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Paul Whiteley

Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex

My research interests involve examining the nature & significance of political participation, particularly electoral participation, & also in understanding the causes & effects of public opinion on politics.

Is Britain heading for Canada plus plus Brexit?

Dec 16, 2018 10:27 am UTC| Insights & Views

Theresa Mays successful defence of her leadership has left her weakened, particularly since she had to give an assurance that she would not stay on as leader after the negotiations with the EU are complete to convince some...

Underpaid, overworked and drowning in debt: you wonder why young people are voting again?

Oct 08, 2017 02:28 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The 2017 general election was highly unusual as far as the youth vote was concerned. The Labour party won 65% the lions share of the youth vote. The nearest comparisons are with 1964 and 1997. In both those years, Labour...

Briferendum Aftermath Series

Is this really the Brexit election?

Apr 30, 2017 14:09 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The rapidly approaching 2017 general election has already been dubbed the Brexit election. Many assume that Brexit will be the decisive issue in the campaign. A recent poll by IPSOS-MORI suggests that just over half of...

Down but not out: diagnosing UKIP's biggest problems

Mar 18, 2017 06:55 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

UKIP seems to have lurched from crisis to crisis since achieving its founding ambition to take the UK out of the European Union. However, UKIP still has noteworthy support. It might be down, but it certainly isnt...

US Election Series

Four possible explanations why most of the polls got the US election wrong

Nov 10, 2016 22:24 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

In the US presidential election, the final poll of polls compiled by Real Clear Politics predicted that Hillary Clinton would win 46.8% of the popular vote and Donald Trump 43.6%. In the end, Clinton won 47.7% and her...

Briferendum Series

Why did older voters choose Brexit? It's a matter of identity

Jun 26, 2016 19:10 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Just a few days before the EU referendum on June 19 and 20 we carried out an internet survey of the electorate in Britain and asked more than 2,100 people how they were planning to vote. Some 49% of respondents...

Briferendum Series

Poll of polls: how worried should Remain be as voters come off fence?

Jun 15, 2016 07:47 am UTC| Insights & Views

The campaign to keep Britain in the EU has suffered a significant blow at a crucial point in the EU referendum battle with an ICM poll putting Leave further ahead than ever before. The poll, published by The Guardian,...

Economy

ECB's Kocher Says No Inflation Spillover Yet From Iran Conflict, Warns Risks Remain

The European Central Bank (ECB) does not currently see evidence that the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran is triggering broader inflationary pressures across the euro area, although policymakers remain alert to potential...

Asian Stocks Rise as Softer U.S. Inflation Boosts Sentiment Despite Middle East Tensions

Asian stock markets traded mostly higher on Wednesday after weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data eased expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve interest rate hike, although escalating tensions in the Middle East...

Asian Currencies Stay Rangebound as Middle East Tensions, Weak China GDP Weigh on Sentiment

Most Asian currencies traded in narrow ranges on Wednesday as investors remained cautious over escalating tensions in the Middle East and weaker-than-expected Chinese economic growth, despite a softer U.S. dollar following...

China Home Prices Fall Again in June Despite Slower Pace of Decline

Chinas new home prices continued to decline in June, highlighting the ongoing challenges facing the countrys property market despite signs that the pace of deterioration is easing. Official data released by the National...

US Inflation Expected to Ease in June, but Fed Rate Hike Risks Persist Amid Middle East Tensions

U.S. consumer inflation likely eased in June, but economists say the slowdown may provide little relief for households or significantly reduce the likelihood of another Federal Reserve interest rate hike later this year,...

Politics

Trump ICC Sanctions Challenged as Advocacy Groups File Free Speech Lawsuit

Two U.S.-based advocacy organizations have filed a lawsuit against the Trump administration, arguing that sanctions targeting the International Criminal Court (ICC) violate First Amendment free speech protections. The...

US Military Launches New Strikes on Iran, Targets Threats to Strait of Hormuz Shipping

The U.S. military launched a new wave of strikes against Iran on Wednesday, marking another escalation in tensions across the Middle East. According to the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), the military operation began at...

Ukraine, EU Sign Landmark Drone Deal to Boost Defense Production

Ukraine and the European Union have signed a landmark drone cooperation agreement aimed at combining Ukraines battlefield expertise with Europes industrial strength to accelerate drone manufacturing and strengthen regional...

Zelenskiy Cabinet Reshuffle Puts Ukraine Defense Minister Fedorov’s Future in Focus

As Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy prepares another cabinet reshuffle, the future of Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov has emerged as one of the biggest questions, with potential implications for Ukraines war...

Trump Administration Launches AI Cybersecurity Partnership to Protect Critical Infrastructure

The Trump administration is launching a new initiative to strengthen U.S. cybersecurity by bringing together leading artificial intelligence developers and operators of critical infrastructure to identify and address...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Apple Intelligence Cleared for China as Alibaba and Baidu AI Power iPhone Features

Apple has moved a step closer to launching Apple Intelligence in China after the countrys cyberspace regulator officially registered the companys on-device generative AI service for use on iPhones. The approval marks a...

Alibaba Stock Jumps as China Approves Apple Intelligence Powered by Qwen AI

Alibaba Group shares climbed about 5% in U.S. premarket trading on Wednesday after Chinese regulators approved Apples on-device artificial intelligence platform for launch in China, marking a major step for the iPhone...

ASML Raises 2026 Outlook as AI Chip Demand Lifts Q2 Earnings

ASML Holding (AS: ASML) reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter 2026 earnings on Wednesday, fueled by robust demand for artificial intelligence (AI) chip manufacturing equipment and higher sales from its installed...

Arm Stock Falls After HSBC Downgrade, Citing Limited Near-Term AI Upside

Arm Holdings shares came under pressure after HSBC downgraded the semiconductor designer to hold from buy,arguing that the companys recent rally has already priced in much of its long-term artificial intelligence (AI)...

SK Hynix Stock Soars as AI Memory Demand Outlook Fuels Chip Rally

SK Hynix shares surged nearly 13% in Seoul on Wednesday, leading a broad rally in South Korean semiconductor stocks as easing U.S. inflation and renewed optimism over artificial intelligence (AI) memory demand boosted...