecast Previous Fri Nov...

Global Currency Shuffle: Euro Dips, Yen Recovers, and Markets Await Key Economic Signals

The euro lost its shine against the US dollar due to strong US economic data and dovish comments from ECB members. It hit a fresh year-low yesterday and is hovering around that level. Yannis Stournaras from the European...

Fed's Goolsbee Expects Rates to Drop 'Fair Bit Lower,' Cautions on Slowing Cuts

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said Thursday he anticipates interest rates will end up considerably lower within the next year. He cautioned that the Federal Reserve may need to decelerate rate cuts amid...

S&P 500 Climbs on Cyclical Stocks as Nvidia and Alphabet Diverge Amid Fed Speculation

The SP 500 rose 0.5% Thursday, fueled by cyclical stocks like financials and industrials, offsetting tech sector volatility. Nvidias robust demand contrasted with Alphabets sharp dip on regulatory concerns. Cyclical...

Politics

Senator Lummis Pushes for 1M BTC in US Reserve to Slash Debt, Preserve Dollar Dominance

Senator Cynthia Lummis has proposed adding Bitcoin to the U.S. strategic reserve to slash national debt and stabilize the economy. Highlighting BTCs deflationary value, the senator sees it as a hedge against inflation and...

What’s Driving Charles Schwab Toward Spot Crypto Trading? Trump’s Regulatory Shift and $100K Bitcoin Answer

Charles Schwab is poised to enter the spot crypto market as Trumps administration signals regulatory reforms. With Bitcoin nearing $100,000 and competition heating up, Schwab aims to seize the moment and expand its crypto...

Jeb Bush Sparks Uproar by Praising Trump’s AG Pick Pam Bondi: ‘A Bold and Unexpected Move!’

Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush has publicly extended his congratulations to Pam Bondi, Donald Trumps nominee for Attorney General, reigniting political debates across social media. Bondi, who previously served as...

Kamala Harris's 'Fight Fund' Emails Demand Support to 'Hold Trump Accountable' in Bold Campaign Appeal

Kamala Harriss campaign team has ramped up efforts to garner financial support by sending a series of emails urging donors to contribute to the Harris Fight Fund. The team argues that the funds are critical to holding...

Dana White Swears Off Politics After Trump Campaign: ‘I’m Done for Good!’ Sparks Controversy

Dana White, the outspoken president of the UFC, has declared he is finished with politics following his active involvement in Donald Trumps campaign. Known for his unabashed support of the former president, Whites...

Science

Why does everything look flat even though the Earth is round?

Ever since the ancient Greeks first made observations of the circular Moon and the skies, scientists have known that the Earth is a sphere. Weve all seen beautiful images of the Earth from space, some photographed by...

Blue Origin Prepares to Test New Glenn Rocket, Set to Rival SpaceX's Falcon Rockets

Blue Origin is making significant strides toward testing its New Glenn rocket, designed to compete with SpaceXs Falcon lineup. With seven BE-4 engines producing 3.8 million pounds of thrust, the New Glenn is set to test...

SpaceX’s $2.9 Billion Moon Ship Reveals Spacious Design for Future Lunar Missions

SpaceXs latest prototype of its Starship Human Landing System (HLS) offers an inside look at the spacious, two-story design that could soon carry astronauts to the Moon. A central feature in NASAs Artemis program, this...

CDC Urges Second COVID-19 Vaccine for Seniors: ‘Protect Your Health This Season!’ Experts Say It’s Critical

In a recent public health announcement, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommended that individuals aged 65 and older receive a second dose of the 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine. This additional dose, the...

Breakfast Secrets: 'Fiber-rich Foods Are the Key to Weight Loss!' Experts Reveal Shocking Truth

Health experts often emphasize the importance of a balanced diet combined with regular exercise for weight management. However, for many, achieving these goals can be a daunting challenge. Instead of drastic food...

Technology

Xiaomi's Second Electric SUV to Challenge Tesla Model Y in Q1 2025, Report Reveals

Xiaomi is gearing up to launch its second electric SUV, the MX11, in February or March 2025, according to reports. The upcoming model is positioned as a competitor to Teslas Model Y and will likely feature Xiaomis hallmark...

$18 XRP Prediction Gains Traction as Wave 3 Builds Toward $5 Surge Before 2024

XRP is poised for a major surge, with analysts forecasting a jump to $18 by mid-2025. Elliot Wave projections show a $5 rally before year-end, fueled by bullish market sentiment and strong momentum. XRP Rally to $18:...

Shiba Inu in Trouble? 33 Trillion SHIB Could Fall If $0.000022 Support Breaks

Shiba Inu is on the brink of a decisive move as it consolidates within a triangle pattern. The critical $0.000022 support, tied to 33 trillion SHIB, is weakening. Resistance at $0.000025 and shifting market sentiment add...

Ether Price Rises Despite $1.3B Whale Sell-Off, Targets $3,700 Breakout

Ethers price continues to climb despite significant selling pressure from whales unloading over $1.3 billion in holdings. Investors anticipate a rally toward the $3,700 resistance level, buoyed by Bitcoins surge past...

Solana Hits $262 ATH Amid $35M Whale Buys—Could $5,000 Be Next?

Whale investors snapped up $35 million in Solana, driving the token to a new all-time high of $262. With growing excitement around a potential Solana ETF, analysts speculate that a climb to $5,000 might be on the...